Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

163,617

lifetime

Volume

$8.69M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-31 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

53% 55% +$185

Other

43% 32% $-306

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes		+150	$5	4¢	$6	+$1	05-31 14:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	937	$338.3K	214,776	208,895	+5,881	open	—	02-28 08:20
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1,777	$201.2K	188,531	171,489	+17,042	open	—	02-01 06:47
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1,529	$168.9K	164,406	142,192	+22,213	open	—	02-01 06:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1,420	$118.2K	128,747	121,297	+7,450	open	—	03-08 23:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1,060	$99.4K	97,840	89,424	+8,417	open	—	03-24 18:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,167	$96.2K	104,977	100,441	+4,536	open	—	02-01 16:27
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1,255	$93.6K	98,038	89,990	+8,047	open	—	03-21 19:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1,094	$89.2K	100,385	81,398	+18,987	open	—	03-09 10:01
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1,501	$84.9K	87,141	86,530	+611	open	—	02-28 06:18
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	659	$81.6K	77,435	63,801	+13,634	open	—	03-15 04:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	999	$80.8K	78,031	72,502	+5,529	open	—	03-01 05:27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1,015	$78.4K	78,858	76,837	+2,021	open	—	02-01 07:08
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	667	$77.7K	76,061	64,004	+12,057	open	—	01-16 12:42
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	937	$74.9K	69,169	77,985	-8,816	open	—	03-21 23:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	691	$69.3K	69,374	64,758	+4,616	open	—	03-30 12:22
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	905	$64.0K	57,588	70,742	-13,155	open	—	03-21 23:49
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	604	$61.8K	53,059	50,308	+2,752	open	—	01-24 06:30
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	359	$58.8K	33,517	30,558	+2,959	open	—	01-20 09:30
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	573	$58.5K	51,616	48,760	+2,856	open	—	01-30 12:10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	816	$56.7K	56,010	51,889	+4,121	open	—	03-01 00:01
another us government shutdown by february 14	729	$54.4K	54,019	50,115	+3,903	open	—	02-15 05:26
us forces enter iran by march 7	451	$52.2K	41,086	38,901	+2,184	open	—	03-08 05:00
will company b be accused of insider trading	812	$44.9K	46,199	45,557	+642	open	—	02-26 15:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	480	$43.0K	48,058	40,274	+7,784	open	—	03-27 01:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	580	$40.6K	42,857	41,045	+1,813	open	—	01-30 07:15
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	649	$40.2K	40,063	40,706	-644	open	—	03-09 19:20
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	780	$40.1K	41,611	39,257	+2,353	open	—	03-23 09:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	571	$39.5K	35,056	33,815	+1,241	open	—	02-12 15:23
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	271	$38.9K	33,907	31,945	+1,962	open	—	01-15 04:50
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	375	$38.1K	34,901	33,178	+1,723	open	—	01-15 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:14:40	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xa951a9…
05-13 18:35:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x0e8e94…
05-09 06:59:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xeba67e…
05-09 06:29:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$2	0x713e72…
05-09 06:21:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0x1d626f…
05-09 05:51:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x0c3b32…
05-09 04:42:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	281	3¢	$7	0xa3fdfe…
05-09 04:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x965dd3…
05-09 04:27:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0x3f15a6…
05-09 04:23:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x179ee4…
05-09 03:02:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$1	0x12d621…
05-09 02:38:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xae8ccc…
05-09 02:38:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x73d47f…
05-09 02:35:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb814f7…
05-09 02:34:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7fc14e…
05-09 02:34:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5e7238…
05-09 02:34:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x462957…
05-09 02:26:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x065993…
05-09 02:26:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf35657…
05-09 02:26:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa0679e…
05-09 02:26:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x520027…
05-09 02:22:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x08f444…
05-09 02:21:59	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x09899a…
05-09 02:19:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd31ac5…
05-09 02:19:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3f6582…
05-09 02:19:35	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xce6f3f…
05-09 02:19:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6c2cae…
05-09 02:17:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdb1634…
05-09 02:16:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbd8343…
05-09 02:16:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3e3580…
05-09 02:16:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x54a813…
05-09 02:10:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xda70ea…
05-09 02:09:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1b6ca7…
05-09 02:09:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb8e6e0…
05-09 02:09:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcb583f…
05-09 02:05:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5c4f5b…
05-09 02:05:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0d4efe…
05-09 02:05:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd848e8…
05-09 02:05:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x50cea8…
05-09 02:03:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa4e7cf…
05-09 02:02:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x669472…
05-09 02:02:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x671890…
05-09 02:02:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb61792…
05-09 01:59:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xed7dae…
05-09 01:58:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe12a83…
05-09 01:58:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0a1de4…
05-09 01:58:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf1e08d…
05-09 01:57:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2cbb28…
05-09 01:56:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x04abd4…
05-09 01:56:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa591fc…
05-09 01:27:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$0	0x056e50…
05-09 01:19:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x4020a0…
05-08 23:42:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$3	0xe332cb…
05-08 21:57:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	723	3¢	$19	0x3afdbb…
05-08 21:57:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x3a752a…
05-08 21:10:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x894815…
05-08 19:58:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdaaa4f…
05-08 19:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa74aea…
05-08 19:45:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0xdc15a5…
05-08 15:11:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4f217a…
05-08 14:56:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0xf4afc2…
05-08 14:24:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x673e59…
05-08 12:21:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb9e2af…
05-08 04:01:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xa1acb5…
05-07 22:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	124	87¢	$108	0xff1e79…
05-07 22:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	176	87¢	$153	0x1f741c…
05-07 22:51:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x9d22aa…
05-07 20:43:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x474cfc…
05-07 20:24:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x39909b…
05-07 19:35:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0xf13ac6…
05-07 18:50:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0x8992d8…
05-07 18:47:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	600	68¢	$408	0x6bd5f0…
05-07 18:46:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	800	95¢	$759	0x365227…
05-07 18:17:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x404dd8…
05-07 17:35:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	198	54¢	$107	0x499ea9…
05-07 17:35:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe87854…
05-07 15:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xa7617e…
05-07 12:51:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x078ee2…
05-07 12:25:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xa37307…
05-07 11:35:34	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0xe5150e…
05-07 11:24:17	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x1d781b…
05-07 07:53:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x912792…
05-07 07:17:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0xdbb5f7…
05-07 07:14:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x26671a…
05-07 06:03:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$9	0x101406…
05-07 04:10:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x824e45…
05-07 00:11:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0xe5d9c8…
05-06 20:52:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x4ffda6…
05-06 20:37:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	11¢	$44	0xef16ca…
05-06 19:43:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,100	70¢	$770	0xca5d00…
05-06 19:12:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xe3c5f2…
05-06 17:37:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	113	71¢	$80	0x07a76b…
05-06 17:36:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	87	71¢	$62	0xdd7f77…
05-06 16:45:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$290	0xf059b5…
05-06 16:35:04	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	490	16¢	$78	0xb6c397…
05-06 16:23:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	34¢	$152	0x468153…
05-06 16:16:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xb10696…
05-06 16:08:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	77	11¢	$8	0xe21dfa…
05-06 16:02:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$4	0x62f9c3…
05-06 15:39:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	415	4¢	$15	0xc9a47c…