Realized P&L
-$28.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$421
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
3,626
Trades
164,854
lifetime
Volume
$8.78M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$4.53K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-20 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Politics
53% 47% -$6,020
Other
43% 38% -$22,635
Sports
2% 48% +$855
Pop-Culture
1% 46% -$38
Tech
0% 32% -$152
Crypto
0% 53% -$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,700 $2,182 84¢ $2.3K +$72 05-07 19:03
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +400 $349 97¢ $389 +$40 08-23 11:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -363 -$203 96¢ $-348 -$145 04-29 19:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -465 -$237 66¢ $-304 -$67 09-06 16:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -250 -$153 92¢ $-229 -$76 05-02 04:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -227 -$195 92¢ $-210 -$15 05-01 18:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -250 -$137 76¢ $-191 -$54 05-01 02:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -242 -$126 55¢ $-133 -$7 08-24 03:20
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -91 -$80 100¢ $-91 -$12 04-30 03:05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -266 -$101 26¢ $-71 +$31 05-01 09:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +345 $186 16¢ $57 -$129 05-07 04:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -500 -$55 11¢ $-52 +$2 09-20 12:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -250 -$48 18¢ $-46 +$3 08-26 14:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -298 -$119 14¢ $-42 +$77 04-29 19:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -252 -$100 14¢ $-36 +$64 04-29 18:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -500 -$105 6¢ $-32 +$72 05-04 16:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -431 -$108 4¢ $-19 +$88 05-02 03:48
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +400 $29 3¢ $11 -$18 05-18 22:01
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +13 $9 62¢ $8 -$1 05-03 06:36
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -250 -$24 2¢ $-5 +$19 04-30 13:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +35 $4 2¢ $1 -$4 05-06 11:09
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 05-06 16:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +0 $362 6¢ $0 -$362 08-23 11:56