Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$70,963
Trades
7,143
Unique wallets
1,038
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
45¢
Latest NO mid
55¢
End date
2026-10-16
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-16 15:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.1¢
(top1%: 59% YES on $35.5K
vs crowd: 58% YES on $65.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 186 | $24.0K | $16.3K | +$7.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 295 | $9.0K | $6.3K | +$2.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 312 | $4.3K | $3.8K | +$505 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 245 | $793 | $843 | $50 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 197 | $21.1K | $14.4K | +$6.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 133 | $3.0K | $2.3K | +$652 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 57 | $555 | $174 | +$381 |
| Median | 71 | $405 | $181 | +$224 |
| Below median | 233 | $2.0K | $1.8K | +$184 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 128 | $1.8K | $1.5K | +$302 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 159 | $5.6K | $3.5K | +$2.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 60 | $3.7K | $3.4K | +$308 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +2,416 | $1,331 | $1,331 | 111 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +2,220 | $978 | $978 | 91 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc79d…5d34 | Down | +2,176 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb05f…6a63 | Up | +2,029 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +1,955 | $869 | $869 | 46 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Down | +1,842 | $840 | $840 | 4 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,629 | $869 | $869 | 70 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,623 | $570 | $570 | 60 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +1,508 | $778 | $778 | 58 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,447 | $909 | $909 | 58 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +1,445 | $867 | $867 | 45 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +1,425 | $813 | $813 | 52 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +1,360 | $633 | $633 | 74 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +1,358 | $564 | $564 | 107 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4f9…0b71 | Up | +1,332 | $508 | $508 | 3 | 10-16 15:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +1,285 | $525 | $525 | 17 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x172a…a2f8 | Down | +1,250 | $600 | $600 | 58 | 10-16 15:43 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +1,177 | $704 | $704 | 45 | 10-16 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +1,144 | $880 | $880 | 4 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbf6…dd01 | Down | +1,104 | $785 | $785 | 3 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | +1,083 | $1,072 | $1,072 | 20 | 10-16 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +1,047 | $549 | $549 | 22 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +1,005 | $145 | $145 | 21 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xae01…5dc6 | Down | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +947 | $442 | $442 | 51 | 10-16 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +937 | $925 | $925 | 6 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | +919 | $910 | $910 | 9 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x56a0…71af | Down | +864 | $513 | $513 | 38 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +791 | $369 | $369 | 31 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +786 | $370 | $370 | 13 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +776 | $443 | $443 | 16 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Down | +774 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +772 | $393 | $451 | 39 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +756 | $328 | $328 | 29 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Down | +744 | $376 | $376 | 13 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x56a0…71af | Up | +728 | $321 | $321 | 37 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +726 | $292 | $292 | 26 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +661 | $245 | $245 | 2 | 10-16 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +660 | $289 | $289 | 22 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +640 | $533 | $533 | 15 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +637 | $338 | $338 | 44 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5709…24d6 | Down | +631 | $397 | $397 | 1 | 10-16 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x65af…ba6a | Down | +626 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x65af…ba6a | Up | +625 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-16 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +611 | $233 | $233 | 21 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d90…7815 | Down | +576 | $415 | $415 | 1 | 10-16 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +565 | $281 | $281 | 24 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +564 | $323 | $323 | 25 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +564 | $231 | $231 | 20 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +563 | $348 | $348 | 39 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +559 | $305 | $305 | 21 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +549 | $396 | $396 | 16 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +549 | $402 | $402 | 19 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x61ea…f58d | Down | +544 | $16 | $16 | 16 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Down | +542 | $243 | $243 | 18 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +538 | $176 | $176 | 12 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +537 | $185 | $185 | 50 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | +536 | $270 | $270 | 127 | 10-16 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +507 | $287 | $287 | 33 | 10-16 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x089c…a611 | Up | +501 | $219 | $219 | 21 | 10-16 15:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 15:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x1fe2…8e31 | Up | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x2403c3… |
| 10-16 15:45:52 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x2403c3… |
| 10-16 15:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b4e…6a11 | Up | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xcb51bd… |
| 10-16 15:45:48 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xcb51bd… |
| 10-16 15:45:43 | (anonymous) 0x6fc2…fb11 | Up | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x34aea3… |
| 10-16 15:45:43 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x34aea3… |
| 10-16 15:45:42 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xd987a2… |
| 10-16 15:45:42 | (anonymous) 0x6bd8…91f1 | Up | SELL | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xd987a2… |
| 10-16 15:45:28 | (anonymous) 0xb561…f753 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x03c67b… |
| 10-16 15:45:28 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x03c67b… |
| 10-16 15:45:16 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x69609e… |
| 10-16 15:45:16 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x691327… |
| 10-16 15:45:16 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x69609e… |
| 10-16 15:45:16 | (anonymous) 0xdb38…70a7 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x691327… |
| 10-16 15:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xebfe…0664 | Up | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x313e8b… |
| 10-16 15:45:10 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x313e8b… |
| 10-16 15:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x343a…5278 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x77462b… |
| 10-16 15:45:09 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x77462b… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | (anonymous) 0xcd37…fa8e | Up | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xf02126… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x46ff…5e06 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4eea6f… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x2e83f9… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | (anonymous) 0xc9e3…1cff | Up | SELL | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x2e83f9… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb5dbee… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xf02126… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | (anonymous) 0xfba6…a569 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfd0a31… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xfd0a31… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x61ea…f58d | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb5dbee… |
| 10-16 15:44:57 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4eea6f… |
| 10-16 15:44:55 | (anonymous) 0x058b…2e1f | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa1333e… |
| 10-16 15:44:55 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x71adda… |
| 10-16 15:44:55 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa1333e… |
| 10-16 15:44:55 | (anonymous) 0x61ea…f58d | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x71adda… |
| 10-16 15:44:54 | Empty-Table 0xa18b…563e | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5e6d87… |
| 10-16 15:44:54 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 104 | 99¢ | $103 | 0xd0fbfd… |
| 10-16 15:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x50e76e… |
| 10-16 15:44:54 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x50e76e… |
| 10-16 15:44:54 | (anonymous) 0xbff2…dae7 | Down | BUY | 104 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd0fbfd… |
| 10-16 15:44:54 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5e6d87… |
| 10-16 15:44:52 | (anonymous) 0x13a1…d233 | Down | BUY | 304 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xfe737c… |
| 10-16 15:44:52 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 304 | 99¢ | $301 | 0xfe737c… |
| 10-16 15:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x13b33b… |
| 10-16 15:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x61ea…f58d | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa82dc9… |
| 10-16 15:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xd93f…042f | Up | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x13b33b… |
| 10-16 15:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa82dc9… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 186 | 99¢ | $184 | 0x97a839… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa0730b… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4213f6… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa0730b… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | Knowledgeable-Jail 0x1456…edb2 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2d1bcb… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 186 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x97a839… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | (anonymous) 0x67a9…29f8 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4213f6… |
| 10-16 15:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2d1bcb… |
| 10-16 15:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 697 | 99¢ | $690 | 0x11c7e4… |
| 10-16 15:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xae01…5dc6 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x11c7e4… |
| 10-16 15:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x8b22f7… |
| 10-16 15:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x11c7e4… |
| 10-16 15:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x819cc6… |
| 10-16 15:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x747f…1990 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x819cc6… |
| 10-16 15:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x61ea…f58d | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8b22f7… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x10b0…e4dd | Up | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Up | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x5eb3…dd2d | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x321ffc… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x2519…0e97 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1cecb4… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf9e8f7… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 144 | 99¢ | $143 | 0x3654c0… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x79a912… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x79a912… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x0437…13d2 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x321ffc… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5bee7a… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 105 | 93¢ | $98 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xc2c5…16bb | Down | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x950515… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x46ff…5e06 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa390b1… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Crisp-Handlebar 0x0502…513b | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x269f…1c51 | Down | SELL | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc4f21… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x12bb…3321 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xaa0ed9… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x54ec…73e4 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x321ffc… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc4f21… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x093d…220e | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa19800… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x809f…2ef0 | Up | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x7dd645… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Stale-Adviser 0xbeb4…da45 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x78d96a… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x321ffc… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x68ce…aff4 | Up | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7dd645… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x7dd645… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x12c5…d9eb | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x321ffc… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xc79d…5d34 | Down | BUY | 2,176 | 5¢ | $100 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x3654c0… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x950515… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x5bba…740e | Up | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x7dd645… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa390b1… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Down | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x321ffc… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 72 | 98¢ | $70 | 0xc26ac3… |
| 10-16 15:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xf20e29… |