Natural-Intensity 0x9cb98f…2f7b80
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.49K
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved
321
Trades
7,846
lifetime
Volume
$829.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$15.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 19:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Politics
69% 71% +$9,436
Other
27% 61% +$2,920
Crypto
3% 82% +$345
Sports
1% 22% -$442
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,927 98¢ $-2926 +$1 09-08 02:56
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,500 $1,461 100¢ $1.5K +$37 10-27 23:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,155 76¢ $1.1K -$8 10-30 14:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,087 88¢ $1.1K +$19 10-24 10:21
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,040 55¢ $1.1K +$50 10-30 12:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,100 -$996 92¢ $-1006 -$10 10-24 16:25
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $986 84¢ $838 -$147 10-22 19:39
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,000 $782 82¢ $825 +$44 10-19 09:19
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -845 -$823 97¢ $-815 +$7 09-13 21:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +750 $351 86¢ $649 +$298 10-23 15:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,440 $152 43¢ $613 +$460 10-30 19:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$495 95¢ $-524 -$29 08-20 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -495 -$442 90¢ $-443 -$1 09-11 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +525 $578 82¢ $428 -$150 10-13 19:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -375 -$349 94¢ $-354 -$6 09-07 08:30
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,755 $105 16¢ $272 +$167 10-30 19:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,500 $183 4¢ $180 -$3 10-23 09:59
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +173 $162 98¢ $168 +$6 10-15 06:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +250 -$134 57¢ $143 +$277 09-25 21:35
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $112 92¢ $112 +$1 10-30 16:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $159 43¢ $107 -$52 09-24 16:38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +150 $24 72¢ $107 +$83 10-30 02:43
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +104 $94 92¢ $95 +$1 10-30 18:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -350 -$126 24¢ $-82 +$44 09-11 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $57 29¢ $43 -$14 09-22 22:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +182 $156 20¢ $37 -$119 10-28 00:36
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,250 -$214 3¢ $37 +$251 10-30 10:51
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 -$177 99¢ $20 +$196 10-29 15:20
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$15 6¢ $-14 +$2 09-07 09:56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -375 -$96 2¢ $-7 +$89 07-07 11:57