Realized P&L
-$3.22K
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
20,845
Trades
58,457
lifetime
Volume
$111.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$754
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-14 08:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 47% -$2,208
Other
4% 34% -$799
Politics
1% 23% -$23
Tech
1% 75% -$177
Sports
0% 38% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +400 $315 82¢ $329 +$14 07-29 19:11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -250 -$244 98¢ $-246 -$2 05-31 17:21
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +100 $84 78¢ $78 -$6 07-27 20:35
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 -$66 95¢ $-47 +$19 07-22 13:02
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 No +100 $63 30¢ $30 -$32 07-27 20:46
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 Yes +500 $40 3¢ $17 -$23 07-29 21:26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 -$3 3¢ $-3 +$0 10-14 08:42
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +50 $16 4¢ $2 -$15 07-22 13:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +126 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-13 11:42