Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
closed
Total volume
$17,879
$11,249 in 24h
Trades
359
Unique wallets
95
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-20
last 04-24 14:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.4¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $1000
vs crowd: 5% YES on $14.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 33 | $332 | $10.0K | $9.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $57 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $212 | $327 | $116 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $48 | $113 | $66 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $50 | $950 | $901 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $80 | $687 | $607 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $8 | $10 | $2 |
| Median | 6 | $10 | $129 | $118 |
| Below median | 19 | $40 | $28 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $18 | $212 | $194 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $35 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $241 | $8.3K | $8.1K |
| unranked | 13 | $167 | $113 | +$54 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | +8,193 | $8,124 | $8,189 | 2 | 03-06 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | +5,060 | $31 | $31 | 14 | 04-24 14:47 |
| Some-Robot 0xc42f…78a0 | No | +1,012 | $722 | $3,864 | 16 | 01-30 15:07 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +842 | $22 | $33 | 12 | 03-12 14:51 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +471 | $457 | $457 | 10 | 03-05 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c9c…b8fe | Yes | +454 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 02-07 17:16 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | No | +389 | $327 | $327 | 4 | 01-24 00:15 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | +376 | $6 | $6 | 8 | 02-15 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | Yes | +311 | $-6 | $6 | 3 | 04-02 11:17 |
| milize 0x076c…4e7b | No | +200 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 01-22 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | Yes | +184 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-04 17:29 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +152 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 03-18 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | Yes | +133 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-04 17:29 |
| Limping-Hummus 0xda46…cb3b | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 04-11 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d7e…f846 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-14 18:28 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-04 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d7e…f846 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 02-13 21:51 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +99 | $94 | $94 | 5 | 02-12 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | +98 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 03-04 16:17 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +97 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 02-03 17:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +65 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 01-20 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | Yes | +56 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 02-11 18:16 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +52 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 04-11 06:56 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $22 | 9 | 04-11 06:56 |
| Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 02-11 07:02 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +41 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 04-21 15:36 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 01-30 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d98…62ab | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 11:17 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-04 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $9 | 4 | 01-30 06:06 |
| Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 02-15 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1584…71b6 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 01-30 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5642…5117 | No | +27 | $13 | $244 | 2 | 01-30 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5642…5117 | Yes | +27 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 01-24 17:11 |
| Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 02-11 07:02 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 02-11 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $10 | $14 | 11 | 03-12 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 02-13 12:43 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 02-13 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf52…ed81 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 03-11 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe069…3c17 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-30 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xda59…30db | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-18 20:42 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $3 | 8 | 02-20 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +8 | $7 | $65 | 5 | 02-13 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-04 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 01-21 15:06 |
| oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-24 07:54 |
| Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | Yes | +3 | $-1 | $3 | 13 | 02-12 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf95…7865 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-08 09:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa344…bb29 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-22 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2302…d402 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-30 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6841…6ebc | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-22 16:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 14:47:18 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1582ca… |
| 04-24 14:47:18 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1582ca… |
| 04-21 15:36:42 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ad8e5… |
| 04-21 15:36:42 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ad8e5… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc84cc3… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc84cc3… |
| 04-21 15:07:30 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x203e20… |
| 04-21 15:07:30 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x203e20… |
| 04-19 19:35:26 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8697ba… |
| 04-19 19:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x5b1e…4777 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8697ba… |
| 04-11 06:56:37 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x258779… |
| 04-11 06:56:37 | Limping-Hummus 0xda46…cb3b | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x258779… |
| 04-11 06:56:37 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x258779… |
| 04-02 11:17:11 | (anonymous) 0x3d98…62ab | Yes | BUY | 34 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x2d6645… |
| 04-02 11:17:11 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x2d6645… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x049618… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x049618… |
| 03-30 13:49:49 | (anonymous) 0xc4f8…ba0c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x166514… |
| 03-30 13:49:49 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x166514… |
| 03-30 13:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x232a10… |
| 03-30 13:45:31 | (anonymous) 0xc4f8…ba0c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x232a10… |
| 03-18 20:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xda59…30db | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6b6419… |
| 03-18 20:42:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6b6419… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x088aee… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x088aee… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdd794… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdd794… |
| 03-12 14:51:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x05c10d… |
| 03-12 14:51:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x05c10d… |
| 03-12 14:51:39 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 181 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x05c10d… |
| 03-11 17:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7ac675… |
| 03-11 17:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7ac675… |
| 03-09 18:16:41 | (anonymous) 0x9488…d531 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d8db7… |
| 03-09 18:16:41 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d8db7… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x86c39e… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xcf95…7865 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x86c39e… |
| 03-08 09:39:25 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd012da… |
| 03-08 09:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd012da… |
| 03-08 09:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd012da… |
| 03-08 09:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x4113…6bfa | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xd012da… |
| 03-06 23:49:23 | Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xf19dfa… |
| 03-06 23:49:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf19dfa… |
| 03-06 23:49:23 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf19dfa… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x057bd9… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59c5a7… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59c5a7… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x057bd9… |
| 03-05 14:59:37 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb027ae… |
| 03-05 14:59:37 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb027ae… |
| 03-04 16:59:37 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d7dfc… |
| 03-04 16:59:37 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d7dfc… |
| 03-04 16:27:37 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 2,857 | 1¢ | $20 | 0xf7e00b… |
| 03-04 16:27:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 818 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xf7e00b… |
| 03-04 16:27:37 | Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | BUY | 8,226 | 99¢ | $8,157 | 0xf7e00b… |
| 03-04 16:21:23 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x286726… |
| 03-04 16:21:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x286726… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xc66b5c… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc66b5c… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11a7a1… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11a7a1… |
| 02-26 05:37:22 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x09279d… |
| 02-26 05:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x5fc5…610e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x09279d… |
| 02-23 03:34:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf3fbda… |
| 02-23 03:34:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf3fbda… |
| 02-23 03:34:06 | Poor-Coverage 0x7769…9991 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf3fbda… |
| 02-20 02:19:54 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x222087… |
| 02-20 02:19:54 | (anonymous) 0xae24…b686 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x222087… |
| 02-20 02:19:54 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x222087… |
| 02-20 02:19:54 | (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x222087… |
| 02-17 22:31:53 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd9f8a7… |
| 02-17 22:31:53 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd9f8a7… |
| 02-17 16:23:33 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0e840… |
| 02-17 16:23:33 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xe0e840… |
| 02-17 16:23:33 | Poor-Coverage 0x7769…9991 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe0e840… |
| 02-17 16:23:33 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0e840… |
| 02-17 16:23:33 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe0e840… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2c793f… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2c793f… |
| 02-15 16:51:27 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x91780b… |
| 02-15 16:51:27 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91780b… |
| 02-14 18:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x4d7e…f846 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfaf6a5… |
| 02-14 18:28:37 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfaf6a5… |
| 02-13 21:51:07 | Poor-Coverage 0x7769…9991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1eb560… |
| 02-13 21:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x4d7e…f846 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x1eb560… |
| 02-13 20:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x178062… |
| 02-13 20:43:25 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x178062… |
| 02-13 20:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xaeb5…50ae | Yes | SELL | 200 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x178062… |
| 02-13 20:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x178062… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdf0a39… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdf0a39… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $36 | 0xdf0a39… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x2401e0… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2401e0… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xd45782… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd45782… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd45782… |
| 02-13 12:43:15 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf1cd39… |
| 02-13 12:43:15 | (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf1cd39… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2f51dd… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2f51dd… |