Stale-Adviser — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

182

182 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.89K

$2.89K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$51

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+16	$16	99¢	$16	+$0	05-05 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+25	$25	56¢	$14	$-11	05-05 22:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	+25	$25	36¢	$9	$-16	05-05 22:25
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	+4	$4	36¢	$1	$-2	05-05 22:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 19:53
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 20:13
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 17:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 21:25
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$34	35	+35	open	—	05-05 17:39
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-05 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$33	33	+33	open	—	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$33	33	+33	open	—	05-05 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-05 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$32	33	+33	Down	+$1	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-05 19:43
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-05 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-05 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$1	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$31	31	+31	open	—	05-05 19:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$31	31	+31	open	—	05-05 19:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-05 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-05 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe7774b…
05-05 22:40:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xde3fb4…
05-05 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x6588dd…
05-05 22:14:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x55db6b…
05-05 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe338ee…
05-05 21:59:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xe3b9d2…
05-05 21:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x85e17d…
05-05 21:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x68578e…
05-05 21:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x91c2d3…
05-05 21:54:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb8c618…
05-05 21:29:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5c84bb…
05-05 21:29:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x194bbd…
05-05 21:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x375b04…
05-05 21:24:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcfd8fb…
05-05 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8e975f…
05-05 21:09:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xd1f82e…
05-05 20:59:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x692ae5…
05-05 20:49:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xa0588e…
05-05 20:45:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdd3112…
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xc04557…
05-05 20:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x45fe89…
05-05 20:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf1cbc1…
05-05 20:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xa2b4d6…
05-05 20:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xdba348…
05-05 20:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb35645…
05-05 20:24:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf62f67…
05-05 20:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x3c7b8a…
05-05 20:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1057f9…
05-05 20:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x32fddf…
05-05 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa3f649…
05-05 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x7a183e…
05-05 20:13:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe55adf…
05-05 20:13:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x48fc5d…
05-05 20:13:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaa4916…
05-05 20:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfee378…
05-05 20:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0bc089…
05-05 20:03:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa6289c…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x654862…
05-05 20:03:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe0fdd0…
05-05 20:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x0ac4af…
05-05 20:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x266f8a…
05-05 20:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x23e838…
05-05 19:58:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2346cf…
05-05 19:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3d525b…
05-05 19:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb9eee5…
05-05 19:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1902fe…
05-05 19:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x230649…
05-05 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa2bc0e…
05-05 19:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa43cf2…
05-05 19:43:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x5453ea…
05-05 19:43:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x483ed0…
05-05 19:41:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x934839…
05-05 19:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf844de…
05-05 19:38:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x15f890…
05-05 19:33:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x903f2f…
05-05 19:28:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x03c631…
05-05 19:27:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1ea1a8…
05-05 19:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbf653e…
05-05 19:18:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbcb561…
05-05 19:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x6df92b…
05-05 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xbe8ab2…
05-05 19:18:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x60a5cf…
05-05 19:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x18dae1…
05-05 19:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8ecb29…
05-05 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x56ea9f…
05-05 19:14:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1c985f…
05-05 19:13:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe14253…
05-05 19:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfdff68…
05-05 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x1ec477…
05-05 19:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x624165…
05-05 18:54:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x21dff9…
05-05 18:48:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x455849…
05-05 18:44:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x503b94…
05-05 18:44:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x585368…
05-05 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x4f6839…
05-05 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4dbcef…
05-05 18:33:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xce7ab4…
05-05 18:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xcf7a17…
05-05 18:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb6d4ec…
05-05 18:24:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xfce9ae…
05-05 18:14:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9e7e34…
05-05 18:14:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4761dd…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x2af5ad…
05-05 18:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x121ea2…
05-05 18:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x446f7e…
05-05 18:08:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x256b0a…
05-05 18:04:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc2198d…
05-05 18:00:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xffe89a…
05-05 17:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12d17d…
05-05 17:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x59db37…
05-05 17:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x860af2…
05-05 17:54:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x78360e…
05-05 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x79c151…
05-05 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x86b170…
05-05 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x6aea63…
05-05 17:44:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xfa5afe…
05-05 17:44:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb9e1a2…
05-05 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x22e8e4…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd611ea…
05-05 17:24:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x8c8da9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d	141	$2.68K	200	05-05 22:50
Physical-Chipmunk 0x0899…459e	118	$1.01K	144	05-05 22:49
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	83	$1.40K	206	05-05 22:45
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	69	$5.75K	315	05-05 22:45
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	67	$1.79K	160	05-05 22:10
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	60	$6.87K	219	05-05 22:35
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	58	$26.2K	376	05-05 22:10
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	49	$5.13K	159	05-05 22:20