Vivid-Macrofauna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$169.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.18K

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

13,207

Trades

334,849

lifetime

Volume

$23.7M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$123.0K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

63% 87% +$179,065

Sports

17% 95% +$22,460

Politics

17% 90% -$9,100

Crypto

1% 87% -$966

Pop-Culture

1% 89% +$844

Tech

1% 73% -$23,007

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+126,063	$118,099	96¢	$121.0K	+$2,921	10-25 23:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+2,000	$1,820	92¢	$1.8K	+$10	10-07 18:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-1,019	-$413	16¢	$-168	+$245	09-23 16:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	159	$678.9K	383,890	389,033	-5,143	Yes	+$9,644	03-18 14:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	234	$591.5K	324,749	294,749	+30,000	No	+$22,549	03-31 15:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	252	$432.3K	545,382	117,004	+428,378	Yes	-$2,760	07-29 12:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	201	$386.0K	362,725	45,925	+316,800	No	+$22,088	06-16 12:49
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	343	$346.3K	357,882	8,227	+349,655	No	+$11,718	02-25 07:02
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	341	$316.3K	321,688	17,937	+303,751	No	+$14,465	01-26 09:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	71	$301.3K	325,220	11,000	+314,220	No	+$34,828	04-26 02:22
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	305	$222.2K	222,400	542	+221,859	No	+$702	02-21 01:11
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	292	$213.8K	216,478	0	+216,478	No	+$2,658	02-21 01:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	110	$205.7K	207,000	0	+207,000	Yes	+$1,342	01-31 13:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	288	$203.5K	205,670	789	+204,881	No	+$2,811	02-21 01:11
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	283	$202.7K	204,723	0	+204,723	No	+$2,052	02-21 01:11
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	270	$197.0K	195,711	131,447	+64,264	No	+$1,100	01-26 09:12
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	262	$194.4K	194,780	0	+194,780	No	+$415	02-21 01:11
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	208	$185.1K	185,583	0	+185,583	No	+$518	02-21 01:11
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	359	$159.7K	162,541	0	+162,541	No	+$2,887	02-08 14:15
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	13	$157.8K	158,339	0	+158,339	No	+$507	01-01 21:12
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	220	$140.5K	231,705	95,492	+136,212	No	+$13,456	03-17 17:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	382	$129.9K	155,733	20,000	+135,733	Yes	-$1,671	04-28 03:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$118.1K	126,063	0	+126,063	open	—	10-25 23:24
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	594	$117.9K	118,625	226,045	-107,420	No	+$5,215	02-08 19:14
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	484	$113.9K	192,949	0	+192,949	Yes	-$113,852	02-08 20:52
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	178	$109.9K	109,711	177,595	-67,884	No	+$533	01-26 17:30
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	350	$104.9K	257,896	14,059	+243,837	Yes	-$3,094	01-27 22:17
will luong cuong be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	643	$90.8K	91,283	0	+91,283	No	+$508	01-22 19:59
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	695	$88.3K	92,865	1,580	+91,285	No	+$5,906	01-23 08:52
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	645	$86.3K	87,217	2,800	+84,417	No	+$963	01-22 19:59
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	129	$84.8K	84,970	58,993	+25,977	No	+$1,107	03-10 04:32
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	136	$84.7K	84,793	60,280	+24,513	No	+$1,353	03-10 04:32
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	488	$81.4K	192,289	0	+192,289	No	+$110,933	02-08 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:36:38	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	438	43¢	$188	0x4d24cc…
10-27 17:36:36	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x986956…
10-27 17:36:36	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x06eb40…
10-27 17:36:35	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xacc0bc…
10-27 17:36:35	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x450e31…
10-27 17:35:53	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x37224a…
10-27 17:35:50	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x776b8f…
10-27 17:35:50	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3a01ea…
10-27 17:35:35	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0x3bf4c9…
10-27 17:35:32	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0xda95c8…
10-27 17:35:11	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0x1d7bf4…
10-27 17:34:39	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	75	43¢	$32	0x00b4fa…
10-27 17:33:35	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	453	43¢	$195	0xbbc166…
10-27 17:30:17	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0x87fe71…
10-27 09:15:33	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1,500	43¢	$645	0xcd0cbd…
10-27 09:15:17	Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)	Nemiga	BUY	1,500	34¢	$510	0xa659c9…
10-26 16:05:06	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,500	36¢	$540	0x8ca756…
10-26 13:34:36	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	1,500	42¢	$630	0x13777c…
10-25 23:24:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	121,063	94¢	$113,799	0x49e36a…
10-25 15:46:17	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xe319b8…
10-25 15:45:44	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf7dab7…
10-25 15:34:24	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x00d68c…
10-25 15:34:05	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xc1aaaf…
10-25 15:33:14	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xaf0d97…
10-25 15:32:21	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0x734469…
10-25 15:30:18	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xf3dc2d…
10-25 15:21:36	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	54	31¢	$17	0xd47965…
10-25 14:42:33	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	181	31¢	$56	0x54503c…
10-25 14:38:23	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0xfde54f…
10-25 14:36:39	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xde0088…
10-25 14:27:12	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xfab69b…
10-25 13:10:33	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x31b22c…
10-25 13:09:20	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	190	33¢	$63	0x1d2a4a…
10-25 13:08:35	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	528	32¢	$169	0xd9c866…
10-25 13:05:56	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac8437…
10-25 13:04:06	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xb907f1…
10-25 12:44:57	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	1,200	47¢	$564	0x423a90…
10-25 11:50:56	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0xcaf063…
10-25 11:00:44	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0xfe1848…
10-25 11:00:05	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x889acb…
10-25 09:29:50	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,500	34¢	$510	0xb5a9e1…
10-25 07:58:36	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x940689…
10-25 07:57:53	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	458	54¢	$247	0x5e941a…
10-25 01:51:21	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	366	55¢	$201	0xb446c6…
10-25 01:36:03	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x1d0153…
10-25 01:35:35	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xce0b06…
10-25 01:31:17	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	632	43¢	$272	0x9a72cb…
10-25 01:28:53	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xa81115…
10-25 01:28:51	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x7038e5…
10-25 01:22:57	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x24ff24…
10-25 00:08:05	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3d26d6…
10-24 23:30:24	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0x66beb9…
10-24 23:28:47	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x629f06…
10-24 23:28:42	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	158	55¢	$87	0x6bf517…
10-24 23:14:15	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa3cf9b…
10-24 23:12:05	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x7c48c9…
10-24 23:10:35	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xc17d8c…
10-24 23:06:53	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	66	55¢	$36	0x24af3a…
10-24 23:04:33	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xeff248…
10-24 22:33:29	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xb6f786…
10-24 21:55:06	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	222	55¢	$122	0x7700b2…
10-24 21:53:03	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x7f95e0…
10-24 21:03:32	cs2 fut tl1 2026 10 25 map handicap away 1pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x14c177…
10-24 21:00:51	cs2 fut tl1 2026 10 25 map handicap away 1pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x9e364d…
10-24 20:59:21	cs2 fut tl1 2026 10 25 map handicap away 1pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xfa655c…
10-24 20:58:42	cs2 fut tl1 2026 10 25 map handicap away 1pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x1aad78…
10-24 20:58:38	cs2 fut tl1 2026 10 25 map handicap away 1pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	91	43¢	$39	0x0116f1…
10-24 20:58:23	cs2 fut tl1 2026 10 25 map handicap away 1pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	87	43¢	$37	0x1f3399…
10-24 16:05:30	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	1,598	55¢	$879	0x6a2da9…
10-24 14:40:50	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	1,500	42¢	$630	0x860fca…
10-24 11:44:35	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	1,200	59¢	$708	0x6a7fdc…
10-24 09:08:24	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x1b30e4…
10-24 09:08:00	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb06a2d…
10-24 09:04:53	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0xd98f80…
10-24 09:01:41	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb51089…
10-24 09:01:38	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0449e1…
10-24 09:01:35	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9150f0…
10-24 09:00:42	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8af57b…
10-24 08:40:09	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	110	56¢	$62	0xbc2078…
10-24 08:27:30	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0xa828bd…
10-24 08:07:39	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	227	56¢	$127	0xbe87e1…
10-24 07:55:38	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x82044b…
10-24 06:35:23	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xd69640…
10-24 06:12:20	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x11b55d…
10-24 06:11:15	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7a28a3…
10-24 04:39:08	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x66d3c3…
10-24 04:06:42	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	71	41¢	$29	0xdb6971…
10-24 03:37:03	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x98e6a2…
10-24 03:37:03	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	525	41¢	$215	0x2f897c…
10-24 03:09:00	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0xbcc03c…
10-24 03:07:26	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x982dde…
10-24 03:07:00	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2ff575…
10-24 03:06:42	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe5ee4b…
10-24 03:05:42	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x8cfbf7…
10-24 03:05:41	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	340	41¢	$139	0xe6f55a…
10-24 02:45:44	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ef5bb…
10-24 02:15:50	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8142bc…
10-23 17:57:48	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0x09e493…
10-22 08:35:17	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	49	26¢	$13	0x4ab382…
10-22 07:57:59	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc828ae…