Empty-Table — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

5,377

Trades

17,679

lifetime

Volume

$45.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-26 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% -$1,581

Other

2% 22% -$580

Politics

0% 42% +$6

Sports

0% 56% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	10-26 19:01
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	-1	-$1	76¢	$-1	+$0	10-08 08:00
another fed rate hike in 2026	No	-1	$0	24¢	$-0	$0	10-14 17:30
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	-1	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-26 19:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	13	$230	118,541	4,300	+114,241	No	-$212	04-29 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	34	$226	205	135	+70	Up	+$34	10-10 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11AM ET	41	$176	191	55	+136	Up	-$16	09-20 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	25	$165	160	72	+88	Down	+$3	06-05 14:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	17	$163	51,863	0	+51,863	Yes	-$163	06-17 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	27	$147	411	29	+382	Up	-$51	06-05 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:30 UTC	31	$146	275	0	+275	Down	-$29	06-05 21:34
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 8am et	5	$126	110	110	+0	Down	+$87	10-14 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	23	$120	169	169	+0	Down	-$2	10-16 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	29	$115	235	3	+232	Down	+$6	10-02 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	24	$112	123	100	+23	Up	-$1	10-16 00:43
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 2pm et	46	$112	223	0	+223	Down	$0	06-16 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	14	$110	103	103	+0	Down	+$44	07-16 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	14	$107	148	148	+0	Up	+$29	05-06 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:35 UTC	21	$106	147	18	+129	Up	-$5	06-05 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	15	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$1	10-04 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:30 UTC	17	$101	217	0	+217	Up	-$12	06-11 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	30	$99	153	13	+140	Down	+$7	10-08 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 16:45 UTC	22	$98	74	74	+0	Up	+$4	10-04 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET	27	$97	946	25	+921	Down	-$81	10-07 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	14	$94	89	62	+27	Up	-$6	10-16 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET	12	$93	78	78	+0	Up	+$11	10-05 17:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:45 UTC	14	$91	91	36	+56	Down	-$10	10-04 09:58
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 12pm et	18	$91	98	98	+0	Up	+$1	09-30 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	12	$90	117	0	+117	Down	-$3	06-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	14	$90	98	25	+73	Down	-$4	10-08 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	24	$88	234	0	+234	Down	-$16	10-16 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:55 UTC	14	$86	68	65	+2	Up	+$9	04-23 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 17:15 UTC	17	$81	98	98	+0	Up	+$3	06-25 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:30 UTC	13	$79	72	52	+20	Up	+$7	06-05 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf3c986…
10-26 19:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5dad76…
10-26 19:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbbe186…
10-26 19:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcf0e40…
10-26 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x407f35…
10-26 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2b309d…
10-26 19:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x998290…
10-26 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe8f0fa…
10-26 19:01:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xc1090a…
10-26 19:01:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbc7f91…
10-26 18:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7b368e…
10-26 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30559e…
10-26 18:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10e69f…
10-26 18:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xc400c7…
10-26 18:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd859ec…
10-26 18:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xee7d07…
10-26 18:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x560775…
10-26 18:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0468f3…
10-26 17:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x11a6d7…
10-26 17:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4ddf60…
10-26 17:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x5441d1…
10-26 17:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xa26561…
10-26 17:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xe9dc38…
10-26 17:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xe36220…
10-26 17:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4c89ee…
10-26 16:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x38c9f7…
10-26 16:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x79caf5…
10-26 15:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x4832db…
10-26 15:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xc172ed…
10-26 15:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xf38ee4…
10-26 15:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x008e5e…
10-26 15:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd18df0…
10-26 14:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x9525c7…
10-26 14:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa050d8…
10-26 14:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x2262fd…
10-26 14:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa2f65a…
10-26 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x16c43b…
10-26 14:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x97a29d…
10-26 14:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4d4667…
10-26 14:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xff3f57…
10-26 14:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9c13aa…
10-26 14:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x3d247a…
10-26 14:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb7c3c7…
10-26 14:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x259d45…
10-26 14:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5ca42d…
10-26 14:43:29	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x2c4102…
10-26 14:43:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x130200…
10-26 14:43:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x70649c…
10-26 14:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdd98d8…
10-26 14:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9a2aa5…
10-26 14:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xf6ff2e…
10-26 14:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x441f59…
10-26 14:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x582cba…
10-26 14:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x78b382…
10-26 14:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3ff5e1…
10-26 14:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd4c16…
10-26 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x5fd15e…
10-26 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xa744bf…
10-26 14:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x26909d…
10-26 14:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x5b236e…
10-26 14:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd9e115…
10-26 13:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x02b628…
10-26 13:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x888d50…
10-26 13:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x6b85c3…
10-26 13:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x964d11…
10-26 13:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6aaed3…
10-26 13:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1592a3…
10-26 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x973114…
10-26 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x97b0a1…
10-26 13:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x1f4365…
10-26 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf73c6…
10-26 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x19868b…
10-26 13:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x36a189…
10-26 13:46:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x100d18…
10-26 10:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xac8cf6…
10-26 10:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8b22d1…
10-26 10:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xddf3f6…
10-26 10:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd11855…
10-26 10:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc3669c…
10-26 10:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf329a3…
10-26 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb74e5c…
10-26 10:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf4b168…
10-26 10:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb6f719…
10-26 10:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5af360…
10-26 10:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x585ec4…
10-26 10:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x76b7a8…
10-26 10:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x259732…
10-26 10:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfe6a9c…
10-26 10:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbd04a4…
10-26 10:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf93b74…
10-26 10:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x890dfe…
10-26 10:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8b400f…
10-26 10:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x806e48…
10-26 09:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xac940a…
10-26 09:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc77cad…
10-26 09:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc275e0…
10-26 09:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa01b9d…
10-26 09:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe28310…
10-26 09:51:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0bbc62…
10-26 09:51:54	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x500dcc…