Spectacular-Cable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

989

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Sports

51% 59% +$0

Other

35% 100% +$1

Politics

11% 67% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+3	$2	84¢	$3	+$1	06-29 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	05-02 18:41
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	5	$13	7	10	-2	Yes	+$1	03-06 18:57
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-30 10:12
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	4	$10	4	7	-2	open	—	02-10 15:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-30 10:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$9	9	6	+3	open	—	05-07 15:42
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-30 10:12
ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-10 15:44
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-06 19:11
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 21:09
will ilhan omar resign by march 31	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 15:44
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 15:45
nothing ever happens elon edition	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-10 15:48
uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	4	$8	7	3	+5	open	—	02-14 09:16
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 19:19
nba den mem 2026 01 25	4	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-06 19:09
nothing ever happens interest rates	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	02-10 15:48
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$6	2	4	-2	open	—	01-13 17:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$6	5	2	+2	open	—	01-15 17:14
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 10:13
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 10:13
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 10:14
will rastriya swatantra party win the second most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-06 19:00
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-08 11:01
cdr alb rma 2026 01 14 rma	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	01-14 20:47
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 10:14
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 10:14
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-06 19:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-02 18:41
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:31:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1f1f0c…
06-29 16:31:01	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x97e07e…
06-29 16:30:49	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x009b58…
06-28 08:57:29	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3c63d0…
06-28 08:57:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x48d1de…
06-28 08:57:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x16098f…
05-25 15:46:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbd4fcf…
05-25 15:45:23	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x75e807…
05-24 11:30:04	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0e50ae…
05-23 14:55:40	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x80c4b5…
05-21 15:28:11	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4b0b0a…
05-21 15:27:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x007db6…
05-21 15:27:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x63b556…
05-21 15:27:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd2c9ee…
05-20 16:02:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa8201d…
05-20 16:01:43	Will The Weeknd have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5fa783…
05-20 16:01:36	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf7c38c…
05-19 13:51:54	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7ea081…
05-16 15:46:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x908c7e…
05-16 15:46:32	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x502db7…
05-14 15:29:25	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x12b9f3…
05-14 15:29:13	Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Virtus.pro	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa4f952…
05-13 15:02:36	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc5d665…
05-13 15:02:23	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x550c37…
05-12 16:21:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x054fc0…
05-12 16:21:25	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x934bbb…
05-11 19:13:27	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x241975…
05-11 19:13:18	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x03231d…
05-11 19:13:08	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe4d505…
05-10 10:06:46	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4fffb8…
05-10 10:06:37	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdc19c0…
05-08 20:22:44	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x97d34e…
05-08 20:22:33	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb37592…
05-07 15:43:26	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x75049f…
05-07 15:43:19	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x899bea…
05-07 15:43:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe5a546…
05-07 15:42:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9060cd…
05-06 20:26:06	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x214cde…
05-06 20:25:50	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xafdb74…
05-05 15:22:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2cad0e…
05-05 15:21:50	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x51f94f…
05-05 15:21:40	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0284a4…
05-04 15:09:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb3e4a5…
05-04 15:09:38	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x920873…
05-03 10:43:02	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x798ea3…
05-03 10:42:54	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3262cc…
05-03 10:42:26	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3ce532…
05-02 18:44:36	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xd6bdd2…
05-02 18:41:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2ff216…
05-02 18:41:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdd5d4d…
04-30 08:05:08	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x94a836…
04-30 08:05:00	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc7aa4f…
04-29 07:46:42	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd19815…
04-29 07:46:12	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x55cd22…
04-29 07:44:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x4c6b0b…
04-29 07:44:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9cd812…
04-29 07:43:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xe5fff0…
04-28 21:10:36	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9b922e…
04-28 21:10:24	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x54c686…
04-28 21:09:04	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x9642b7…
04-27 19:35:16	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xec7de5…
04-27 19:35:00	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8ad873…
04-27 19:34:50	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5e47cf…
04-27 19:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa874b2…
04-27 19:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4ad4ca…
04-26 20:12:10	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x30a593…
04-26 20:12:00	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbabe25…
04-26 20:11:50	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1af3c6…
04-26 20:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1969bc…
04-26 20:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9d56a1…
04-25 15:23:20	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x369ae6…
04-25 15:23:10	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcd7043…
04-25 15:23:00	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3258d1…
04-25 15:22:46	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x7bda9b…
04-25 15:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe02ffa…
04-25 15:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x65b311…
04-24 18:35:06	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x462dd4…
04-24 18:34:56	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x174e9b…
04-24 18:34:46	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8b94de…
04-24 18:34:08	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x123394…
04-23 14:08:18	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf51383…
04-23 14:08:10	nba cle tor 2026 04 23	Cavaliers	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcd7d9f…
04-23 14:08:02	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf4ce66…
04-23 14:07:40	Will Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfe3084…
04-22 15:30:18	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb0e9e1…
04-22 15:30:10	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Pistons	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1d4938…
04-22 15:29:36	Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe6318a…
04-21 18:04:06	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x731f77…
04-21 18:03:56	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Spurs	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x556a01…
04-21 18:03:46	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x56a206…
04-21 18:03:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4a9c57…
04-21 18:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0c5407…
04-20 19:13:46	nba min den 2026 04 20	Nuggets	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcbe503…
04-20 19:13:36	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf3d003…
04-20 19:13:26	nba tor cle 2026 04 20	Cavaliers	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbd2e4b…
04-20 19:13:08	highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeb4c30…
04-20 19:12:54	highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x109887…
04-19 12:42:04	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa2eb2c…
04-19 12:41:54	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Pistons	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbbf13a…
04-19 12:41:44	nba phx okc 2026 04 19	Thunder	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x76f31c…