Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

14,536

lifetime

Volume

$9.76M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$671

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-02 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

36% 67% $-19

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	76	$428.4K	449,562	0	+449,562	open	—	01-27 13:30
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	69	$372.1K	373,006	56,556	+316,450	open	—	01-27 13:30
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	60	$251.5K	251,613	144,391	+107,222	open	—	01-27 13:30
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	94	$219.8K	221,405	5,517	+215,888	open	—	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	112	$213.5K	228,296	45,154	+183,142	open	—	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	127	$198.5K	198,609	38,754	+159,854	open	—	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	107	$193.3K	212,617	12,325	+200,292	open	—	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	112	$190.3K	206,689	21,302	+185,388	open	—	02-10 23:35
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	40	$181.2K	186,417	39,060	+147,357	open	—	02-15 03:04
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	86	$179.9K	184,423	47,961	+136,462	open	—	02-10 23:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	38	$178.6K	190,854	37,018	+153,836	open	—	02-15 03:04
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	53	$174.2K	233,614	78,210	+155,405	open	—	02-15 03:04
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	268	$166.4K	502,032	386,168	+115,864	open	—	02-18 23:49
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	84	$138.2K	140,808	17,512	+123,296	open	—	01-30 07:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	94	$134.1K	154,129	67,949	+86,180	open	—	02-10 23:35
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	44	$102.2K	109,993	4,975	+105,018	open	—	02-07 10:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	69	$91.6K	266,811	37,501	+229,310	open	—	02-15 03:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	118	$85.0K	226,827	11,831	+214,996	open	—	02-21 00:54
will luong cuong be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	55	$80.7K	81,209	0	+81,209	open	—	01-22 17:48
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	61	$80.5K	80,578	20,541	+60,037	open	—	01-29 23:54
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	60	$80.0K	80,784	1,206	+79,578	open	—	01-22 17:48
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	76	$77.9K	84,117	75	+84,042	open	—	01-22 17:48
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	37	$65.8K	66,429	1,163	+65,266	open	—	02-08 10:05
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	40	$62.1K	70,525	2,455	+68,070	open	—	01-18 21:17
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	31	$54.7K	56,188	1,524	+54,665	open	—	01-18 19:29
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	38	$53.3K	59,275	2,811	+56,463	open	—	01-19 18:22
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	30	$45.9K	60,850	2,539	+58,311	open	—	02-08 15:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	22	$43.1K	43,436	2,797	+40,639	open	—	03-07 13:35
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	40	$41.7K	42,814	204	+42,609	open	—	03-06 10:08
will a black spoon win season 2 of culinary class wars	29	$41.6K	44,924	156	+44,768	open	—	01-13 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-02 13:04:57	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x71f6f8…
04-02 13:04:57	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	702	69¢	$484	0x659e3c…
04-02 13:04:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	79	66¢	$52	0x8d6c24…
04-02 13:03:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	669	66¢	$442	0xb06594…
03-26 15:26:05	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	3,041	43¢	$1,308	0xb600af…
03-26 15:26:01	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	4,042	56¢	$2,264	0xacf472…
03-26 15:19:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	136	24¢	$33	0x9676c8…
03-24 12:10:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	454	21¢	$95	0xe09dd5…
03-23 20:46:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1,196	37¢	$443	0xad86fa…
03-23 20:45:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,750	19¢	$332	0xe761b0…
03-23 12:11:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,901	17¢	$323	0x6d89d9…
03-23 11:58:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2,742	39¢	$1,070	0x266887…
03-23 10:13:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xaec7d4…
03-22 14:09:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	283	95¢	$267	0xb58689…
03-22 14:04:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xb025a9…
03-22 14:04:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	4,410	30¢	$1,323	0x797163…
03-22 09:46:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	495	18¢	$89	0x51d69a…
03-22 09:46:19	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	102	44¢	$45	0x2271bf…
03-22 09:45:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2,038	31¢	$632	0x088255…
03-21 16:15:11	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	303	47¢	$142	0x7e892d…
03-21 10:52:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	4,745	34¢	$1,613	0xdf24eb…
03-20 19:29:47	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	1,559	59¢	$920	0xbc6635…
03-20 19:26:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	6,317	31¢	$1,958	0x7c017a…
03-20 19:26:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	7,778	21¢	$1,633	0x97d513…
03-15 22:54:55	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,500	22¢	$330	0x8e20e2…
03-15 22:54:23	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb07642…
03-15 22:54:21	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	800	4¢	$31	0xdd8dfa…
03-15 22:54:21	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbd37c2…
03-15 22:54:21	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	204	4¢	$8	0xa957ef…
03-15 22:54:21	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x70a942…
03-15 22:54:21	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x019ced…
03-15 22:52:47	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x6d3214…
03-15 22:51:59	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	6,128	1¢	$61	0x1cff80…
03-15 22:51:09	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x6d1450…
03-15 22:50:55	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x37b7c3…
03-15 22:50:51	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	3,436	5¢	$172	0x5445cf…
03-15 22:50:51	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x43d936…
03-15 22:48:37	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd439a3…
03-15 22:48:35	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xec3032…
03-15 22:48:35	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa2af17…
03-15 22:48:35	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x972895…
03-15 22:48:35	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x5972ac…
03-15 22:48:35	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x237320…
03-15 22:48:33	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xc75253…
03-15 22:48:29	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc58ffd…
03-15 22:48:29	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x3f3927…
03-15 22:48:29	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$9	0x1f71fc…
03-15 22:45:57	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	482	1¢	$5	0x67f2ed…
03-15 22:45:01	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0xbd2808…
03-15 22:44:17	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,077	20¢	$217	0x18f8da…
03-15 22:41:57	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	492	1¢	$5	0xffb0b2…
03-15 22:38:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	181	19¢	$34	0x0e3dd3…
03-15 22:38:31	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	231	31¢	$72	0x222fe6…
03-15 22:38:07	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	788	40¢	$314	0xd3e5a5…
03-15 22:36:31	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	212	40¢	$84	0x05ef64…
03-15 22:34:15	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	127	40¢	$51	0xaf6070…
03-15 22:30:13	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	47	65¢	$30	0x312f27…
03-15 22:30:11	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	114	65¢	$74	0x9eec87…
03-15 22:28:55	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0xa7cd6d…
03-15 22:28:25	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	83	65¢	$54	0x57b81f…
03-15 22:28:25	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	89	65¢	$58	0x3f89a1…
03-15 22:28:05	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	800	65¢	$520	0x5ac382…
03-15 22:27:57	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	70	65¢	$45	0xa1ab9f…
03-15 22:27:05	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x550a3e…
03-15 22:27:03	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,660	65¢	$1,079	0xfa81db…
03-15 22:26:29	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xdb0ccc…
03-15 22:26:29	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd5937e…
03-15 22:26:29	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2a2e44…
03-15 22:26:19	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	448	18¢	$83	0x332c35…
03-15 22:26:11	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xe67195…
03-15 22:26:03	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	106	5¢	$5	0x71e684…
03-15 22:25:51	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1,016	5¢	$50	0x0d4b7e…
03-15 22:25:33	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	122	5¢	$6	0x8a4477…
03-15 22:25:31	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xe0fe01…
03-15 22:25:29	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x1e2fb3…
03-15 22:25:03	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$94	0x266b90…
03-15 22:20:15	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x8d69fa…
03-15 22:19:51	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x21a666…
03-15 22:19:43	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x379d42…
03-15 22:19:43	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x01981c…
03-15 22:19:35	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x8da20f…
03-15 22:19:35	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x0c14f4…
03-15 22:19:33	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xc53eb1…
03-15 22:19:33	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x58c6f7…
03-15 22:19:31	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xc40cab…
03-15 22:19:31	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x14d012…
03-15 22:19:29	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x427eb3…
03-15 22:19:23	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xb50fe1…
03-15 22:19:11	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xb4f8cf…
03-15 22:19:05	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x4486fe…
03-15 22:18:55	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	291	19¢	$55	0xd7227f…
03-15 22:17:35	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa24c16…
03-15 22:16:19	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x8aae8f…
03-15 22:09:41	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2,655	40¢	$1,051	0x45f653…
03-15 22:08:11	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	119	40¢	$47	0xbebb12…
03-15 22:08:07	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x0f2df1…
03-15 22:08:03	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	256	40¢	$102	0xb71625…
03-15 22:07:23	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	130	5¢	$6	0x196894…
03-15 22:07:23	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0x11b2d6…
03-15 22:06:39	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x5ef87e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	940	$5.44M	199,439	04-20 19:53
Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1	935	$2.19M	40,216	04-12 18:06
Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1	932	$10.1M	82,969	04-28 03:57
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	928	$38.9M	446,044	04-19 16:48
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	899	$4.17M	92,177	04-12 19:22
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	879	$3.10M	52,012	04-21 17:45
(anonymous) 0x9be9…c030	878	$1.14M	21,162	03-30 05:17
(anonymous) 0x4df7…522d	872	$989.6K	16,538	03-25 15:15