Empty-Table — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$157

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved (30d)

406

Trades (30d)

1,464

18,460 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.82K

$47.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 11-07 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 49% -$1,602

Other

2% 23% -$580

Politics

0% 35% +$5

Sports

0% 56% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	10-08 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up		+5	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	11-15 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	—	+165	$27	0¢	$0	-$27	11-15 19:16
another fed rate hike in 2026	No		-1	$0	4¢	$-0	+$0	10-14 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	13	$230	118,541	4,300	+114,241	No	-$212	04-29 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	34	$226	205	135	+70	Up	+$34	10-10 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11AM ET	41	$176	191	55	+136	Up	-$16	09-20 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	25	$165	160	72	+88	Down	+$3	06-05 14:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	17	$163	51,863	0	+51,863	Yes	-$163	06-17 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	27	$147	411	29	+382	Up	-$51	06-05 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:30 UTC	31	$146	275	0	+275	Down	-$29	06-05 21:34
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 8am et	5	$126	110	110	+0	Down	+$87	10-14 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	23	$120	169	169	+0	Down	-$2	10-16 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	29	$115	235	3	+232	Down	+$6	10-02 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	24	$112	123	100	+23	Up	-$1	10-16 00:43
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 2pm et	46	$112	223	0	+223	Down	$0	06-16 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	14	$110	103	103	+0	Down	+$44	07-16 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	14	$107	148	148	+0	Up	+$29	05-06 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	21	$106	147	18	+129	Up	-$5	06-05 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	15	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$1	10-04 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:30 UTC	17	$101	217	0	+217	Up	-$12	06-11 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	30	$99	153	13	+140	Down	+$7	10-08 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 16:45 UTC	22	$98	74	74	+0	Up	+$4	10-04 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET	27	$97	946	25	+921	Down	-$81	10-07 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	14	$94	89	62	+27	Up	-$6	10-16 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET	12	$93	78	78	+0	Up	+$11	10-05 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$92	125	125	+0	Down	+$88	11-02 20:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:45 UTC	14	$91	91	36	+56	Down	-$10	10-04 09:58
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 12pm et	18	$91	98	98	+0	Up	+$1	09-30 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	12	$90	117	0	+117	Down	-$3	06-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	14	$90	98	25	+73	Down	-$4	10-08 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	24	$88	234	0	+234	Down	-$16	10-16 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:55 UTC	14	$86	68	65	+2	Up	+$9	04-23 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 17:15 UTC	17	$81	98	98	+0	Up	+$3	06-25 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 20:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x44a038…
11-15 19:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xfe165c…
11-15 19:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x246202…
11-15 19:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x822034…
11-15 19:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x58c0f8…
11-15 19:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x505ea5…
11-15 19:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xb5d4b8…
11-15 19:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5207f7…
11-15 19:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1c9e57…
11-15 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x63a9df…
11-15 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xf71fdc…
11-15 19:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa56183…
11-15 19:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x4ee54b…
11-15 19:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xae5f04…
11-15 19:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x58f092…
11-15 19:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1904cb…
11-15 19:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3277e8…
11-15 19:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33a1bd…
11-15 19:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfcdc16…
11-15 19:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x290b16…
11-15 19:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x25a826…
11-15 19:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x26839e…
11-15 19:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xefc3ac…
11-15 19:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x90abe7…
11-15 19:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0d06e7…
11-15 19:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5ce408…
11-15 19:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xde553a…
11-15 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7b6e08…
11-15 19:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1f4fa0…
11-15 19:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xad13c7…
11-15 19:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdc8696…
11-07 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8e6276…
11-07 13:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xbb4ba6…
11-07 13:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2803a9…
11-07 13:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x756efc…
11-07 13:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6a8f26…
11-07 13:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0b1116…
11-07 13:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8cf62d…
11-07 13:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6daf20…
11-07 13:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x925797…
11-07 13:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xbd9388…
11-07 13:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x74f331…
11-07 13:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x9fd525…
11-07 13:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe6e7d9…
11-07 13:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb90418…
11-07 12:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	164	1¢	$1	0x25e656…
11-07 12:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7caa99…
11-07 12:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f320a…
11-07 12:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x5b7a3b…
11-07 12:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb07dca…
11-07 11:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8cf297…
11-07 11:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa3c5cd…
11-07 11:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xdb4d1d…
11-07 11:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x586a7d…
11-07 11:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8abea5…
11-07 10:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x724e20…
11-07 10:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x58b3af…
11-07 10:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc7d9a4…
11-07 10:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaef582…
11-07 10:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbb4040…
11-07 10:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xdae6ea…
11-07 10:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0a3a33…
11-07 10:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x660c52…
11-07 10:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x42953e…
11-07 10:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x723fe0…
11-07 10:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f382c…
11-07 10:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xadb97a…
11-07 09:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb07854…
11-07 09:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1fa81f…
11-07 09:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x438b0c…
11-07 09:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb289e3…
11-07 09:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xff395b…
11-07 09:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xcdb940…
11-07 09:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd77ce3…
11-07 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0188ad…
11-07 09:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd9a77e…
11-07 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x2d09c5…
11-07 09:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcad522…
11-07 09:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd58d6e…
11-07 09:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x87e219…
11-07 09:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	45¢	$8	0x29257d…
11-07 09:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x633550…
11-07 09:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b7c12…
11-07 09:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xce9cb7…
11-07 09:10:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xadc2f8…
11-07 09:08:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x18ed0d…
11-07 09:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1bfa28…
11-07 09:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x62db18…
11-07 09:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6e3133…
11-06 23:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x789e85…
11-06 19:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x847376…
11-06 19:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfc44e5…
11-06 19:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6b5b11…
11-06 19:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc2eb9d…
11-06 18:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x4e5e82…
11-06 18:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc13a81…
11-06 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1cad96…
11-06 18:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xef8dc7…
11-06 18:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcbe681…
11-06 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x54bf94…