Joint-Tower 0xe4e0dd…2d1a91
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
151
Trades
1,014
lifetime
Volume
$643
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$25
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-24 15:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Sports
49% 61% +$12
Other
41% 62% +$1
Politics
6% 33% -$9
Crypto
3% 67% +$1
Tech
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -9 -$2 72¢ $-7 -$5 05-16 19:26
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -14 -$1 22¢ $-3 -$2 05-30 16:08
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -3 -$2 94¢ $-2 -$1 05-12 16:04
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-01 12:44
US recession by end of 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-05 12:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-23 19:29
New pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-12 18:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2 -$1 57¢ $-1 $0 05-19 03:59
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-11 20:55
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-02 13:43
iran coup attempt by december 31 No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-12 01:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 08-12 01:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 08-15 18:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 $0 05-24 18:12
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -0 $0 100¢ $-0 $0 07-13 18:03
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -2 $0 10¢ $-0 $0 05-21 21:26
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +0 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-07 21:24