(anonymous) 0x954afe…a0575d
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Realized P&L
-$49
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
738
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$67
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-25 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
48% 0% $-49
Other
38% — —
Crypto
13% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $9 70¢ $9 $-1 07-20 11:34
New pandemic in 2026? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 07-07 04:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 88¢ $8 +$2 07-02 13:42
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 06-06 14:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-20 22:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $11 20¢ $5 $-5 06-04 08:58
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-03 16:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 78¢ $-4 +$0 07-25 00:40
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-30 15:02
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-17 03:24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 07-19 10:02
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 06-06 08:55
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 07-05 10:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$1 06-12 19:33
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -14 $-1 8¢ $-1 $-0 07-03 21:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 07-20 07:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 07-21 03:27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 6¢ $1 $-1 06-01 13:07
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 06-01 13:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 25¢ $-0 +$0 07-05 13:09