Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

25,824

lifetime

Volume

$8.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 04-02 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 67% +$0

Politics

14% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	288	$194	1,780	1,764	+17	open	—	02-14 04:44
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	285	$161	1,685	1,676	+9	open	—	01-27 13:30
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	25	$135	144	144	+0	open	—	01-27 04:48
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 480 499	226	$118	1,231	1,222	+9	open	—	02-11 12:10
will lvaro roberto ramos chaves win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	242	$115	1,448	1,448	-0	open	—	01-30 00:24
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	222	$109	1,234	1,211	+23	open	—	02-11 11:12
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	142	$101	876	874	+2	open	—	02-14 04:08
will player 152 win beast games season 2 862	312	$95	1,550	1,566	-17	open	—	02-13 23:54
will player 191 win beast games season 2 619	290	$91	1,535	1,541	-7	open	—	02-14 06:40
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	141	$88	822	822	+0	open	—	02-11 07:05
will claudia vanessa dobles camargo win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	217	$87	1,363	1,381	-18	open	—	01-29 23:44
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	170	$80	870	855	+15	open	—	02-10 12:46
will rose byrne win best actress at the 98th academy awards	86	$78	495	512	-17	open	—	02-14 07:17
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	162	$68	953	918	+35	open	—	02-13 05:04
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	111	$67	596	595	+2	open	—	02-10 15:58
will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	81	$67	526	513	+13	open	—	01-31 09:56
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	167	$66	929	924	+5	open	—	01-27 13:20
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	124	$66	580	585	-4	open	—	02-01 21:05
will abracadabra lady gaga win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	104	$65	598	563	+35	open	—	01-30 01:24
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	156	$61	874	904	-30	open	—	01-29 00:57
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	84	$60	466	467	-1	open	—	02-14 03:57
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	85	$60	557	544	+13	open	—	02-14 11:39
will antnio jos seguro win the first round	4	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	01-19 06:31
will xai have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	128	$59	787	786	+1	open	—	01-29 00:53
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	142	$58	797	800	-4	open	—	02-01 01:31
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 520 539	165	$58	985	961	+23	open	—	02-11 12:14
will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of february 882 138 877 117 343 764 976	106	$58	657	642	+15	open	—	02-10 15:07
Will the US strike Syria next?	131	$57	803	825	-22	open	—	01-15 21:53
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	92	$56	532	547	-15	open	—	01-26 18:40
gc settle 4725 4850 jan 2026	98	$56	576	582	-7	open	—	01-27 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-02 11:16:47	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xd7263b…
03-21 20:38:23	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xabdd89…
03-17 17:39:43	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x61d377…
03-11 16:41:45	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x582986…
03-03 22:00:13	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xf03a0e…
02-18 08:38:30	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x33726c…
02-17 17:34:51	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xd4353d…
02-17 16:23:33	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xe0e840…
02-17 12:46:41	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 16 be less than 2000000	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfbc063…
02-16 23:49:39	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x83306e…
02-16 19:01:07	will the us next strike iran on march 18 2026 et	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x6efa1a…
02-16 13:55:17	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xf5018d…
02-16 08:34:21	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x4dea16…
02-16 03:23:35	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x3e727e…
02-16 01:27:03	zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x3780d5…
02-16 00:02:27	will nuevayol by bad bunny be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 21	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x8e74b7…
02-15 21:16:57	will pltr reach 174 in february	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xc6ce71…
02-15 20:22:23	will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x1cae34…
02-15 19:36:01	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x73db23…
02-15 16:16:11	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x2966cc…
02-15 16:11:55	will dear me diane warren relentless win best original song at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x85a5ef…
02-15 15:47:49	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x8c6b9d…
02-15 14:59:43	will pcc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x842861…
02-15 10:12:37	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 16 be less than 2000000	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf6b008…
02-15 09:23:57	will conservative win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x4724d7…
02-15 08:32:13	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xa0cbff…
02-15 07:56:07	will pcc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x52c2e0…
02-15 04:17:39	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x6aaaed…
02-15 03:27:53	will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be between 53m and 59m	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x31de12…
02-15 01:08:21	will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x0bbe0b…
02-15 00:11:49	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be greater than 23m	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x152792…
02-15 00:11:37	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be greater than 23m	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf5f7ae…
02-15 00:05:51	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt6 by march 31	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x22455e…
02-14 23:50:47	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2e0ab3…
02-14 23:49:41	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf44a88…
02-14 23:32:59	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt6 by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x3e667f…
02-14 23:29:43	will drake have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xdbe4ec…
02-14 23:26:23	will pcc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xea240d…
02-14 23:06:01	will trump meet with vladimir putin in february 2026	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x5c5ad2…
02-14 22:47:57	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x888391…
02-14 22:47:05	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt6 by march 31	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x07ff42…
02-14 22:34:53	will drake have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb284a3…
02-14 22:34:13	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9ee552…
02-14 22:33:47	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xea5a22…
02-14 22:33:11	will pcc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd2e81b…
02-14 22:32:41	will dear me diane warren relentless win best original song at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x29e2d0…
02-14 20:59:35	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by february 28	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x79c6e3…
02-14 18:55:09	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x5e2bdf…
02-14 18:14:57	tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x57b6b7…
02-14 17:06:35	will mrbeast hit 490 million subscribers by march 31 772 164 857 377 793 556 125 855 849	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x2b4b09…
02-14 16:54:43	2026 us senate election republican odds under 40 by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xea725b…
02-14 16:49:05	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x7951ed…
02-14 16:47:33	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xad01cb…
02-14 16:15:41	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x9602cb…
02-14 16:15:23	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xc3d174…
02-14 15:50:09	march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xafc47f…
02-14 15:21:03	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x7f3f6d…
02-14 15:08:27	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 21	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xc47d86…
02-14 14:34:43	will emma stone win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x9636c0…
02-14 14:01:07	will arco win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x91de04…
02-14 13:33:45	will chlo zhao win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xeda6db…
02-14 13:06:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xb0276c…
02-14 12:34:15	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x931b09…
02-14 12:28:29	will artemis ii launch by february 28	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x753be0…
02-14 11:51:09	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x0a5998…
02-14 11:39:25	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x7c6ba1…
02-14 10:55:41	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa82cc2…
02-14 10:55:41	chatgpt full outage by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9d2d0e…
02-14 10:55:41	will zhipu robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x78033c…
02-14 10:55:41	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 16 be between 2400000 and 2600000	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x3a0690…
02-14 10:54:51	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xffc451…
02-14 10:54:51	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xb96675…
02-14 10:54:51	will the us next strike iran on march 25 2026 et	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xa74b91…
02-14 10:54:51	will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x9c3e90…
02-14 10:54:51	will the us next strike iran on march 24 2026 et	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x713a19…
02-14 10:54:51	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5dfb72…
02-14 10:54:51	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x579e82…
02-14 10:54:51	Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x537dc9…
02-14 10:54:51	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x3e0f3d…
02-14 10:54:51	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x39f19f…
02-14 10:54:51	will golden by huntrx ejae audrey nuna rei ami be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 21	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x2af205…
02-14 10:54:51	Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x236de3…
02-14 10:45:25	will the us next strike iran on march 5 2026 et	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xe433d1…
02-14 10:33:59	bill clinton charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x45c9ef…
02-14 10:10:53	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xa487be…
02-14 10:03:33	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xab6cf3…
02-14 10:03:27	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x0d1ccb…
02-14 10:02:47	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xb871c0…
02-14 09:30:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xc823ff…
02-14 09:10:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x638f22…
02-14 09:10:03	will netanyahu be pardoned by february 28	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x68fd1b…
02-14 08:11:45	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x9eb86c…
02-14 08:09:53	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa0947f…
02-14 08:07:41	will seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x3dab02…
02-14 07:21:49	will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x2f8ff0…
02-14 07:17:47	will rose byrne win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x3c3821…
02-14 07:17:11	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xbde862…
02-14 07:13:45	will the us next strike iran on march 8 2026 et	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xb18daf…
02-14 07:13:03	will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xd79740…
02-14 06:51:29	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x96a083…