Poor-Coverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$654

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

637

Trades

2,841

lifetime

Volume

$5.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$210

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-13 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

69% 29% -$546

Politics

17% 31% -$13

Crypto

10% 34% -$46

Tech

3% 31% -$10

Pop-Culture

1% 7% -$26

Sports

0% 10% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-107	-$105	99¢	$-106	-$1	05-13 06:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+107	$100	97¢	$104	+$4	05-13 06:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	36	$121	1,301	1,301	+0	No	+$6	02-12 23:12
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$117	778	678	+100	No	+$8	02-13 20:22
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	27	$106	504	504	+0	Yes	+$7	02-23 04:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$105	0	107	-107	open	—	05-13 06:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$100	107	0	+107	open	—	05-13 06:08
highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 11corhigher	26	$99	678	678	+0	Yes	+$48	02-13 17:20
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	15	$91	499	499	+0	Yes	+$6	02-13 23:29
will israel strike gaza on february 13 2026	13	$90	309	309	+0	No	+$36	02-13 23:25
highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 10c	13	$75	369	369	+0	No	+$16	02-13 06:01
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$69	400	300	+100	Yes	+$1	02-13 18:23
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	19	$66	623	623	+0	No	+$6	02-13 05:31
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be less than 47m	11	$65	340	340	+0	Yes	$0	02-14 01:10
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	9	$64	500	300	+200	Yes	+$1	02-13 19:36
will israel strike gaza on february 12 2026	12	$59	406	406	+0	Yes	+$24	02-13 08:50
will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	11	$55	300	300	+0	No	-$3	02-14 01:43
will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	7	$46	300	300	+0	No	-$8	02-14 00:43
will lurker win best first feature at the 41st film independent spirit awards	5	$46	67	67	+0	Yes	+$34	02-15 22:51
will goat opening weekend box office be between 17m and 20m	12	$45	343	343	+0	No	-$3	02-14 09:24
will goat opening weekend box office be less than 17m	9	$44	369	369	+0	No	-$6	02-14 01:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	29	$44	528	528	+0	Yes	+$2	02-13 00:58
will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	9	$43	481	281	+200	Yes	+$2	02-12 20:52
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	6	$42	200	200	+0	No	+$6	02-13 17:13
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	10	$39	180	153	+27	Yes	+$30	02-13 21:30
highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 5c	15	$36	209	209	+0	No	+$5	02-13 11:56
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	10	$36	329	221	+108	No	-$8	02-14 00:51
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	8	$35	217	217	+0	No	+$0	02-14 02:21
will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	5	$33	200	200	+0	No	-$1	02-18 23:08
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$32	298	198	+100	No	-$5	02-12 16:29
will love is blind season 10 be the top us netflix show this week	4	$32	164	164	+0	No	+$4	02-13 22:59
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 1c	3	$32	100	100	+0	Yes	+$12	02-13 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 06:08:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x453e8d…
05-13 06:08:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0x644d47…
03-11 15:28:39	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner chicago blackhawks	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x4c0ee8…
03-11 15:15:35	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner new york rangers	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x78473d…
03-11 15:15:35	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner san jose sharks	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x4a4d92…
03-01 00:02:45	will shrinking win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x42719b…
02-28 23:10:17	will bella ramsey win best actress in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x466f0c…
02-27 07:32:53	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner nashville predators	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x28343f…
02-25 06:23:24	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner toronto maple leafs	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xcbe76c…
02-23 13:26:12	will only murders in the building win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x7090d1…
02-23 05:09:22	will marty supreme win best cast in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x975abc…
02-23 04:28:48	will gary oldman win best actor in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x681d91…
02-23 04:12:26	will jason bateman win best actor in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2c2e6b…
02-23 04:12:20	will laurie metcalf win best actress in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xba80fa…
02-23 04:12:10	mike johnson out as speaker by march 31	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x2f2a49…
02-23 04:12:04	will forum for democracy fvd win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xee5a88…
02-23 04:12:00	will ateens win melodifestivalen 2026	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x6f7a7f…
02-23 04:11:54	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x61350a…
02-23 04:11:48	Will Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa57aae…
02-23 04:11:42	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt8 by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x064657…
02-23 04:11:36	will sinners win exactly 8 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x422925…
02-23 04:11:16	martin nowak out by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb76bdb…
02-23 04:11:12	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x044652…
02-23 04:11:00	will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9f7e55…
02-23 04:10:50	Hyperlend FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xa030b3…
02-23 04:10:46	Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfcdee1…
02-23 04:10:32	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x620ada…
02-23 04:10:16	penguin listed on binance by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x5ddee9…
02-23 04:10:06	will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x30ee72…
02-23 04:10:00	will hamnet win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x054d06…
02-23 04:09:44	over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x48c99d…
02-23 04:09:40	will sinners win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x00b645…
02-23 04:09:26	will seth rogen win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xb16e1c…
02-23 04:01:24	will reed showalter be the democratic nominee for il 07 482	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x40f4ec…
02-23 04:01:20	will franz tata garca win the 2026 sucre mayoral election 282	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x23e641…
02-23 04:00:52	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xd7318b…
02-23 04:00:30	will there be at least 2 nyt banner headlines by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x160194…
02-23 03:35:48	will michael chernus win best actor in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x831aba…
02-23 03:35:46	will mark ruffalo win best actor in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xcad6f2…
02-23 03:35:46	will michael shannon win best actor in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x7bba72…
02-23 03:35:46	will the diplomat win best producer of a tv drama series at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x57ba70…
02-23 03:35:46	will danny mcbride win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x40547d…
02-23 03:34:14	will sinners win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6a23c7…
02-23 03:34:14	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x5be655…
02-23 03:34:12	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner carolina hurricanes	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc416d3…
02-23 03:34:12	will wilfredo rolando morales win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 598	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x154f98…
02-23 03:34:10	Will Joshua Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf68877…
02-23 03:34:10	will chainlink be the top performing crypto in february	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xec47f6…
02-23 03:34:10	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner dallas stars	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xd7276d…
02-23 03:34:10	will wesley hunt win the texas republican senate primary by 3 or more 552	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x97ede2…
02-23 03:34:10	Will Nils Walker be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x1d5eae…
02-23 03:34:08	Will Gretchen Brown be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xf7df03…
02-23 03:34:08	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xc2013c…
02-23 03:34:08	will trump say tampon tim by february 28	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x784f31…
02-23 03:34:08	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 3 and 6pt00	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x59a8cf…
02-23 03:34:06	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xf3fbda…
02-23 03:34:06	will anglica sosa win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x7cdb19…
02-23 03:34:06	will the median home value in the dc metro area be less than 497000 by march 1	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x512193…
02-23 03:34:04	will glenn close win best supporting actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xd89bea…
02-23 03:34:02	will harrison ford win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xe8142e…
02-23 03:34:02	will prizefighter mumford and sons debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xcfe5c8…
02-23 03:34:02	will solana be the top performing crypto in february	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x85d749…
02-23 03:33:58	will jhonny fernndez win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xa673f2…
02-23 03:33:58	will pump be the top performing crypto in february	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x6bcfc4…
02-23 03:33:58	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x465fdc…
02-23 03:33:58	will ted danson win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x3b9f0b…
02-23 03:33:56	will prizefighter mumford and sons debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0xea8577…
02-23 03:33:54	will prizefighter mumford and sons debut week album sales be at least 500k	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xe5ebc0…
02-23 03:33:54	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner minnesota wild	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x9eadd1…
02-23 03:33:54	will ocean with david attenborough win best producer of documentary film at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x8c24cd…
02-23 03:33:54	Will Drake release an album in 2026?	No	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x1081ae…
02-23 03:33:52	will posy li die in bridgerton season 4	Yes	SELL	77	5¢	$3	0xa16150…
02-23 03:33:52	Will Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$0	0x69de42…
02-23 03:33:50	will ethena be the top performing crypto in february	Yes	SELL	86	2¢	$2	0xdb1767…
02-23 03:33:50	will jazmin robinson be the democratic nominee for il 07 582	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0x73d122…
02-23 03:33:48	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0xf8719a…
02-23 03:33:48	will michael shannon win best actor in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0xaf6228…
02-23 03:33:48	will andor win best producer of a tv drama series at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x86e68b…
02-23 03:33:46	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe263a4…
02-23 03:33:46	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner toronto maple leafs	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x66a3ed…
02-23 03:33:46	will christian unionsgp cusgp win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5eed85…
02-23 03:33:46	will laurie metcalf win best actress in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0x23e97a…
02-23 03:33:44	will only murders in the building win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0xdd3af1…
02-23 03:33:44	will jay fondren be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc68f2b…
02-23 03:33:44	will sentimental value win outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture at the 32nd actor awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc4037e…
02-23 03:33:44	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner chicago blackhawks	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa64202…
02-23 03:33:44	will the median home value in new york city be less than 575000 by march 1	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x617fbd…
02-23 03:33:44	will saturday night live win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3fd3f4…
02-23 03:33:42	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner new york rangers	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xfc05cf…
02-23 03:33:42	will teyana taylor win best actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xaea60a…
02-23 03:33:42	will shrinking win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x35ef7f…
02-23 03:33:40	will the party for freedom pvv win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf82a44…
02-23 03:33:40	will the peoples party for freedom and democracy vvd win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbcf7ef…
02-23 03:33:40	will bella ramsey win best actress in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xa2b6d9…
02-23 03:33:38	will the christian democratic appeal cda win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf3dcba…
02-23 03:33:36	will the socialist party sp win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xca2176…
02-23 03:33:36	will song sung blue win best cast in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb8a428…
02-23 03:33:36	will the party for the animals pvdd win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4b6a7d…
02-23 03:33:36	will the diplomat win best producer of a tv drama series at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x27566d…
02-23 03:33:36	will sentimental value win best cast in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1ebdac…