Realized P&L
+$74.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.6K
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
2,010
Trades
26,032
lifetime
Volume
$8.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$314
Open exposure
$253.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 05:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
54% 56% +$7,413
Sports
28% 50% +$55,328
Politics
18% 66% +$6,421
Crypto
0% 67% +$3,333
Tech
0% 100% +$475
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,440
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 397 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,000 $25,800 92¢ $27.7K +$1,950 10-02 16:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30,000 $24,800 92¢ $27.7K +$2,950 06-29 00:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +20,000 $15,112 97¢ $19.4K +$4,248 08-10 13:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +22,000 $18,140 82¢ $18.2K +$10 10-24 23:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +15,000 $12,700 96¢ $14.3K +$1,625 10-24 06:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +12,000 $11,260 97¢ $11.6K +$368 09-08 21:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $9,100 98¢ $9.8K +$725 07-12 05:30
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +54,258 $10,007 18¢ $9.5K -$512 10-26 01:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10,000 $9,200 94¢ $9.3K +$150 09-24 00:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +9,000 $7,943 97¢ $8.7K +$761 08-05 16:54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +18,000 $10,548 43¢ $7.7K -$2,853 09-27 17:07
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +9,999 $7,399 72¢ $7.1K -$250 09-23 15:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8,000 $3,840 88¢ $7.1K +$3,240 07-25 07:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $7,994 70¢ $7.0K -$944 09-23 00:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,903 $6,446 86¢ $6.8K +$331 09-07 06:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +7,000 $5,446 90¢ $6.3K +$889 08-24 16:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +6,000 $4,680 86¢ $5.2K +$510 07-13 05:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7,580 $3,259 66¢ $5.0K +$1,781 07-30 01:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +5,000 $4,550 94¢ $4.7K +$125 08-10 15:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5,000 -$4,471 92¢ $-4625 -$154 08-22 14:23
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +8,000 $4,160 55¢ $4.4K +$280 10-08 20:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,000 $3,800 86¢ $4.3K +$525 07-21 13:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,422 $4,301 98¢ $4.3K +$17 10-28 00:48
No one announced as next James Bond? No +5,000 $3,900 79¢ $4.0K +$50 09-23 01:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,000 $5,420 54¢ $3.7K -$1,675 10-28 00:40
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs FUT Esports +7,000 $4,830 48¢ $3.3K -$1,505 10-29 05:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4,000 $2,760 78¢ $3.1K +$340 08-12 12:25
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +7,849 $2,433 36¢ $2.9K +$432 09-25 10:11
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3,336 $2,619 82¢ $2.7K +$100 08-03 12:05
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +12,071 $2,509 22¢ $2.6K +$86 10-26 03:57