Realized P&L (90d)
-$18.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.78K
Hit rate
5.0%
Resolved (90d)
1,096
Trades (90d)
32,267
49,400 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.52M
$2.82M lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$5.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-29 22:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
54% 6% -$15,773
Politics
38% 9% -$14,037
Tech
3% 8% -$453
Sports
2% 8% -$60
Crypto
2% 6% -$114
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5627 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +623 $609 100¢ $622 +$12 10-19 18:39
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +643 $605 82¢ $531 -$74 10-29 17:31
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +610 $574 78¢ $473 -$101 10-29 14:21
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +660 $509 72¢ $472 -$37 10-25 19:42
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +578 $468 76¢ $437 -$31 10-29 17:39
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +385 $310 80¢ $306 -$4 10-28 13:41
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +1,070 $1,004 25¢ $264 -$740 09-30 20:09
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +210 $213 94¢ $198 -$15 10-28 10:06
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No -195 -$132 97¢ $-190 -$58 06-26 12:00
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +660 $241 29¢ $188 -$53 10-29 19:28
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +265 $223 70¢ $184 -$39 10-11 07:49
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +208 $194 87¢ $181 -$13 10-29 14:57
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +213 $200 81¢ $174 -$26 10-29 20:37
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +200 $232 87¢ $173 -$59 10-29 15:05
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -156 -$123 96¢ $-149 -$26 10-29 21:47
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +159 $143 82¢ $130 -$14 07-16 23:36
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +565 $187 22¢ $127 -$60 10-28 08:58
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +130 $123 93¢ $120 -$3 10-28 08:57
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +152 $136 69¢ $106 -$30 10-06 14:02
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No — +88 $91 95¢ $84 -$7 10-29 17:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1,320 $125 6¢ $82 -$42 10-29 17:31
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +140 $86 57¢ $80 -$6 10-28 17:57
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +144 $79 48¢ $68 -$11 10-29 15:58
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +64 $72 88¢ $56 -$15 10-29 17:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -36 $18 99¢ $-35 -$54 10-23 13:22
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +45 $71 66¢ $30 -$40 10-29 17:48
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +159 $201 18¢ $29 -$172 10-14 19:58
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes +210 $58 13¢ $27 -$31 10-28 11:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +200 $52 13¢ $27 -$25 10-29 17:31
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +35 $24 60¢ $21 -$3 10-28 13:36