Vacant-Challenge 0x3078db…f80389
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$497
Unrealized P&L
-$338
Hit rate
40.9%
Resolved
52
Trades
530,014
lifetime
Volume
$2.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$669
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-24 22:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
42% 71% +$40
Politics
30% 56% +$536
Crypto
17% 61% +$220
Sports
10% 38% $-299
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 5920 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -212 $-69 100¢ $-211 $-142 06-08 05:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -425 $-104 18¢ $-74 +$30 06-13 13:35
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -116 $-33 55¢ $-63 $-30 06-18 14:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +66 $31 70¢ $46 +$15 06-12 19:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -46 $-27 99¢ $-45 $-18 05-29 15:27
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -161 $-38 20¢ $-33 +$5 06-18 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -102 $-53 30¢ $-31 +$22 06-13 12:14
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +27 $1 100¢ $27 +$26 06-08 19:38
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +75 $27 24¢ $18 $-10 06-10 16:16
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +61 $9 28¢ $17 +$8 06-12 18:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +44 $11 27¢ $12 +$1 06-12 22:13
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -36 $-3 24¢ $-9 $-6 06-01 23:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,310 $254 1¢ $7 $-246 06-12 22:50
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -84 $-12 8¢ $-7 +$5 05-29 08:03
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -48 $-7 15¢ $-7 $-0 05-29 16:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +25 $7 26¢ $6 $-1 06-11 18:10
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +14 $6 38¢ $5 $-1 06-11 22:24
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-7 17¢ $-5 +$2 05-28 07:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -35 $-5 15¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 16:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -28 $-4 17¢ $-5 $-1 06-12 09:00
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -23 $-5 20¢ $-5 +$1 06-18 20:13
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$2 06-12 05:44
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +22 $6 20¢ $4 $-2 06-12 17:52
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +17 $2 22¢ $4 +$2 05-29 16:38
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +33 $4 10¢ $3 $-0 06-11 08:08
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -29 $-6 11¢ $-3 +$3 06-10 16:04
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +12 $5 26¢ $3 $-2 06-10 16:24
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +16 $4 19¢ $3 $-1 06-10 06:27
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -16 $-4 17¢ $-3 +$1 05-31 20:51
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +7 $1 40¢ $3 +$1 06-18 20:21