Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,805

lifetime

Volume

$1.29M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 04-24 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

84% — —

Other

16% 0% $-2,641

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	318	$171.7K	155,234	158,539	-3,305	open	—	03-30 17:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	54	$160.5K	116,938	116,938	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	102	$153.9K	98,518	104,486	-5,968	open	—	03-30 15:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	36	$114.3K	97,911	97,911	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	225	$107.1K	101,937	102,403	-466	open	—	04-03 18:41
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	186	$93.8K	90,276	87,934	+2,341	open	—	04-01 18:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	546	$89.9K	142,417	130,308	+12,110	open	—	02-02 20:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	62	$54.8K	99,589	100,320	-731	open	—	04-17 13:34
iran leadership change by march 31	60	$47.2K	31,478	31,478	+0	open	—	03-19 22:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$28.8K	14,912	14,912	+0	open	—	02-10 04:20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	28	$23.0K	20,000	25,000	-5,000	open	—	03-10 13:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	30	$20.8K	27,957	27,957	+0	open	—	03-09 22:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	34	$20.7K	14,101	16,599	-2,498	open	—	03-03 22:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	69	$18.6K	120,957	120,957	+0	open	—	03-30 15:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	38	$16.9K	39,756	43,280	-3,524	open	—	02-26 19:00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1,869	$15.7K	2,567,645	595,746	+1,971,899	open	—	03-04 16:14
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	23	$14.5K	15,843	0	+15,843	open	—	03-13 21:04
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	95	$12.9K	12,137	11,692	+445	open	—	02-28 11:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	31	$12.2K	54,832	54,832	+0	open	—	04-06 12:19
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	79	$11.1K	12,194	12,353	-159	open	—	04-21 22:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	77	$10.2K	89,079	89,079	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	77	$8.0K	39,817	37,237	+2,580	open	—	04-24 16:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$7.4K	6,503	8,813	-2,309	open	—	04-15 17:53
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026 681	21	$7.3K	9,395	0	+9,395	open	—	01-29 22:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	42	$6.8K	29,649	3,673	+25,977	open	—	02-11 01:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	125	$6.8K	75,265	6,662	+68,603	open	—	04-22 00:43
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	2	$6.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	26	$5.5K	9,159	9,159	+0	open	—	03-30 15:20
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$5.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
another us government shutdown by february 14	36	$5.5K	3,413	3,413	+0	open	—	02-14 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 17:19:24	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	2,188	1¢	$18	0x31a1b6…
04-24 17:18:26	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xc67a45…
04-24 16:49:48	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	1,250	1¢	$10	0xd9bd5e…
04-24 16:17:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd90e9d…
04-24 16:17:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	34,323	0¢	$34	0xb1c64e…
04-24 16:04:08	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	249	1¢	$2	0x9db9b7…
04-24 14:29:24	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	No	SELL	87	15¢	$13	0x7f0c75…
04-24 14:28:26	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x055dd5…
04-24 14:27:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,789	41¢	$740	0x7907e2…
04-24 14:25:52	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9,256	0¢	$29	0x5d6239…
04-24 14:25:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	7,249	1¢	$82	0x2c73a2…
04-24 14:24:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x7c2850…
04-24 14:24:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xea225e…
04-24 14:24:20	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	Yes	BUY	994	74¢	$738	0x1f8619…
04-24 14:23:40	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$13	0x8c32a6…
04-24 14:23:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xfd28a4…
04-24 14:23:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc49e7c…
04-24 14:23:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x901dac…
04-24 14:23:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	Yes	BUY	822	63¢	$516	0x62c273…
04-24 14:23:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x46bfd3…
04-24 14:23:14	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	1,162	45¢	$518	0x0416b3…
04-24 14:22:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x9274f9…
04-24 14:22:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	113	1¢	$2	0x66b279…
04-24 14:22:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0x76e172…
04-24 14:21:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	714	1¢	$10	0x363920…
04-24 14:21:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0xf26baf…
04-24 14:21:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	127	1¢	$2	0xd2289d…
04-24 14:21:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8ee864…
04-24 14:21:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0x0a5cc6…
04-24 14:21:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x7b95f7…
04-24 14:21:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xbc7d7c…
04-24 14:21:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	114	1¢	$2	0xc06367…
04-24 14:21:06	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	179	1¢	$2	0x69c20a…
04-24 14:20:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	16,943	1¢	$237	0x73f5c9…
04-24 14:20:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd247b6…
04-24 14:20:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2,894	1¢	$41	0xb69dae…
04-24 14:20:44	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	BUY	1,162	51¢	$593	0x780718…
04-24 14:20:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	244	1¢	$3	0x5ab147…
04-24 14:20:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	462	1¢	$6	0x4a59c6…
04-24 14:20:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	16,312	1¢	$228	0xfa872e…
04-24 14:20:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$2	0x626059…
04-24 14:20:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1,205	1¢	$18	0x4ee6a5…
04-24 14:20:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$2	0x47835b…
04-24 14:20:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$2	0x152b2e…
04-24 14:20:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xdd2223…
04-24 14:20:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$2	0x9ea081…
04-24 14:20:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$2	0x8066b9…
04-24 14:20:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5a364e…
04-24 14:20:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	245	1¢	$3	0x43f881…
04-24 14:20:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	546	1¢	$8	0x396612…
04-24 14:20:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	344,309	0¢	$351	0x9edad8…
04-24 14:17:54	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x18fbdb…
04-24 14:17:24	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	No	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0xd16750…
04-24 14:17:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3,584	0¢	$7	0x735b31…
04-24 14:17:22	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,509	0¢	$3	0xacedc9…
04-24 14:17:22	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0x641889…
04-24 14:17:22	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x5c20f7…
04-24 14:17:22	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,711	0¢	$3	0x1cd52f…
04-24 14:17:18	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,063	0¢	$4	0xf9ada5…
04-24 14:17:18	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb6ac4b…
04-24 14:17:16	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x05548c…
04-24 14:17:06	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2fd667…
04-24 14:17:06	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	216	0¢	$0	0x135d03…
04-24 14:17:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	213	0¢	$0	0xd355f8…
04-24 14:17:02	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	512	0¢	$3	0xb647df…
04-24 14:17:00	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	809	0¢	$2	0xf31011…
04-24 14:17:00	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0xb3ecc4…
04-24 14:17:00	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa82bc4…
04-24 14:17:00	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8bb3ad…
04-24 14:16:58	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x90e036…
04-24 14:16:54	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0x204edd…
04-24 14:16:52	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x8d36de…
04-24 14:16:52	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x841b19…
04-24 14:16:52	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x3af552…
04-24 14:16:52	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0e0963…
04-24 14:16:50	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xbff070…
04-24 14:16:50	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x46af9b…
04-24 14:16:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0xfc50ae…
04-24 14:16:44	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	213	0¢	$0	0x4ba0a3…
04-24 14:16:42	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x31d3d3…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xdd0c45…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xd429d8…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcfd647…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	794	0¢	$2	0xc41080…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	157	0¢	$0	0x85f3fd…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6b7690…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	159	0¢	$0	0x53ef21…
04-24 14:16:32	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	198	0¢	$0	0x3553be…
04-24 14:16:22	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x721f7f…
04-24 14:16:14	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x22df6c…
04-24 14:16:10	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf9ef3a…
04-24 14:16:10	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	194	0¢	$0	0xd5463c…
04-24 14:16:06	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x761857…
04-24 14:16:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$0	0x3ccdb4…
04-24 14:15:58	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	193	0¢	$0	0xcef38e…
04-24 14:15:58	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	124	0¢	$0	0x95bc1b…
04-24 14:15:58	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2cff27…
04-24 14:15:46	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb957c3…
04-24 14:15:42	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	317	0¢	$1	0xe74899…
04-24 14:15:42	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	193	0¢	$0	0x072036…