Vacant-Challenge 0x3078db…f80389
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$497
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
40.9%
Resolved
52
Trades
559,651
lifetime
Volume
$2.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$391
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-18 08:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
44% 71% +$40
Politics
29% 56% +$536
Crypto
16% 61% +$220
Sports
10% 38% $-299
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 5920 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -425 $-104 46¢ $-198 $-94 06-13 13:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +66 $31 99¢ $65 +$34 06-12 19:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +75 $27 18¢ $13 $-14 06-10 16:16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +44 $11 26¢ $11 +$1 06-12 22:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -35 $-5 28¢ $-10 $-5 06-12 16:01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -36 $-3 24¢ $-9 $-6 06-01 23:13
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +61 $9 14¢ $9 +$0 06-12 18:05
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +14 $6 60¢ $8 +$2 06-11 22:24
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -84 $-12 8¢ $-7 +$6 05-29 08:03
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-7 20¢ $-6 +$1 05-28 07:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +25 $7 22¢ $5 $-2 06-11 18:10
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +17 $2 30¢ $5 +$4 05-29 16:38
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +22 $6 23¢ $5 $-1 06-12 17:52
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$2 06-12 05:44
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -29 $-6 15¢ $-4 +$2 06-10 16:04
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -48 $-7 8¢ $-4 +$3 05-29 16:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -28 $-4 10¢ $-3 +$1 06-12 09:00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -16 $-4 16¢ $-3 +$1 05-31 20:51
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +16 $4 16¢ $3 $-1 06-10 06:27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +21 $4 12¢ $2 $-2 05-30 05:09
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +12 $5 20¢ $2 $-3 06-10 16:24
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-2 26¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 19:29
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -26 $-5 8¢ $-2 +$3 05-28 06:53
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2 $-1 82¢ $2 +$3 06-10 16:02
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-2 32¢ $-2 +$0 06-09 07:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes -11 $-3 16¢ $-2 +$2 05-29 01:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2 $-1 68¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 18:27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -7 $-2 22¢ $-1 +$1 06-03 08:43
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-11 08:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -102 $-53 1¢ $-1 +$52 06-13 12:14