Limping-Hummus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-09 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$69

Other

36% 100% +$46

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.3K	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	03-01 12:45
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	11	$1.3K	3,004	1,356	+1,647	open	—	01-30 00:38
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$1000	1,015	0	+1,015	open	—	04-08 13:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1000	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	04-11 08:01
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1000	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-08 11:56
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	3	$600	670	0	+670	open	—	03-07 06:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$300	350	0	+350	open	—	01-18 09:25
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$300	318	0	+318	Yes	+$18	04-11 06:54
btc updown 5m 1773481800	3	$216	115	115	+0	open	—	03-14 09:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$200	313	0	+313	open	—	03-01 08:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$200	209	0	+209	open	—	03-01 12:46
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$173	333	0	+333	open	—	01-31 01:59
btc updown 5m 1772869200	1	$130	131	0	+131	open	—	03-07 07:43
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$110	212	0	+212	open	—	04-08 13:54
btc updown 5m 1772368200	1	$105	107	0	+107	open	—	03-01 12:34
btc updown 5m 1772872500	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	03-07 08:40
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	173	0	+173	open	—	03-15 23:20
btc updown 5m 1772865300	1	$100	299	0	+299	open	—	03-07 06:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	01-10 05:02
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	01-10 05:03
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	04-04 13:53
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	01-12 13:31
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$100	128	0	+128	Yes	+$28	03-01 12:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	01-10 05:06
Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	04-11 06:56
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	01-10 05:03
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	01-12 13:32
btc updown 5m 1773483900	3	$70	132	0	+132	open	—	03-14 10:30
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$60	125	0	+125	open	—	04-04 13:53
btc updown 5m 1773483000	1	$50	168	0	+168	open	—	03-14 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 05:44:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x7cb371…
04-26 11:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe91e3c…
04-26 11:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf6bd95…
04-20 05:37:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	32	59¢	$19	0x8df048…
04-16 10:02:16	btc updown 5m 1776333600	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x15abee…
04-16 09:59:30	btc updown 5m 1776333300	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x314727…
04-16 09:54:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x08bdf1…
04-16 09:53:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x51c02c…
04-16 09:52:28	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x70ba07…
04-16 09:50:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd73c78…
04-16 09:50:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x987e5f…
04-15 11:22:50	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xe98c72…
04-13 10:55:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe1e9c3…
04-13 10:55:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1f36c2…
04-11 08:02:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbef7c6…
04-11 08:01:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0xf38d93…
04-11 07:09:51	btc updown 5m 1775891100	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x089cda…
04-11 07:09:25	btc updown 5m 1775891100	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0101a1…
04-11 07:00:29	lal sev mad 2026 04 11 mad	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa023e8…
04-11 06:59:49	nba phx okc 2026 04 12	Thunder	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x48ec48…
04-11 06:59:37	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Nuggets	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe623df…
04-11 06:59:15	nba orl bos 2026 04 12	Celtics	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa2faca…
04-11 06:59:15	nba orl bos 2026 04 12	Celtics	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x91d3eb…
04-11 06:56:37	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x258779…
04-11 06:54:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xce196e…
04-08 13:54:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa3dd86…
04-08 13:54:15	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd4ebcd…
04-08 13:53:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,015	98¢	$1,000	0x6ef104…
04-04 15:17:01	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x001e4c…
04-04 15:14:21	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x33a3c9…
04-04 15:12:35	nba uta okc 2026 04 05	Jazz	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xe9d882…
04-04 15:11:49	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Spurs	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7b70a9…
04-04 13:57:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb917b5…
04-04 13:56:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x15c304…
04-04 13:53:15	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x30ae59…
04-04 13:53:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1e465b…
04-04 13:52:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x424b61…
04-04 13:50:53	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x5d1708…
03-15 23:20:09	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x040c1b…
03-14 11:29:17	btc updown 5m 1773487500	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x858f15…
03-14 11:28:23	btc updown 5m 1773487500	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5dc4e4…
03-14 11:27:43	btc updown 5m 1773487500	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xce9555…
03-14 10:30:01	btc updown 5m 1773483900	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x282537…
03-14 10:29:17	btc updown 5m 1773483900	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x943669…
03-14 10:27:05	btc updown 5m 1773483900	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xaa0067…
03-14 10:15:03	btc updown 5m 1773483000	Down	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0x96eca7…
03-14 10:04:59	btc updown 5m 1773482400	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xbc0c97…
03-14 10:00:01	btc updown 5m 1773482100	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7d68e8…
03-14 09:58:57	btc updown 5m 1773482100	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe2aca6…
03-14 09:52:35	btc updown 5m 1773481800	Up	SELL	57	92¢	$53	0x13c408…
03-14 09:52:13	btc updown 5m 1773481800	Up	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0xd9b8d3…
03-14 09:51:45	btc updown 5m 1773481800	Up	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0x6280bc…
03-14 09:49:13	btc updown 5m 1773481500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3f201…
03-14 09:47:19	btc updown 5m 1773481500	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb4045a…
03-14 09:46:05	btc updown 5m 1773481500	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x9dcfaf…
03-14 09:39:59	btc updown 5m 1773480900	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd6e953…
03-14 09:38:23	btc updown 5m 1773480900	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4d6240…
03-14 06:18:23	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Clippers	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf5753d…
03-14 06:17:33	nba was bos 2026 03 14	Wizards	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xbd971a…
03-14 06:15:53	nba cha sas 2026 03 14	Hornets	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x716353…
03-14 06:13:29	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x7d23cf…
03-11 14:18:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x3a2880…
03-08 09:36:29	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x97ba00…
03-08 06:09:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x2b3fb3…
03-08 06:07:39	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x3ef1b4…
03-08 06:07:25	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd040f3…
03-07 08:40:01	btc updown 5m 1772872500	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xc9e6ac…
03-07 08:34:57	btc updown 5m 1772872200	Up	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x82d27a…
03-07 08:34:19	btc updown 5m 1772872200	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x76b958…
03-07 08:29:59	btc updown 5m 1772871900	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa8ebc4…
03-07 08:22:29	btc updown 5m 1772871600	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2d186f…
03-07 08:16:09	btc updown 5m 1772871300	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x74d28f…
03-07 08:09:57	btc updown 5m 1772870700	Up	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x8c3ca8…
03-07 08:07:41	btc updown 5m 1772870700	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xae2f01…
03-07 08:03:25	btc updown 5m 1772870400	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xb8ea56…
03-07 07:59:33	btc updown 5m 1772870100	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe82d45…
03-07 07:57:49	btc updown 5m 1772870100	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x34840a…
03-07 07:54:03	btc updown 5m 1772869800	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6a00d4…
03-07 07:49:17	btc updown 5m 1772869500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x70f30a…
03-07 07:43:35	btc updown 5m 1772869200	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x380b9d…
03-07 07:34:57	btc updown 5m 1772868600	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbe7c87…
03-07 06:42:51	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	320	94¢	$300	0xe1817f…
03-07 06:39:05	btc updown 5m 1772865300	Up	BUY	299	33¢	$100	0x877f17…
03-07 06:37:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x3783f9…
03-07 06:36:05	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xf67721…
03-07 06:35:05	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xb16443…
03-07 06:18:55	btc updown 5m 1772864100	Up	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0x29632d…
03-06 15:12:57	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x3ad141…
03-04 11:50:55	btc updown 5m 1772625000	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbabc94…
03-01 12:47:19	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xa3af42…
03-01 12:46:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xab1912…
03-01 12:45:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x239329…
03-01 12:39:11	btc updown 5m 1772368500	Down	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xc70439…
03-01 12:37:07	btc updown 5m 1772368500	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x51ab39…
03-01 12:34:05	btc updown 5m 1772368200	Down	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x3b5d20…
03-01 08:23:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	313	64¢	$200	0x889494…
03-01 08:19:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xcd8cee…
01-31 02:01:00	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0x290c2c…
01-31 01:59:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x96efcb…
01-30 00:38:46	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	775	13¢	$100	0x9c56be…