Some-Robot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

273

Trades

3,160

lifetime

Volume

$215.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$952

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-08 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

67% 62% +$962

Politics

28% 67% -$537

Sports

5% 51% +$588

Tech

1% 42% +$120

Crypto

0% 42% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	-338	-$301	94¢	$-319	-$18	07-14 15:44
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-11,000	-$253	2¢	$-259	-$5	10-08 07:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	-169	-$165	99¢	$-167	-$2	07-27 19:59
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+26,036	$130	1¢	$143	+$13	10-03 08:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-400	-$54	16¢	$-64	-$11	08-04 13:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us collect between 500b and 1t in revenue in 2025	273	$24.6K	12,758	12,021	+737	No	+$94	02-16 08:01
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	88	$19.5K	11,559	8,236	+3,322	No	+$145	03-01 04:04
will the us collect between 1t and 2t in revenue in 2025	143	$15.0K	5,905	10,119	-4,213	No	+$39	02-15 23:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	48	$10.6K	30,309	28,134	+2,175	Yes	-$2,438	05-09 07:21
will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of february 2026	61	$10.2K	5,177	5,083	+94	No	+$97	02-28 03:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	45	$8.2K	5,317	4,973	+344	Yes	+$959	01-31 02:06
will trump talk to satya nadella in january	36	$6.6K	2,612	4,265	-1,653	Yes	+$189	01-22 11:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	30	$6.3K	3,523	3,723	-200	Yes	+$534	04-17 12:53
will 2025 be the second hottest year on record 294	26	$5.7K	6,020	1,146	+4,873	Yes	+$324	01-14 13:38
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	266	$5.7K	6,829	3,170	+3,659	Yes	+$1,787	05-08 18:16
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	16	$5.6K	4,449	2,296	+2,153	Yes	+$129	03-01 06:39
will trump shake hands with emmanuel macron at the world economic forum	38	$5.6K	2,733	3,063	-330	No	+$154	01-22 22:19
will the us collect more than 2t in revenue in 2025	85	$4.5K	2,253	3,220	-967	No	+$8	02-19 18:20
Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	17	$3.9K	2,595	1,783	+812	No	+$291	05-13 18:47
Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	19	$3.6K	2,444	1,644	+800	No	+$227	05-13 18:49
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	94	$3.3K	5,392	3,763	+1,628	No	-$295	01-23 06:05
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	44	$3.2K	3,026	2,188	+837	No	+$451	01-21 14:33
will norway win the most medal points in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$3.1K	3,421	0	+3,421	Yes	+$334	02-18 16:11
will trump shake hands with keir starmer at the world economic forum	20	$3.0K	1,527	1,568	-41	No	+$58	01-22 15:14
will 2025 be the hottest year on record	3	$3.0K	2,985	0	+2,985	No	+$6	01-14 16:24
will gold gc settle over 6000 on the final trading day of february 2026	21	$2.9K	1,465	1,465	+0	No	+$67	02-27 18:20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$2.3K	1,309	1,309	+0	Yes	+$93	05-05 03:10
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	3	$2.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$20	02-05 11:54
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$20	01-25 02:21
nothing ever happens january 581	23	$1.8K	973	995	-22	No	+$123	01-31 10:07
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.6K	900	900	+0	No	+$37	03-14 12:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	16	$1.5K	2,245	1,000	+1,245	Yes	+$1,286	02-04 04:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$1.5K	791	791	+0	No	+$74	03-12 02:28
will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january	7	$1.5K	1,001	501	+500	Yes	+$5	01-22 13:57
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for norway by feburary 1	13	$1.4K	988	988	+0	No	+$121	01-21 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 07:14:29	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,293	3¢	$34	0xf050e4…
10-08 04:33:16	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x217b20…
10-07 14:48:19	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xdcb64c…
10-07 14:47:08	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$2	0x002388…
10-07 13:44:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc74e29…
10-07 13:17:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xe7109f…
10-07 13:06:47	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x6131ef…
10-07 12:57:34	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb7d55d…
10-07 09:58:32	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x403437…
10-07 09:46:12	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x060d01…
10-07 09:31:56	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xac471d…
10-07 09:29:27	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xca331a…
10-07 08:47:08	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5341ac…
10-07 08:25:50	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x297d98…
10-07 07:53:44	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x87e5e1…
10-07 07:37:38	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x747a13…
10-07 07:29:29	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x765a1a…
10-07 07:25:12	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4ba5fd…
10-07 07:23:20	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xff8a63…
10-07 07:20:56	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x15c945…
10-07 07:18:24	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5c6d5f…
10-07 07:15:06	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6620fb…
10-07 07:10:21	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5def69…
10-07 06:38:48	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5dec18…
10-07 05:29:30	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xae56aa…
10-07 05:25:20	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x126cd6…
10-07 05:20:44	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9eaaf1…
10-07 04:48:03	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcb5b55…
10-07 04:29:42	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x87617d…
10-07 04:08:45	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd4f9db…
10-07 03:46:18	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x6c2b3f…
10-06 23:21:28	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x2e8d0a…
10-06 19:55:51	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x12a0be…
10-06 18:59:05	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x1220fd…
10-06 16:36:14	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x7e2128…
10-06 16:33:30	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb0f6b2…
10-06 16:25:38	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x408486…
10-06 16:00:32	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x86d10c…
10-06 15:58:15	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x25a8d5…
10-06 15:40:05	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2b8544…
10-06 14:45:08	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0x6b9521…
10-06 14:43:47	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	113	2¢	$3	0x4a6005…
10-06 14:32:38	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0x1e60a5…
10-06 10:31:00	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,125	3¢	$78	0x4d26f7…
10-06 08:40:00	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x74bf09…
10-06 06:18:45	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x92e812…
10-06 06:14:58	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x544665…
10-06 06:10:22	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa916b7…
10-06 06:02:01	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xee99c2…
10-06 05:04:16	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfcd201…
10-06 04:41:55	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x99ec6d…
10-06 04:38:39	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0829aa…
10-06 04:35:19	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0a7764…
10-06 04:25:04	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf3c650…
10-06 04:18:40	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xaa0765…
10-06 04:15:36	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x3f73da…
10-06 04:13:27	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x27420b…
10-06 04:08:36	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x7c1fb0…
10-06 04:04:46	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x931e6d…
10-06 03:55:12	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa9f621…
10-06 03:49:15	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x09c298…
10-06 03:42:00	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8673e1…
10-06 03:35:49	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcfd0a3…
10-06 03:34:28	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3d19ab…
10-06 03:26:57	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa49e39…
10-06 03:26:51	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2434ed…
10-06 03:23:27	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xbc0e4c…
10-06 03:16:21	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xebc878…
10-03 08:45:56	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	26,036	0¢	$130	0x162829…
10-02 07:13:36	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	827	2¢	$17	0x184e20…
10-02 05:34:32	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x4a5885…
10-02 03:50:36	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x9a50ed…
10-02 03:50:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x53af4d…
10-02 03:22:54	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdf3c13…
10-02 02:22:47	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe54d35…
10-02 02:14:38	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd72c9f…
10-02 02:08:48	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	476	2¢	$10	0xb5daef…
10-02 02:06:47	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe90758…
10-02 02:02:18	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x66b8f4…
10-02 01:55:09	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4f10bc…
10-02 01:52:20	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x23b426…
10-02 01:35:08	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0378fb…
10-02 01:27:41	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa58ff9…
10-02 01:23:14	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x879c41…
10-01 21:52:26	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xc57fba…
10-01 19:11:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x7ab2c7…
10-01 19:03:02	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9782e6…
10-01 14:34:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x823fd1…
10-01 14:08:17	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8dea3d…
10-01 14:00:35	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x7d4fc8…
10-01 13:53:54	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc0dba4…
10-01 13:42:42	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x102194…
10-01 13:35:06	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xbf5a9f…
10-01 13:24:57	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4ceacd…
10-01 13:13:54	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc04572…
10-01 12:41:02	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x39f355…
10-01 12:36:48	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb4886c…
10-01 11:07:30	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xcbaf6b…
10-01 06:55:09	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe1fb95…
10-01 05:55:21	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf8c2bc…