Stale-Adviser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$42

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$158

12 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	+32	$32	99¢	$32	+$0	05-05 15:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	+23	$23	99¢	$23	+$0	05-05 15:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	+23	$23	91¢	$21	$-2	05-05 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	+30	$30	54¢	$16	$-14	05-05 16:09
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	+15	$15	99¢	$15	+$0	05-05 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	+22	$22	57¢	$13	$-9	05-05 16:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	05-05 15:29
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	+10	$10	90¢	$9	$-1	05-05 16:14
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	+9	$9	80¢	$7	$-2	05-05 16:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	+9	$9	65¢	$6	$-3	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	+10	$10	34¢	$3	$-6	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	+9	$9	32¢	$3	$-6	05-05 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x4a83de…
05-05 16:14:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1d26b6…
05-05 16:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x150343…
05-05 16:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb808f0…
05-05 16:04:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe4133b…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x511fd9…
05-05 16:04:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x7629bf…
05-05 15:59:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb2a452…
05-05 15:59:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1efc8e…
05-05 15:59:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x08ec13…
05-05 15:54:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbec895…
05-05 15:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x79c280…
05-05 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1d7458…
05-05 15:29:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa651f1…
05-05 14:29:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x5c424c…
05-05 14:24:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x533f12…
05-05 13:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x437ea0…
05-05 12:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5f67e2…
05-05 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x7f4667…
05-05 11:41:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x108bf6…
05-05 10:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x00919b…
05-05 10:41:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc21af0…
05-05 10:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x300d12…
05-05 10:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9beca1…
05-05 10:11:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xfdda9e…
05-05 09:41:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe5fbbf…
05-05 09:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbe0934…
05-05 07:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8c4aa5…
05-05 07:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9d038b…
05-05 07:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xa1b48e…
05-05 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xebe460…
05-05 06:56:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xec8250…
05-05 04:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x73faf6…
05-05 04:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x338cdb…
05-05 04:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d5bfb…
05-05 03:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x478e6f…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc1a8ff…
05-05 02:29:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfda316…
05-05 01:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7fb021…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9bb998…
05-05 01:29:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf244c4…
05-04 23:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8b250a…
05-04 23:29:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x9a469f…
05-04 22:44:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xf13a68…
05-04 22:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe0bc08…
05-04 22:44:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x41e203…
05-04 22:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd19ae4…
05-04 22:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0xe56a83…
05-04 22:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x2ea51b…
05-04 22:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xd90e31…
05-04 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdd5210…
05-04 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x76b8c8…
05-04 22:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6c7c25…
05-04 22:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xbc47b6…
05-04 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x711cd6…
05-04 22:09:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xa4ccf6…
05-04 22:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xcf129c…
05-04 21:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x195349…
05-04 21:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe1b8dd…
05-04 21:54:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x053689…
05-04 21:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x99451a…
05-04 21:49:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x52b9b5…
05-04 21:44:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbc5bec…
05-04 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5b3c2e…
05-04 21:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x26f2d0…
05-04 21:29:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa71124…
05-04 21:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc19ae1…
05-04 21:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x98fc4b…
05-04 21:14:42	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x0465d8…
05-04 21:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb0cb2a…
05-04 20:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x5dd4f8…
05-04 20:54:22	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe150bb…
05-04 20:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x428392…
05-04 20:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3fa55f…
05-04 20:34:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xb70bb5…
05-04 20:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xcd8883…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d	65	$1.03K	83	05-05 16:14
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	36	$623	83	05-05 16:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$9.13K	199	05-05 16:14
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	22	$2.49K	131	05-05 16:02
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$1.26K	43	05-05 16:14
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	20	$2.58K	81	05-05 16:02
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	12	$5.36K	13	05-05 16:09
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	8	$598	101	05-05 16:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-05 04:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$32	33	+33	Down	+$1	05-04 22:39
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-05 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$1	05-04 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-04 23:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-04 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Up	+$0	05-04 20:49
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Up	+$0	05-04 22:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	05-04 21:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	05-05 15:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	05-05 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	05-05 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	05-04 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Up	+$0	05-04 21:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Up	+$0	05-04 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	05-04 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	05-04 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Down	+$0	05-04 22:34
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-05 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-05 09:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$22	22	+22	Down	+$0	05-04 20:34
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$22	22	+22	Up	+$0	05-04 21:49
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$22	22	+22	Down	+$0	05-04 21:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-05 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-05 13:26