Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.26K

Unrealized P&L

+$37

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

4,266

Trades

14,643

lifetime

Volume

$9.77M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$667

Open exposure

$1.73K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

57% 81% +$21,595

Politics

36% 86% +$12,207

Sports

4% 91% -$221

Tech

2% 67% -$21,131

Pop-Culture

1% 74% +$358

Crypto

0% 69% -$5,545

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	-543	-$304	52¢	$-280	+$24	10-26 16:43
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	-210	-$205	98¢	$-205	+$0	10-27 19:40
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	-243	-$198	84¢	$-203	-$4	10-22 22:09
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	-238	-$153	62¢	$-147	+$6	10-26 10:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	No	-133	-$133	100¢	$-133	$0	09-03 11:13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	-191	-$132	68¢	$-131	+$1	10-22 22:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	-543	-$119	21¢	$-114	+$5	10-29 02:12
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-5,580	-$106	2¢	$-112	-$6	10-22 22:06
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	-210	-$130	52¢	$-108	+$22	10-22 22:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	-141	-$112	72¢	$-101	+$12	10-22 22:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-102	-$78	82¢	$-83	-$6	10-22 22:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	-53	-$49	94¢	$-50	$0	10-22 22:09
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,581	-$24	2¢	$-28	-$5	10-22 22:06
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-2,597	-$4	1¢	$-21	-$17	10-22 22:11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-102	-$18	14¢	$-14	+$4	10-22 22:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	76	$428.4K	449,562	0	+449,562	No	+$21,210	01-27 13:30
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	69	$372.1K	373,006	56,556	+316,450	No	+$1,249	01-27 13:30
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	60	$251.5K	251,613	144,391	+107,222	No	+$498	01-27 13:30
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	94	$219.8K	221,405	5,517	+215,888	No	+$1,697	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	112	$213.5K	228,296	45,154	+183,142	No	+$4,208	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	127	$198.5K	198,609	38,754	+159,854	No	+$262	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	107	$193.3K	212,617	12,325	+200,292	No	+$25,145	02-10 23:35
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	112	$190.3K	206,689	21,302	+185,388	No	+$17,983	02-10 23:35
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	40	$181.2K	186,417	39,060	+147,357	No	+$2,110	02-15 03:04
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	86	$179.9K	184,423	47,961	+136,462	No	+$675	02-10 23:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	38	$178.6K	190,854	37,018	+153,836	No	+$2,659	02-15 03:04
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	53	$174.2K	233,614	78,210	+155,405	No	+$30,289	02-15 03:04
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	268	$166.4K	502,032	386,168	+115,864	No	+$1,272	02-18 23:49
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	84	$138.2K	140,808	17,512	+123,296	No	+$2,270	01-30 07:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	94	$134.1K	154,129	67,949	+86,180	No	+$20,735	02-10 23:35
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	44	$102.2K	109,993	4,975	+105,018	No	+$4,276	02-07 10:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	69	$91.6K	266,811	37,501	+229,310	Yes	-$34,251	02-15 03:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	118	$85.0K	226,827	11,831	+214,996	Yes	-$72,634	02-21 00:54
will luong cuong be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	55	$80.7K	81,209	0	+81,209	No	+$544	01-22 17:48
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	61	$80.5K	80,578	20,541	+60,037	No	+$145	01-29 23:54
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	60	$80.0K	80,784	1,206	+79,578	No	+$789	01-22 17:48
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	76	$77.9K	84,117	75	+84,042	No	+$6,238	01-22 17:48
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	37	$65.8K	66,429	1,163	+65,266	No	+$1,712	02-08 10:05
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	40	$62.1K	70,525	2,455	+68,070	No	+$9,694	01-18 21:17
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	31	$54.7K	56,188	1,524	+54,665	No	+$1,638	01-18 19:29
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	38	$53.3K	59,275	2,811	+56,463	No	+$6,013	01-19 18:22
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	30	$45.9K	60,850	2,539	+58,311	Yes	-$43,474	02-08 15:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	22	$43.1K	43,436	2,797	+40,639	No	+$358	03-07 13:35
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	40	$41.7K	42,814	204	+42,609	No	+$1,332	03-06 10:08
will a black spoon win season 2 of culinary class wars	29	$41.6K	44,924	156	+44,768	No	+$3,482	01-13 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:12:01	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xbd13bf…
10-29 01:29:31	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	91	22¢	$20	0x2ef4b9…
10-28 07:29:31	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x63b5e0…
10-27 19:40:03	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0x174386…
10-26 16:43:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xccd330…
10-26 16:43:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xb501d3…
10-26 16:43:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x27bcc9…
10-26 16:43:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	24	56¢	$13	0xfd0861…
10-26 16:43:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	62	56¢	$35	0xe68d51…
10-26 16:43:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	92	56¢	$52	0x6a3f50…
10-26 16:43:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	19	56¢	$10	0x3b6dc6…
10-26 13:20:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x3b19bf…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x58b9e9…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	150	64¢	$96	0x2d8aa1…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x0df734…
10-26 10:21:44	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	44	64¢	$28	0x010a3d…
10-26 09:45:23	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x844d7d…
10-26 09:44:56	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xc75727…
10-26 06:59:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xfb70a3…
10-26 02:36:50	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0x76164b…
10-26 00:41:30	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x195913…
10-25 22:01:39	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf71378…
10-25 21:12:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x01b4b6…
10-25 10:22:21	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x2ed437…
10-25 08:25:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9a90f3…
10-25 08:25:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd3ef8b…
10-25 08:25:38	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdb3571…
10-25 08:25:33	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd476c7…
10-25 08:25:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe12cee…
10-25 08:25:20	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x74c84e…
10-25 08:25:15	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1890ae…
10-25 08:25:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd9af12…
10-25 08:24:59	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9d7ad7…
10-25 08:24:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe1e53c…
10-25 08:24:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4724fb…
10-25 08:24:47	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x97651a…
10-25 08:24:41	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x287720…
10-25 08:24:36	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd339a6…
10-25 08:24:32	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x7e4a7f…
10-25 08:24:26	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9a2bc0…
10-25 08:24:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x5d1836…
10-25 08:24:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x63f10e…
10-25 08:24:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe3c8cc…
10-25 08:24:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x2e6db6…
10-25 08:23:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4c1f77…
10-25 08:23:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x104a92…
10-25 08:23:44	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd0d123…
10-25 08:23:41	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd20aeb…
10-25 08:23:35	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb8c84b…
10-25 08:23:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4b6387…
10-25 08:23:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0f7cd4…
10-25 08:23:20	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc4d03b…
10-25 08:23:15	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x30d97f…
10-25 08:23:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9af1b8…
10-25 08:23:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x23eeea…
10-25 08:23:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf4494a…
10-25 08:22:59	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf3667e…
10-25 01:34:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0xad6514…
10-24 23:15:26	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8a6224…
10-24 23:15:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x91c601…
10-24 23:15:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x2cf7cd…
10-24 23:15:12	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe2df56…
10-24 23:15:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xa152ba…
10-24 23:15:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd372de…
10-24 23:14:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x84195c…
10-24 23:14:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe91a7f…
10-24 23:14:42	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x91b1e4…
10-24 23:14:35	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x59f898…
10-24 23:14:29	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc15c29…
10-24 23:14:26	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdd35ae…
10-24 23:14:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xaaea80…
10-24 23:14:15	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x38181a…
10-24 23:14:12	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdf3026…
10-24 23:14:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x6e503b…
10-24 23:13:59	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xbb8fee…
10-24 23:13:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x488931…
10-24 20:43:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0xd1352c…
10-23 09:38:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x08966f…
10-23 06:48:29	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xf275b6…
10-23 06:45:45	Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xdd1328…
10-22 22:11:56	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,597	0¢	$4	0x80ec83…
10-22 22:11:41	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	18¢	$18	0x2c448c…
10-22 22:11:32	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	76¢	$78	0x8e2e90…
10-22 22:10:18	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x43bc9c…
10-22 22:09:45	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x3f40c5…
10-22 22:09:15	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x4901ac…
10-22 22:09:00	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	243	82¢	$198	0x3444a8…
10-22 22:08:27	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	141	80¢	$112	0xe40637…
10-22 22:07:50	Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x4e00ed…
10-22 22:07:50	Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x061eea…
10-22 22:06:57	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,581	2¢	$24	0xa83eb1…
10-22 22:06:51	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,580	2¢	$106	0xc6a071…
10-22 22:05:59	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	210	62¢	$130	0x7e7599…
10-22 22:05:42	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	191	69¢	$132	0x6a5cc5…
10-22 22:01:41	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	266	56¢	$149	0x0a446e…
09-23 19:07:25	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x780b7f…
09-03 11:13:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x9f8928…
09-03 11:11:43	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$167	0xe46390…
06-04 06:49:57	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	SELL	1,367	98¢	$1,337	0x22081e…
06-01 10:31:32	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	13¢	$32	0x4bd9bd…