Realized P&L
+$64.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.6K
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
2,012
Trades
26,033
lifetime
Volume
$8.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$314
Open exposure
$250.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 11:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
54% 55% -$2,137
Sports
28% 50% +$55,328
Politics
18% 66% +$6,421
Crypto
0% 67% +$3,333
Tech
0% 100% +$475
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,440
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 397 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,000 $25,800 92¢ $27.7K +$1,950 10-02 16:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30,000 $24,800 92¢ $27.7K +$2,950 06-29 00:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +20,000 $15,112 97¢ $19.3K +$4,238 08-10 13:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +22,000 $18,140 80¢ $17.7K -$430 10-24 23:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +15,000 $12,700 94¢ $14.0K +$1,325 10-24 06:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +12,000 $11,260 97¢ $11.6K +$368 09-08 21:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $9,100 98¢ $9.8K +$710 07-12 05:30
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +54,258 $10,007 18¢ $9.5K -$512 10-26 01:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10,000 $9,200 94¢ $9.3K +$150 09-24 00:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +9,000 $7,943 95¢ $8.6K +$617 08-05 16:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $7,994 71¢ $7.1K -$894 09-23 00:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8,000 $3,840 88¢ $7.1K +$3,240 07-25 07:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +18,000 $10,548 39¢ $7.1K -$3,483 09-27 17:07
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +9,999 $7,399 70¢ $6.9K -$450 09-23 15:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,903 $6,446 85¢ $6.7K +$280 09-07 06:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +7,000 $5,446 91¢ $6.4K +$924 08-24 16:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +6,000 $4,680 86¢ $5.2K +$480 07-13 05:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7,580 $3,259 68¢ $5.1K +$1,857 07-30 01:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5,000 -$4,471 93¢ $-4650 -$179 08-22 14:23
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +5,000 $4,550 90¢ $4.5K -$75 08-10 15:28
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +8,000 $4,160 54¢ $4.3K +$160 10-08 20:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,422 $4,301 97¢ $4.3K +$8 10-28 00:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,000 $3,800 86¢ $4.3K +$475 07-21 13:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,000 $5,420 56¢ $4.0K -$1,465 10-28 00:40
No one announced as next James Bond? No +5,000 $3,900 77¢ $3.9K -$35 09-23 01:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4,000 $2,760 75¢ $3.0K +$240 08-12 12:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +15,000 $4,100 19¢ $2.8K -$1,250 07-31 21:17
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +7,849 $2,433 34¢ $2.7K +$275 09-25 10:11
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3,336 $2,619 80¢ $2.7K +$50 08-03 12:05
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +12,071 $2,509 22¢ $2.6K +$86 10-26 03:57