Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

168

Trades

474

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-24 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 57% -$314

Politics

34% 50% -$1,250

Other

2% 67% +$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+0	-$1	45¢	$0	+$1	10-14 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	16	$4.3K	2,675	2,675	+0	Yes	+$171	03-11 15:57
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	7	$2.6K	1,708	1,708	+0	Yes	+$143	03-10 15:36
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	13	$2.1K	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	10-24 19:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$1.2K	1,569	0	+1,569	No	-$1,239	10-24 20:29
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$1.2K	853	853	+0	open	—	10-23 08:59
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$1.1K	1,194	0	+1,194	No	+$116	03-17 14:44
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 13	1	$750	790	0	+790	No	-$750	03-13 14:33
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	3	$601	375	375	+0	No	+$1	03-12 19:08
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	3	$502	304	304	+0	Yes	+$102	03-09 14:36
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	7	$445	272	272	+1	Yes	+$23	03-12 15:57
will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	3	$330	188	188	+0	No	+$30	03-09 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:20 UTC	5	$314	241	133	+108	Down	-$2	03-10 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:30 UTC	4	$299	256	139	+116	Up	+$9	03-10 21:34
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	3	$254	167	167	+0	Yes	+$20	03-06 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:50 UTC	5	$252	151	150	+1	Up	+$13	03-10 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:20 UTC	4	$238	205	135	+70	Up	+$17	03-10 22:24
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	2	$238	152	152	+0	No	+$38	03-09 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:25 UTC	3	$221	124	121	+3	Down	+$20	03-10 21:29
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$197	147	147	+0	Yes	-$3	03-11 15:46
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$158	117	117	+0	No	+$58	03-16 22:22
will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	1	$150	190	0	+190	No	+$40	03-08 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:15 UTC	5	$130	11,161	34	+11,127	Down	-$110	03-10 23:20
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	2	$124	81	81	+0	No	+$24	03-16 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:40 UTC	3	$119	256	47	+208	Down	-$101	03-10 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:15 UTC	6	$114	146	6	+140	Down	+$31	03-10 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:00 UTC	4	$111	125	3	+121	Up	+$11	03-10 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:05 UTC	3	$106	137	0	+137	Up	+$28	03-10 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:00 UTC	3	$102	107	4	+103	Down	-$100	03-10 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:10 UTC	3	$102	137	0	+137	Down	+$33	03-10 22:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$101	60	60	+0	No	+$1	03-05 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 20:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc3b9c5…
10-24 20:29:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	92	83¢	$77	0xb06e41…
10-24 19:54:09	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	59	82¢	$48	0xfad018…
10-24 19:53:59	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0xc3bf01…
10-23 18:03:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfc57fa…
10-23 17:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5fb462…
10-23 17:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5d6e5c…
10-23 17:55:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	77¢	$45	0xaa47d3…
10-23 17:55:03	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x513e7e…
10-23 09:27:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x230f50…
10-23 09:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x852a39…
10-23 09:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x6d281f…
10-23 09:18:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x8be45b…
10-23 09:17:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf6b644…
10-23 09:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8ac263…
10-23 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x78be30…
10-23 09:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xe1a454…
10-23 09:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xa450f5…
10-23 09:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x66ed62…
10-23 09:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x3f0052…
10-23 09:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x969a8f…
10-23 09:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xa54680…
10-23 09:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7a2b16…
10-23 09:00:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	125	77¢	$96	0xc444d8…
10-23 08:59:30	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	58	78¢	$45	0xe67048…
10-23 08:59:11	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	66	79¢	$52	0xd701bc…
10-22 12:12:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x12b997…
10-22 12:11:56	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	55	79¢	$43	0x220040…
10-22 12:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x6bbdf2…
10-22 12:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9728af…
10-22 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6822c8…
10-22 12:02:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xd978e1…
10-22 12:02:08	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x08955c…
10-21 20:19:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	148	79¢	$117	0x6ec033…
10-21 20:18:02	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	135	81¢	$109	0xc57bf8…
10-21 20:17:45	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xe6f17c…
10-21 20:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x250caa…
10-21 19:11:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	116	79¢	$91	0x822e3a…
10-21 19:11:03	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	121	76¢	$92	0x055c7b…
10-21 19:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x3d633a…
10-21 19:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcaf7c6…
10-21 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x59a7a0…
10-21 19:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xf7652e…
10-21 18:57:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	98	79¢	$77	0xe98807…
10-21 15:03:38	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x99b839…
10-20 12:20:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	77¢	$90	0x00c417…
10-20 12:19:33	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	107	86¢	$92	0x93d42f…
10-19 11:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xe5eed8…
10-19 11:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x7f6900…
10-19 11:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc62ff5…
10-19 11:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x24ab4a…
10-19 11:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x34f368…
10-19 10:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78905b…
10-19 10:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9976b1…
10-19 10:55:47	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb5acfc…
10-16 16:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x3193d6…
10-16 16:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xfbe501…
10-16 16:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xb0571a…
10-16 15:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe3d72e…
10-16 15:45:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xcbfbe1…
10-16 15:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xebe5fd…
10-16 15:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdfe98a…
10-16 15:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe5c133…
10-16 15:37:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x807767…
10-16 15:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xd37d30…
10-16 15:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xd7f4e3…
10-16 15:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd0faf5…
10-16 15:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x974be7…
10-16 15:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x815f92…
10-16 15:27:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1fb232…
10-16 15:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7c613f…
10-16 15:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xee741a…
10-16 14:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3dcebd…
10-16 14:57:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0x0086ef…
10-16 14:56:28	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x0529e9…
10-16 10:36:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	78¢	$102	0x8658ff…
10-16 10:36:21	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0x66e9db…
10-16 10:34:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	118	78¢	$92	0xedb044…
10-16 10:33:42	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0x107524…
10-15 21:17:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	261	77¢	$201	0x312af9…
10-15 21:12:51	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	287	71¢	$204	0x55c74e…
10-14 19:36:12	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa15b9d…
10-14 10:18:19	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x3d1076…
10-14 09:49:46	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x319d11…
10-07 19:23:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	188	85¢	$160	0x1bbe8d…
10-07 19:07:01	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	819	61¢	$500	0xe42f1c…
10-07 19:05:19	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	700	90¢	$630	0x2b0022…
10-07 18:53:55	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xe6e268…
10-07 18:43:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x541aa9…
10-07 18:42:42	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0xf1af52…
10-07 18:41:24	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x5ef4b2…
08-16 22:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd48bca…
08-13 18:37:36	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,317	72¢	$950	0x47aba1…
03-23 14:29:27	will trump say job 15 times during memphis roundtable	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xed43ed…
03-23 14:16:53	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xaa3e1c…
03-23 14:13:11	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during memphis roundtable 923	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xef48f3…
03-17 14:44:45	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	241	76¢	$182	0x25f874…
03-16 22:23:43	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	81	92¢	$74	0xc57e32…
03-16 22:22:49	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	117	93¢	$108	0x98001f…
03-16 15:58:41	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	952	94¢	$895	0xb832cb…