Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef87…718cd6
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$19.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.25K
Hit rate
31.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
12,408
lifetime
Volume
$3.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$77.7K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
41% 33% $-8,166
Other
36% 100% +$5
Politics
23% 0% $-11,146
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +31,000 $23,800 100¢ $30.9K +$7,061 06-17 21:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,000 $12,950 86¢ $13.0K +$25 06-23 06:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11,270 $10,143 90¢ $10.2K +$56 06-30 14:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +5,000 $4,400 100¢ $5.0K +$595 06-12 19:51
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5,000 $4,750 100¢ $5.0K +$232 06-15 17:13
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +4,987 $4,812 100¢ $5.0K +$167 06-12 03:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5,000 $4,200 86¢ $4.3K +$100 06-16 22:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5,000 $2,700 64¢ $3.2K +$525 06-24 16:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,125 $956 88¢ $984 +$28 06-21 08:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -461 $-95 16¢ $-76 +$19 06-25 18:38
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +25,000 $2,945 0¢ $62 $-2,882 06-18 07:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +20,000 $7,230 0¢ $50 $-7,180 06-19 18:13