Delirious-Agenda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,795

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% — —

Other

11% 100% +$15

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 861 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No		+20	$18	89¢	$18	+$0	06-10 19:46
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes		+20	$3	11¢	$2	$-1	06-11 15:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$175	309	309	+0	open	—	05-13 11:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	10	$122	158	158	+0	open	—	05-12 12:54
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	12	$119	98	98	+0	open	—	05-14 21:23
spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	10	$118	160	120	+40	open	—	06-15 19:21
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	3	$116	125	0	+125	Over	+$9	05-06 19:56
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	25	$107	130	94	+36	open	—	06-15 19:23
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 total 2pt5	9	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	02-16 21:44
another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	8	$71	79	66	+13	open	—	06-15 19:23
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 total 1pt5	3	$69	49	49	+0	open	—	02-16 21:18
ucl asm1 psg 2026 02 17 psg	8	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	02-17 21:27
will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	8	$62	52	40	+12	open	—	06-15 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	9	$61	46	44	+2	open	—	05-20 18:54
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	1	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	06-13 19:01
bun uni ein 2026 02 06 total 1pt5	5	$56	45	33	+12	open	—	02-06 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	23	$56	81	63	+18	open	—	05-16 15:30
ucl ben1 rma1 2026 01 28 rma1	4	$56	52	52	+0	open	—	01-28 20:46
itc ata juv 2026 02 05 total 3pt5	6	$56	30	40	-10	open	—	02-05 21:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	13	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	05-26 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	20	$55	89	63	+25	open	—	05-16 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	24	$54	107	75	+33	open	—	05-16 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-26 10:39
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	06-13 20:11
dfb ksv stu 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	5	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	02-04 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	24	$48	83	80	+3	open	—	05-16 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	5	$48	74	74	+0	open	—	05-17 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	8	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	05-20 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	12	$45	48	48	+0	open	—	05-15 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	21	$44	66	66	+0	open	—	05-18 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	13	$44	35	35	+0	open	—	05-19 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	21	$43	41	41	+0	open	—	05-16 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 19:23:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x24a076…
06-15 19:23:34	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x87c036…
06-15 19:23:30	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xecd15b…
06-15 19:23:12	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$9	0x334135…
06-15 19:23:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0xc8ac22…
06-15 19:22:55	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	No	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x7a78ef…
06-15 19:21:19	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xdcbebf…
06-14 22:48:25	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xa67677…
06-14 22:48:25	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xa67677…
06-14 07:33:21	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x1b7aa2…
06-14 03:15:18	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x09bb68…
06-14 03:15:12	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x3eb5a2…
06-14 03:05:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x30aa4d…
06-13 23:48:16	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x47f1f5…
06-13 22:59:22	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x654542…
06-13 22:59:22	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	No	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x654542…
06-13 20:11:48	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xd7025b…
06-13 19:57:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x25064e…
06-13 19:01:33	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0x4e22ca…
06-13 14:09:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb0de93…
06-13 14:09:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x291e3e…
06-13 14:09:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe250c8…
06-13 14:09:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaa7793…
06-13 14:09:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x72c7c5…
06-13 14:09:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0b134f…
06-13 13:59:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x672c15…
06-13 13:59:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x2ca4f7…
06-13 13:59:24	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x81309f…
06-13 13:49:24	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x3729da…
06-13 13:49:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xac6ba1…
06-13 13:49:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa72a89…
06-13 13:49:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8d23db…
06-13 13:49:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x7c6b4f…
06-13 13:49:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x089ac1…
06-13 10:42:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3d9899…
06-13 10:42:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x3d9899…
06-13 09:07:21	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xecfd7d…
06-13 09:07:19	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xce8899…
06-13 09:07:19	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xce8899…
06-13 09:00:10	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xecc58a…
06-13 06:18:30	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x83ad71…
06-13 06:18:30	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x83ad71…
06-13 00:23:16	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xdf7717…
06-12 21:57:04	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x742297…
06-12 21:57:04	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x742297…
06-12 21:08:16	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x461f5f…
06-12 18:06:57	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xa3829c…
06-12 16:10:43	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x796ded…
06-11 22:16:15	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xa69b96…
06-11 21:16:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xe7acab…
06-11 18:34:33	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	SELL	51	53¢	$27	0xdd7917…
06-11 18:09:01	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x956bda…
06-11 15:18:18	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfd8cbd…
06-11 08:57:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x48fb2f…
06-11 02:33:18	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6a4322…
06-11 02:23:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa79ea1…
06-10 20:41:19	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc8da14…
06-10 19:46:06	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb9dd4d…
06-10 18:22:55	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xdd0cd3…
06-10 18:22:51	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x216bf9…
06-10 18:21:58	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x82e853…
06-10 17:06:57	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xeff416…
06-10 17:02:45	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x81b454…
06-10 16:51:34	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xf0f6f2…
06-10 16:39:49	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x65545d…
06-10 14:51:01	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x47e6ad…
06-10 14:37:03	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd20095…
06-10 02:02:30	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x12d5cf…
06-09 22:48:12	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe954ad…
06-09 22:35:36	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x05c1b6…
06-09 20:47:39	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0d0912…
06-08 21:58:25	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd2d08b…
06-08 21:58:22	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x61c06c…
06-08 07:32:09	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xef79b5…
06-08 07:20:58	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by september 30 20260602182956655	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xc3403c…
05-30 04:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfcd473…
05-30 04:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3bfd21…
05-30 04:02:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7eae78…
05-30 04:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf59259…
05-30 03:49:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x40ed8b…
05-30 03:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbc8067…
05-30 03:47:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb2cd4a…
05-30 03:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xddc946…
05-30 03:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9a0379…
05-29 18:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xe4f913…
05-29 18:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x119bc4…
05-29 18:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf9c39a…
05-29 18:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x09575f…
05-29 18:43:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9bb6d7…
05-29 18:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa60a93…
05-29 18:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb92861…
05-29 18:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd4d516…
05-29 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd93deb…
05-29 18:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xd3165f…
05-29 18:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2ab34b…
05-29 18:33:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbf8f05…
05-29 18:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa1df43…
05-29 18:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xdbaf9b…
05-29 18:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5a4eb4…
05-29 18:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x828acd…