Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
46.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
643
lifetime
Volume
$379
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 07-05 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Sports
71% 60% +$6
Other
16%
Politics
9%
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? Yes -7 $-2 32¢ $-2 $-1 07-02 17:10
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes -3 $-1 64¢ $-2 $-1 06-16 09:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-14 19:58
US recession by end of 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 12:53
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 13:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 14:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 07-05 00:12
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 06-11 01:30
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 14¢ $-0 $-0 05-30 16:08
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-14 06:00