Natural-Intensity 0x9cb98f…2f7b80
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$2.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.20K
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
332
7,801 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$53.1K
$821.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$16.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Politics
69% 71% +$9,436
Other
27% 61% +$2,920
Crypto
3% 82% +$345
Sports
1% 22% -$442
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,927 97¢ $-2922 +$5 09-08 02:56
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,500 $1,461 100¢ $1.5K +$38 10-27 23:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,087 88¢ $1.1K +$6 10-24 10:21
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $878 68¢ $1.0K +$150 10-16 16:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,100 -$996 90¢ $-995 +$1 10-24 16:25
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $882 92¢ $915 +$32 10-24 00:16
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $986 84¢ $844 -$141 10-22 19:39
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -845 -$823 97¢ $-820 +$3 09-13 21:11
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,000 $782 82¢ $815 +$34 10-19 09:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +750 $351 84¢ $634 +$283 10-23 15:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,555 $393 16¢ $587 +$194 10-27 17:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +800 $479 68¢ $548 +$69 10-01 19:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$495 96¢ $-526 -$31 08-20 22:55
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +520 $317 99¢ $516 +$199 10-28 21:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -495 -$442 90¢ $-443 -$1 09-11 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +525 $578 82¢ $433 -$145 10-13 19:08
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +500 $360 72¢ $360 +$0 09-22 15:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -375 -$349 96¢ $-358 -$9 09-07 08:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,500 $183 4¢ $191 +$8 10-23 09:59
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +173 $162 97¢ $168 +$5 10-15 06:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +250 -$134 60¢ $149 +$283 09-25 21:35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,500 -$146 4¢ $140 +$286 10-25 13:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $159 40¢ $101 -$58 09-24 16:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -350 -$126 28¢ $-96 +$30 09-11 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $57 32¢ $47 -$10 09-22 22:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +182 $156 16¢ $30 -$126 10-28 00:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$15 4¢ $-10 +$5 09-07 09:56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -375 -$96 2¢ $-9 +$86 07-07 11:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$14 2¢ $-6 +$8 09-07 09:22
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 09-07 09:23