Realized P&L
+$58
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
233
lifetime
Volume
$712
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$5
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-27 15:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
97% 100% +$58
Other
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-20 02:21
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-1 06-08 11:11
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +751 $4 $1 $-3 06-26 11:39
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-20 02:22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +50 $6 $0 $-6 06-03 20:15
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? Yes +20 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 11:11
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $0 $-1 06-26 11:43
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 15:56