Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$73,630
Trades
4,579
Unique wallets
1,007
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-21 19:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $36.0K
vs crowd: 13% YES on $68.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 185 | $4.3K | $39.5K | $35.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 268 | $2.5K | $13.9K | $11.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 326 | $1.6K | $4.9K | $3.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 228 | $673 | $709 | $36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 182 | $4.1K | $31.9K | $27.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 156 | $810 | $7.2K | $6.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 53 | $81 | $751 | $669 |
| Median | 69 | $170 | $637 | $466 |
| Below median | 221 | $508 | $1.5K | $1.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 132 | $623 | $3.0K | $2.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 135 | $971 | $8.4K | $7.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 59 | $1.8K | $5.6K | $3.8K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +9,006 | $8,997 | $8,997 | 6 | 10-21 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2bf…1e90 | Up | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-21 19:05 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +3,523 | $3,200 | $3,200 | 43 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xada5…10a2 | Up | +3,200 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-21 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfab…c526 | Up | +2,201 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | +2,006 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-21 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf75d…9991 | Up | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-21 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +1,674 | $1,657 | $1,657 | 6 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a6f…0e13 | Down | +1,581 | $1,579 | $1,579 | 5 | 10-21 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | +1,524 | $52 | $52 | 9 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | +1,495 | $1,480 | $1,480 | 15 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Stale-Timpani 0x404e…4cd2 | Down | +1,453 | $1,424 | $1,424 | 1 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa35d…d57b | Down | +1,404 | $1,340 | $1,340 | 9 | 10-21 19:02 |
| Oval-Yoyo 0xbdcc…0558 | Up | +1,152 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 10-21 19:02 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +1,122 | $177 | $177 | 15 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +1,047 | $79 | $79 | 23 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +1,044 | $934 | $934 | 33 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f07…0fb6 | Up | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-21 19:04 |
| Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Down | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 3 | 10-21 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | +1,000 | $989 | $989 | 3 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc14b…cfe6 | Up | +987 | $7 | $33 | 4 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +977 | $170 | $170 | 63 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f36…fc98 | Up | +962 | $500 | $500 | 10 | 10-21 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +955 | $592 | $592 | 25 | 10-21 19:02 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +948 | $203 | $203 | 11 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x16b0…ea94 | Down | +914 | $899 | $899 | 3 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +899 | $207 | $207 | 37 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +847 | $521 | $521 | 32 | 10-21 19:01 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +812 | $551 | $551 | 33 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5964…4c07 | Up | +811 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +775 | $479 | $479 | 36 | 10-21 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +773 | $24 | $24 | 15 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +766 | $641 | $641 | 11 | 10-21 19:02 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd689…6ec7 | Up | +687 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-21 19:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31e…a51e | Down | +668 | $650 | $650 | 10 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +656 | $630 | $630 | 15 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +641 | $44 | $44 | 27 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +629 | $474 | $474 | 35 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4007…6307 | Up | +625 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-21 19:01 |
| Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04 | Up | +624 | $78 | $78 | 19 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c75…9e31 | Down | +623 | $600 | $600 | 3 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +618 | $337 | $337 | 15 | 10-21 19:01 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +605 | $60 | $60 | 24 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd85…cd25 | Up | +602 | $65 | $65 | 15 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +600 | $165 | $165 | 2 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +595 | $51 | $51 | 8 | 10-21 19:02 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +591 | $61 | $61 | 15 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1142…d120 | Up | +586 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +576 | $503 | $503 | 25 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +573 | $554 | $554 | 14 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +563 | $203 | $203 | 24 | 10-21 19:01 |
| Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Down | +556 | $550 | $550 | 3 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa712…b46b | Up | +552 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +542 | $494 | $494 | 18 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +527 | $398 | $398 | 42 | 10-21 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | +520 | $504 | $504 | 5 | 10-21 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +518 | $513 | $513 | 8 | 10-21 19:03 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Down | +516 | $250 | $250 | 6 | 10-21 18:58 |
| Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-21 19:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 19:06:15 | (anonymous) 0x10d5…b18e | Down | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0xc5a36a… |
| 10-21 19:06:15 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0xc5a36a… |
| 10-21 19:05:44 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb3460a… |
| 10-21 19:05:44 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb3460a… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x5eb3…dd2d | Down | BUY | 170 | 100¢ | $170 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x0437…13d2 | Down | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0xe6ec…b446 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x0be6…b5d3 | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Quick-Witted-Beastie 0xe807…8d4d | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 74 | 100¢ | $74 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | Down | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0xf735…7d90 | Down | SELL | 1,015 | 100¢ | $1,014 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x9e79…c038 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x3262…d094 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x99bf…4937 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | Crazy-Widow 0x63f7…0b26 | Down | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x4d42…23dd | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6b6e3f… |
| 10-21 19:05:05 | (anonymous) 0x0437…13d2 | Down | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xadf0b7… |
| 10-21 19:05:05 | (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xadf0b7… |
| 10-21 19:05:05 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 463 | 100¢ | $463 | 0xadf0b7… |
| 10-21 19:05:05 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xadf0b7… |
| 10-21 19:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xf75d…9991 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xadf0b7… |
| 10-21 19:05:03 | (anonymous) 0xd2bf…1e90 | Up | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x3c7db7… |
| 10-21 19:05:03 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0x3c7db7… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 535 | 100¢ | $534 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | Wordy-Penguin 0xb4c5…d67e | Down | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x7f07…0fb6 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | Cloudy-Windchime 0x24cc…639f | Down | BUY | 240 | 100¢ | $240 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Down | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…4dfc | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x322bfc… |
| 10-21 19:04:53 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Down | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xf5fc95… |
| 10-21 19:04:53 | (anonymous) 0x64ee…5031 | Down | SELL | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xf5fc95… |
| 10-21 19:04:47 | (anonymous) 0x5a6f…0e13 | Down | BUY | 1,031 | 100¢ | $1,030 | 0xc20f13… |
| 10-21 19:04:47 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc20f13… |
| 10-21 19:04:47 | (anonymous) 0xc1cb…6424 | Down | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xc20f13… |
| 10-21 19:04:47 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xc20f13… |
| 10-21 19:04:47 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Down | BUY | 809 | 100¢ | $808 | 0xc20f13… |
| 10-21 19:04:47 | (anonymous) 0x0a85…bdfd | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc20f13… |
| 10-21 19:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x67d6…6562 | Down | SELL | 233 | 100¢ | $232 | 0xcb6059… |
| 10-21 19:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x8258…78d6 | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xfde903… |
| 10-21 19:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x5a6f…0e13 | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xfde903… |
| 10-21 19:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x5a6f…0e13 | Down | BUY | 233 | 100¢ | $232 | 0xcb6059… |
| 10-21 19:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x5a6f…0e13 | Down | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x2dbc73… |
| 10-21 19:04:24 | (anonymous) 0xdf64…436e | Down | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x2dbc73… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | (anonymous) 0xbb79…125a | Down | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | (anonymous) 0xbc04…6bb0 | Down | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | (anonymous) 0xf75d…9991 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x5a6f…0e13 | Down | BUY | 258 | 100¢ | $257 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa170ab… |
| 10-21 19:04:09 | (anonymous) 0xada5…10a2 | Up | BUY | 1,200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf1f140… |
| 10-21 19:04:09 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 1,200 | 100¢ | $1,199 | 0xf1f140… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 1,706 | 100¢ | $1,704 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Down | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | (anonymous) 0xada5…10a2 | Up | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:04:02 | (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x7f31ff… |
| 10-21 19:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0e6ba9… |
| 10-21 19:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x0e6ba9… |
| 10-21 19:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xd582…68b5 | Down | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x0e6ba9… |
| 10-21 19:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e6ba9… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x5964…4c07 | Up | BUY | 761 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xc192…0366 | Down | BUY | 221 | 99¢ | $219 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | Secret-Allegation 0xfc76…0ad0 | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | BUY | 112 | 99¢ | $111 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 112 | 99¢ | $111 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…dde1 | Down | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | Defensive-Pawnshop 0x878b…72ec | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Up | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x91a9…44b8 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x758fc2… |
| 10-21 19:03:48 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7aac7e… |
| 10-21 19:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2ed539… |
| 10-21 19:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xbdc2f4… |
| 10-21 19:03:48 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbdc2f4… |
| 10-21 19:03:48 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2ed539… |
| 10-21 19:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x7aac7e… |
| 10-21 19:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x380dc3… |
| 10-21 19:03:47 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x213550… |
| 10-21 19:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x9047…66af | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x213550… |
| 10-21 19:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x380dc3… |