Vacant-Challenge 0x3078db…f80389
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$497
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
40.9%
Resolved
52
Trades
484,959
lifetime
Volume
$2.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$675
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
38% 71% +$40
Politics
32% 56% +$536
Crypto
19% 61% +$220
Sports
11% 38% $-299
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 5560 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -212 $-69 70¢ $-149 $-80 06-08 05:53
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +76 $14 100¢ $76 +$63 06-07 18:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +202 $46 30¢ $60 +$14 06-09 21:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +176 $44 32¢ $55 +$11 06-09 00:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -46 $-27 90¢ $-41 $-14 05-29 15:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +48 $25 82¢ $39 +$15 05-29 18:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -133 $-30 28¢ $-37 $-7 06-09 20:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +151 $47 18¢ $28 $-19 06-09 20:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +57 $19 37¢ $21 +$2 06-09 21:39
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No +84 $6 20¢ $17 +$11 06-09 19:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +51 $14 26¢ $14 $-1 06-09 17:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +19 $9 70¢ $13 +$4 06-08 10:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Yes -13 $-12 100¢ $-13 $-1 05-30 11:15
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -48 $-7 18¢ $-9 $-2 05-29 16:43
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -84 $-12 10¢ $-8 +$4 05-29 08:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +88 $19 10¢ $8 $-11 06-09 17:26
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +53 $8 14¢ $7 $-0 06-09 21:10
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +29 $8 25¢ $7 $-0 06-09 20:29
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes +13 $0 57¢ $7 +$7 05-28 17:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -40 $-16 18¢ $-7 +$9 05-30 14:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -36 $-3 19¢ $-7 $-4 06-01 23:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +48 $15 14¢ $7 $-9 06-09 19:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes +23 $10 28¢ $6 $-3 05-31 19:17
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-7 20¢ $-6 +$1 05-28 07:34
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -54 $-16 11¢ $-6 +$10 06-07 18:43
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes -42 $-6 13¢ $-6 +$1 05-28 10:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -23 $-8 24¢ $-5 +$2 06-09 16:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -26 $-4 18¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 15:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -16 $-4 29¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 20:51
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -192 $-15 2¢ $-4 +$10 05-29 03:38