Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
32.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
646
lifetime
Volume
$4.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$122
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 06-09 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
56% 40% $-29
Sports
19% 50% +$7
Politics
18% 25% $-7
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -17 $-16 97¢ $-16 $-0 06-09 08:21
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +11 $8 88¢ $10 +$2 06-06 02:48
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +11 $8 77¢ $9 +$1 06-04 17:36
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 06-07 07:58
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +11 $8 76¢ $8 +$0 06-08 23:47
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 06-03 18:16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +11 $8 70¢ $8 +$0 06-07 04:12
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +11 $3 73¢ $8 +$5 06-09 20:50
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +14 $8 58¢ $8 $-0 06-08 23:19
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $8 77¢ $8 $-0 06-04 01:33
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +15 $1 50¢ $7 +$6 06-08 00:12
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +11 $8 66¢ $7 $-1 06-01 01:32
Blue wave in 2026? No +28 $8 25¢ $7 $-1 06-04 01:14
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +15 $12 34¢ $5 $-7 06-08 22:33
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -28 $-5 16¢ $-5 +$1 05-27 21:52