Mountainous-Boulder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,032

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-13 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$0

Other

24% — —

Sports

5% 0% —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769855400	48	$160	208	143	+64	open	—	01-31 10:41
btc updown 15m 1769854500	40	$132	278	118	+160	open	—	01-31 10:27
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	21	$91	174	174	+0	open	—	02-13 18:17
bitcoin up or down february 2 6am et	10	$86	83	83	+0	open	—	02-02 11:11
btc updown 15m 1769846400	38	$64	59	58	+1	open	—	01-31 08:11
btc updown 15m 1769852700	21	$58	65	60	+5	open	—	01-31 09:57
btc updown 15m 1769853600	12	$39	37	30	+7	open	—	01-31 10:10
btc updown 15m 1769851800	10	$39	34	30	+4	open	—	01-31 09:37
btc updown 15m 1769850900	12	$37	39	35	+4	open	—	01-31 09:18
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more 472 292 194 673	6	$36	75	75	+0	open	—	02-13 12:07
btc updown 15m 1769845500	21	$35	51	30	+20	open	—	01-31 07:57
sol updown 15m 1770029100	2	$34	36	0	+36	open	—	02-02 10:58
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 542 174 212	8	$29	57	57	+0	open	—	02-13 13:37
btc updown 15m 1769849100	6	$28	17	15	+2	open	—	01-31 08:52
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more 234 558 393 861	5	$25	50	50	+0	open	—	02-13 09:22
btc updown 15m 1769850000	10	$25	30	25	+5	open	—	01-31 09:03
eth updown 15m 1770029100	9	$23	91	0	+91	open	—	02-02 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 11:14
solana up or down february 2 5am et	5	$16	36	6	+29	open	—	02-02 11:11
xrp up or down february 2 5am et	5	$15	68	5	+63	open	—	02-02 11:11
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$14	30	35	-5	open	—	02-13 18:19
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	13	$13	128	128	+0	open	—	02-16 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 10:59
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more 497 585	3	$11	22	22	-0	open	—	02-13 12:04
xrp up or down february 2 6am et	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	02-02 11:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	05-24 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 08:08:31	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x46fbd9…
06-13 08:07:42	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Türkiye	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6bec7f…
06-13 08:05:19	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xddf86b…
06-13 08:04:22	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x07772e…
05-24 08:53:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x35ae1b…
05-21 08:13:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x82cd5d…
05-20 11:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x840cfb…
05-20 11:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x70db8a…
04-28 14:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xad7be0…
04-28 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x189852…
04-28 13:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0d52ae…
04-28 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xce558e…
04-28 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xea8ab1…
04-28 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x58581d…
04-28 10:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x461a4e…
04-28 10:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc52f13…
04-28 06:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4854c4…
04-27 13:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbfe542…
04-26 23:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x7ac4e8…
04-26 23:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xe73fbd…
04-26 22:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x5c87d7…
04-26 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x591387…
04-26 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x37cb50…
04-26 18:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x740232…
04-25 08:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xdf2cbb…
04-24 11:28:48	btc updown 15m 1777029300	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xeb017d…
02-17 07:32:57	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey bronze medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xf12eb5…
02-17 07:32:55	will the central bank of colombia announce an increase at the march meeting	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x40115a…
02-17 07:32:55	will xrp reach 2 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x3c2d63…
02-17 07:32:53	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x7dcea5…
02-17 07:32:49	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x88c670…
02-17 07:32:49	Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x565af9…
02-17 07:32:49	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x42e58c…
02-17 07:32:47	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x9eb8c6…
02-17 07:32:45	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 2026 bafta awards	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe8d80b…
02-17 07:32:41	Will Bry Thomas get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xf5c305…
02-17 07:32:41	will solana dip to 40 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe39549…
02-17 07:32:37	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x1c36cb…
02-17 07:32:35	will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc0a29f…
02-17 07:32:01	will jamaica record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 722	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xe48ebe…
02-17 07:32:01	bitcoin above 62k on february 19	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x8c0e38…
02-17 07:32:01	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x4f1afc…
02-17 07:32:01	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x2eaab2…
02-17 07:32:01	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x13d7ec…
02-17 07:31:59	will the us next strike iran on march 21 2026 et	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd1fae5…
02-17 07:31:59	will the dhs shutdown end between march 8 11 2026	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xcff1c7…
02-17 07:31:59	nflx above 40 on february 20 2026	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xccf395…
02-17 07:31:59	will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xaa8c0e…
02-17 07:31:59	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x7c2bda…
02-17 07:31:59	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x16242c…
02-17 07:31:57	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 1500m joep wennemars ned	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdb0610…
02-17 07:31:57	Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9b5530…
02-17 07:31:57	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt8 by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7b9f9c…
02-17 07:31:57	will delcy rodriguez attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x687736…
02-17 07:31:57	will kiki win umk 2026	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x39b9e2…
02-17 07:31:55	lal get sev 2026 02 22 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc466fd…
02-17 07:31:53	will norway win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8b2a4c…
02-17 07:31:53	will north carolina win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x509221…
02-17 07:31:53	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x31b961…
02-17 07:31:51	Will Craig Goralski be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc6b68a…
02-17 07:31:51	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 220 249	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2172fc…
02-17 07:31:51	will switzerland win the mens ice hockey silver medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x199909…
02-17 07:31:49	Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xdbd05d…
02-17 07:31:49	Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x06c76e…
02-17 07:31:47	will willie preston be the democratic nominee for il 02 448	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x7788a1…
02-17 07:31:47	will chainlink reach 12 in february	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x439e3b…
02-17 07:31:45	Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd3e13c…
02-17 07:31:45	will rocio alejandra molina win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 552	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xa5b560…
02-17 07:31:45	will grok 4pt20 be released on march 21 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x33da6f…
02-17 07:31:45	2026 winter olympics snowboard slopestyle mens oliver martin usa	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x2352f5…
02-17 07:31:45	will faze clan win pgl cluj napoca 2026	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x131dea…
02-17 07:31:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe0cf33…
02-17 07:31:43	will elon musk be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x86d34f…
02-17 07:31:43	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x7dfcc4…
02-17 07:31:43	will team vitality win the lec 2026 versus	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x5dc2fe…
02-17 07:31:41	swiss national bank increases policy rate after march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc954af…
02-17 07:31:41	will sinners win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xaba029…
02-17 07:31:41	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x7c02e0…
02-17 07:31:41	Will Erik Spoelstra win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x42ae10…
02-17 07:31:41	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x2a2c59…
02-17 07:31:41	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x24eb44…
02-17 07:31:39	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0xa7ab82…
02-17 07:31:39	Will Beckett Sennecke win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x91c4d2…
02-17 07:31:39	will nvda dip to 144 in february	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x6f8e9e…
02-17 07:31:39	will the democrats d win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x38678a…
02-17 07:31:39	will romania record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 638	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x1e6d96…
02-17 07:31:39	will the miami heat win more than 37pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x07a0d3…
02-17 07:31:37	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xcffeee…
02-17 07:31:37	will grok 4pt20 be released on march 22 2026	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x4a8dc8…
02-17 07:31:37	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x2a2218…
02-17 07:31:37	Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x1cb6dd…
02-17 07:31:37	will one battle after another win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x0c6e7f…
02-17 07:31:35	Will Nice finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xff5127…
02-17 07:31:35	will hong kong record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 933	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xe6eba6…
02-17 07:31:35	tim walz in jail by march 31	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x314435…
02-17 07:31:35	will tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x107fb1…
02-17 07:31:35	Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x06c933…
02-17 07:31:33	will sirt win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xd40e01…
02-17 07:31:33	will trump meet with vladimir putin in february 2026	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xa14c96…
02-17 07:31:33	will the man in my basement win outstanding debut at the 2026 bafta awards	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x4072f6…