Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$21,882
$9,303 in 24h
Trades
362
Unique wallets
82
Liquidity
$309,229
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-20
last 04-24 14:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.8¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $15.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 29 | $230 | $7.5K | $7.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $78 | $7.1K | $7.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $56 | $9 | +$47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $54 | $1 | +$53 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $203 | $837 | $634 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $91 | $371 | $280 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $12 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Median | 8 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Below median | 16 | $17 | $646 | $629 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $14 | $48 | $34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $21 | $2.9K | $2.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $1 | $6.3K | $6.3K |
| unranked | 7 | $48 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | +5,274 | $41 | $41 | 20 | 03-22 03:02 |
| Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | +5,203 | $5,163 | $5,305 | 2 | 03-09 01:50 |
| Some-Robot 0xc42f…78a0 | No | +1,050 | $823 | $3,583 | 16 | 04-22 06:22 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +884 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 01-30 15:06 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +807 | $758 | $758 | 13 | 03-05 15:00 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | +770 | $26 | $26 | 9 | 02-17 13:04 |
| Common-Contagion 0xd8af…04e7 | No | +645 | $632 | $1,388 | 7 | 01-30 15:28 |
| Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | Yes | +361 | $1 | $4 | 18 | 02-12 19:02 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +210 | $4 | $29 | 10 | 04-02 11:16 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +99 | $95 | $95 | 6 | 02-12 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | +99 | $98 | $98 | 5 | 03-04 16:17 |
| Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 02-13 16:52 |
| oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 01-24 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d98…62ab | Yes | +46 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 11:16 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +44 | $1 | $4 | 6 | 02-12 18:47 |
| Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 01-30 10:21 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 01-30 22:31 |
| Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 02-15 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1584…71b6 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 01-30 15:42 |
| Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | Yes | +27 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 04-19 01:05 |
| Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 02-11 07:02 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 02-11 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $7 | $12 | 12 | 04-24 05:20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-24 05:20 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 04-24 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 02-13 12:43 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 02-13 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xda59…30db | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 03-18 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xe069…3c17 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-30 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb9d…e31b | No | +8 | $9 | $4,904 | 7 | 02-01 18:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7ba…02af | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-19 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-05 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | +2 | $-1 | $2 | 13 | 02-01 23:09 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1 | $1 | $5 | 5 | 03-14 00:01 |
| Practical-Mixture 0x4bc5…a968 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-14 00:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 14:47:18 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d1c88… |
| 04-24 14:47:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d1c88… |
| 04-24 05:20:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad697d… |
| 04-24 05:20:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad697d… |
| 04-24 05:20:06 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad697d… |
| 04-24 05:20:06 | Parched-Pup 0x853e…ca2b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xad697d… |
| 04-22 06:22:46 | Some-Robot 0xc42f…78a0 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x5d1ee8… |
| 04-22 06:22:46 | Parched-Pup 0x853e…ca2b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x5d1ee8… |
| 04-21 15:36:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbe0931… |
| 04-21 15:36:40 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbe0931… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x21da3d… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x21da3d… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x306617… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x306617… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x306617… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x306617… |
| 04-19 01:05:18 | Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x16c01b… |
| 04-19 01:05:18 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x16c01b… |
| 04-19 01:05:18 | (anonymous) 0xa7ba…02af | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x16c01b… |
| 04-06 11:31:35 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4cfeee… |
| 04-06 11:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xb3e6…115b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4cfeee… |
| 04-05 14:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xa1e991… |
| 04-05 14:52:31 | (anonymous) 0xb3e6…115b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa1e991… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xd7263b… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd7263b… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xd7263b… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xd7263b… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x3d98…62ab | Yes | BUY | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xd7263b… |
| 04-01 14:47:29 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf6aa2b… |
| 04-01 14:47:29 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | SELL | 300 | 99¢ | $298 | 0xf6aa2b… |
| 04-01 14:47:05 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe7e5a7… |
| 04-01 14:47:05 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | BUY | 300 | 99¢ | $298 | 0xe7e5a7… |
| 04-01 09:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | SELL | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x26b10f… |
| 04-01 09:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | SELL | 300 | 99¢ | $298 | 0x26b10f… |
| 04-01 09:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xed9bf9… |
| 04-01 09:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | BUY | 300 | 99¢ | $298 | 0xed9bf9… |
| 03-22 03:02:41 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe0c5c… |
| 03-22 03:02:41 | Minor-Chorus 0x3a67…a192 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe0c5c… |
| 03-21 20:38:23 | Gregarious-Bullfighter 0x57aa…04c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xabdd89… |
| 03-21 20:38:23 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xabdd89… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | (anonymous) 0xda59…30db | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5250c… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5250c… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | (anonymous) 0xda59…30db | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6fb488… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6fb488… |
| 03-17 17:39:43 | (anonymous) 0xf7fe…1e42 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x61d377… |
| 03-17 17:39:43 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x61d377… |
| 03-16 23:29:57 | (anonymous) 0xda59…30db | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea2543… |
| 03-16 23:29:57 | Gregarious-Bullfighter 0x57aa…04c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xea2543… |
| 03-14 00:01:25 | Practical-Mixture 0x4bc5…a968 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7a8137… |
| 03-14 00:01:25 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7a8137… |
| 03-11 16:41:45 | (anonymous) 0xd2dc…223e | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x582986… |
| 03-11 16:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x582986… |
| 03-09 18:17:05 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x658e6f… |
| 03-09 18:17:05 | (anonymous) 0x9488…d531 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x658e6f… |
| 03-09 01:50:43 | Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | SELL | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x514677… |
| 03-09 01:50:43 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x514677… |
| 03-09 01:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x514677… |
| 03-08 09:50:59 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41226f… |
| 03-08 09:50:59 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41226f… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0f1c9… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0f1c9… |
| 03-07 14:12:37 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6e8d68… |
| 03-07 14:12:37 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e8d68… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x32e1e1… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ac0de… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ac0de… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x32e1e1… |
| 03-05 14:59:39 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x257c59… |
| 03-05 14:59:39 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x257c59… |
| 03-04 16:59:43 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2512ef… |
| 03-04 16:59:43 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2512ef… |
| 03-04 16:27:51 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 2,857 | 1¢ | $20 | 0xd6ebcf… |
| 03-04 16:27:51 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd6ebcf… |
| 03-04 16:27:51 | Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | BUY | 5,274 | 99¢ | $5,234 | 0xd6ebcf… |
| 03-04 16:21:23 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1895a2… |
| 03-04 16:21:23 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1895a2… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1af1f… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf1af1f… |
| 03-01 15:31:41 | (anonymous) 0x54d2…c559 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe567d0… |
| 03-01 15:31:41 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe567d0… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77208a… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77208a… |
| 02-18 18:06:00 | (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7a33a… |
| 02-18 18:06:00 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7a33a… |
| 02-17 13:04:29 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3a60c9… |
| 02-17 13:04:29 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3a60c9… |
| 02-17 07:31:45 | Mountainous-Boulder 0x66e1…5aef | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd3e13c… |
| 02-17 07:31:45 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd3e13c… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6d74f… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6d74f… |
| 02-15 16:51:27 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x2763ee… |
| 02-15 16:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xb515…f6cc | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2763ee… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9d4193… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x9d4193… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9d4193… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x0f8fbd… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0f8fbd… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2eb63e… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x6051d3… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x2eb63e… |