Natural-Intensity 0x9cb98f…2f7b80
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.06K
Hit rate
81.3%
Resolved (30d)
47
Trades (30d)
862
7,804 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$127.0K
$822.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$14.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Politics
69% 71% +$9,436
Other
27% 61% +$2,920
Crypto
3% 82% +$345
Sports
1% 22% -$442
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,927 97¢ $-2913 +$14 09-08 02:56
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,500 $1,461 100¢ $1.5K +$36 10-27 23:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,087 90¢ $1.1K +$31 10-24 10:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,100 -$996 92¢ $-1006 -$10 10-24 16:25
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $882 92¢ $920 +$38 10-24 00:16
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $986 84¢ $844 -$141 10-22 19:39
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -845 -$823 97¢ $-819 +$4 09-13 21:11
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,000 $782 82¢ $815 +$34 10-19 09:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +750 $351 84¢ $634 +$283 10-23 15:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,555 $393 16¢ $587 +$194 10-27 17:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +800 $479 70¢ $564 +$85 10-01 19:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$495 96¢ $-528 -$33 08-20 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -495 -$442 92¢ $-453 -$11 09-11 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +525 $578 80¢ $423 -$156 10-13 19:08
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +500 $360 74¢ $372 +$12 09-22 15:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -375 -$349 94¢ $-352 -$4 09-07 08:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,500 $183 4¢ $182 -$1 10-23 09:59
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +173 $162 98¢ $168 +$6 10-15 06:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +250 -$134 61¢ $151 +$286 09-25 21:35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,500 -$146 3¢ $100 +$246 10-25 13:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $159 39¢ $99 -$61 09-24 16:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -350 -$126 26¢ $-93 +$33 09-11 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $57 30¢ $44 -$13 09-22 22:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +182 $156 20¢ $36 -$120 10-28 00:36
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 -$177 99¢ $20 +$196 10-29 15:20
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$15 4¢ $-9 +$7 09-07 09:56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -375 -$96 2¢ $-6 +$89 07-07 11:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$14 2¢ $-6 +$8 09-07 09:22
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 09-07 09:23
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$3 09-07 09:22