Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$443

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-01 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% 100% +$3

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No		+5	$1	24¢	$1	$-0	06-01 10:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-26 06:26
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on April 27?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 14:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	04-25 05:46
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in May?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 16:23
will open dip to 4 25 by june 15 2026	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	06-18 18:05
will aapl reach 304 by june 15 2026	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-18 13:49
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on May 4?	2	$13	10	8	+2	open	—	05-04 13:37
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	2	$13	9	6	+3	open	—	05-09 19:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$13	26	21	+5	open	—	05-27 11:48
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-08 18:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 05:46
spy closes above 745 on june 25 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-25 13:48
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	06-01 20:42
pltr up or down on june 22 2026	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	06-22 14:13
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-06 10:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$8	15	5	+10	open	—	05-30 03:47
spy up or down on june 29 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-29 14:50
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 15:31
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	2	$8	7	2	+5	open	—	05-01 13:48
nvda up or down on july 1 2026	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	07-01 19:14
will nvda reach 216 by june 15 2026	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	06-18 10:30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 17:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$7	10	5	+5	open	—	06-01 12:07
aapl up or down on june 22 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-22 19:55
msft above 350 on june 26 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	06-20 16:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$6	10	5	+5	open	—	05-26 17:02
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $350-$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 20:09
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 19:01
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-24 07:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 19:14:56	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xaa1970…
07-01 19:06:19	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xba11a9…
06-29 14:50:56	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa21fa9…
06-29 14:00:52	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xabd6e9…
06-28 15:29:37	aapl close above 275 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0ac0fc…
06-26 15:09:52	meta above 560 on june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xaf6be0…
06-25 16:06:01	meta above 560 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdd76e0…
06-25 13:48:56	spy closes above 745 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x06bbd6…
06-25 08:02:10	spy closes above 745 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xb29de9…
06-23 20:00:41	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7fa4c8…
06-23 14:20:37	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xecf918…
06-23 06:27:22	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x51d7d7…
06-22 19:55:46	aapl up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x100909…
06-22 19:31:22	aapl up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5c7094…
06-22 16:19:34	will tsla reach 442 50 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe66df0…
06-22 15:57:04	will spy reach 755 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x2b6c53…
06-22 14:44:08	will spy reach 755 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd2be4f…
06-22 14:13:37	pltr up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xa0d584…
06-22 13:40:16	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x515ac9…
06-22 13:38:20	pltr up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xee6753…
06-22 13:37:08	will mu dip to 1080 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9e704e…
06-22 11:19:32	will mu dip to 1020 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf11388…
06-22 10:59:28	will mu dip to 1020 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x334cbf…
06-20 16:12:50	msft above 350 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xce735e…
06-18 18:05:32	will open dip to 4 25 by june 15 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcacdef…
06-18 17:42:13	will open dip to 4 25 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x6bdfa1…
06-18 15:03:37	amzn up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xabab75…
06-18 14:06:44	aapl close above 290 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x0b29d8…
06-18 13:49:01	will aapl reach 304 by june 15 2026	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x909805…
06-18 10:36:41	will aapl reach 304 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa4bc37…
06-18 10:35:29	will aapl reach 304 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4f6940…
06-18 10:30:43	will nvda reach 216 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xeae923…
06-18 01:15:55	spy closes above 740 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x860a6e…
06-17 19:32:49	coin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1c209b…
06-17 19:28:01	coin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe10e15…
06-17 14:22:10	will hood dip to 90 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0xf83cc3…
06-11 18:03:52	aapl close above 295 on june 11 2026	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x230700…
06-11 17:30:00	aapl close above 295 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x63b8f9…
06-09 14:34:00	will open dip to 3 50 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x06cf58…
06-09 13:58:06	will spy reach 750 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe3a1bc…
06-08 18:30:40	will open dip to 3 50 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf2db64…
06-08 14:45:30	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xbae625…
06-07 07:00:01	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdb2dad…
06-06 19:30:40	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x39a37d…
06-05 13:30:03	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc4056a…
06-05 11:48:58	spy closes above 755 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x86978b…
06-05 01:02:31	spy closes above 755 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3ce845…
06-02 18:45:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x51da1c…
06-01 20:42:36	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x945980…
06-01 19:27:54	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xdcbed0…
06-01 19:27:54	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2f40d8…
06-01 19:27:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x912dbe…
06-01 19:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc48dd5…
06-01 12:07:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x2f939f…
06-01 12:06:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7b9292…
06-01 10:42:58	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x304768…
05-30 03:47:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf6c22a…
05-29 06:23:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x70a643…
05-28 14:24:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf3861…
05-27 15:59:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x1e625f…
05-27 15:41:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ebc1a…
05-27 15:11:13	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4a3c2c…
05-27 14:44:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7a9eb0…
05-27 11:48:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x208f4d…
05-26 21:51:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x415f36…
05-26 17:02:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x69019c…
05-26 10:30:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd7012b…
05-26 03:49:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xdad9d3…
05-26 03:45:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x78cfcc…
05-26 03:45:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x4fb9c4…
05-24 03:21:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x39bd6c…
05-22 01:58:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x06f6ac…
05-21 19:01:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa0a3f6…
05-21 18:53:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1a1844…
05-21 17:54:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xbdfa99…
05-21 16:07:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd61cb5…
05-21 13:30:04	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x9c9e82…
05-21 04:56:25	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5153f9…
05-20 22:16:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3a3865…
05-19 02:26:50	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2af8ee…
05-18 19:01:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x619a80…
05-18 18:17:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x71f244…
05-18 13:58:08	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x70c294…
05-18 11:07:46	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1eaf60…
05-18 07:17:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x55e2bc…
05-18 06:41:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x113a27…
05-17 15:31:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe08905…
05-17 03:27:53	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa09525…
05-15 11:38:49	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x934d00…
05-15 09:05:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8726cc…
05-15 06:56:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7eea15…
05-15 02:02:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa8e3b5…
05-15 00:45:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0c2d4d…
05-15 00:39:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x825ec0…
05-09 19:17:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x3f7b5c…
05-08 18:15:34	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x741c2c…
05-08 13:30:35	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5810af…
05-08 12:42:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x6e9fcd…
05-06 10:23:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xfb2431…
05-05 21:56:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xe98bfd…