Realized P&L
-$106
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
464
Trades
1,072
lifetime
Volume
$8.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$167
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 06-15 02:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
51% 74% +$4
Politics
26% 66% -$95
Sports
19% 68% -$25
Tech
4% 62% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Crypto
0% 0% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No +36 $35 98¢ $35 +$0 05-20 12:39
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No +11 $8 99¢ $11 +$3 06-11 05:00
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +30 $8 34¢ $10 +$2 06-07 01:31
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +24 $8 42¢ $10 +$2 06-03 10:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +13 $8 78¢ $10 +$2 05-24 23:47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 05-20 19:59
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 06-04 01:33
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +12 $8 76¢ $9 +$1 05-25 15:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +25 $13 34¢ $8 -$5 05-20 12:05
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +24 $8 34¢ $8 +$0 06-08 23:57
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +26 $8 28¢ $7 -$1 05-20 15:40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -16 -$1 42¢ $-7 -$6 06-03 03:50
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +10 $8 62¢ $6 -$2 05-31 11:25
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +20 $8 29¢ $6 -$2 05-30 17:32
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +14 $8 40¢ $5 -$3 06-08 23:19
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +15 $8 36¢ $5 -$3 05-20 15:21
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +17 $8 29¢ $5 -$3 06-15 02:18
Blue wave in 2026? No +28 $8 15¢ $4 -$4 06-04 01:14