Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 09-25 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$5

Crypto

20% 100% +$1

Politics

11% 100% +$5

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-22	-$21	99¢	$-22	$0	05-08 08:20
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No		+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	09-04 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	4	$161	85	85	+0	open	—	07-07 05:48
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	07-11 06:02
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	6	$108	55	55	+0	No	+$1	06-29 19:25
Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?	2	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	08-16 19:29
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	19	$108	56	56	+0	open	—	09-04 17:57
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title	3	$108	55	55	+0	Yes	+$0	09-09 21:25
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	08-17 10:36
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	12	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	07-27 17:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	05-28 03:01
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	10	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$0	06-11 10:49
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$102	54	54	+0	open	—	09-25 12:53
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$0	07-14 03:11
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$1	06-10 16:42
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	3	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 15:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	6	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-23 12:08
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	12	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-05 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-18 12:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-19 08:01
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	5	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	05-18 16:25
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	05-04 20:45
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	1	$53	55	0	+55	open	—	08-17 19:56
Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	1	$52	54	0	+54	open	—	09-24 20:54
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?	1	$51	53	0	+53	No	+$2	09-09 12:31
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$51	53	0	+53	No	+$2	05-29 06:39
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	1	$47	50	0	+50	No	+$3	09-24 06:40
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$21	0	22	-22	open	—	05-08 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 12:53:50	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x861ad1…
09-24 20:54:02	Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x830dde…
09-24 06:40:42	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7cbbfe…
09-19 02:29:13	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x7e9e32…
09-09 21:25:34	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x44dd50…
09-09 19:02:34	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title	Yes	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xfac834…
09-09 12:31:04	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x882011…
09-05 12:38:34	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x857234…
09-04 20:47:12	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xf2fea2…
09-04 17:57:15	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3d78fb…
09-04 17:35:19	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x223c8b…
09-04 17:08:21	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xffcc0e…
09-04 16:45:33	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3d7e0b…
09-04 16:23:03	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbb65bb…
09-04 16:00:01	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xaa08e2…
09-04 15:42:42	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc59916…
09-03 12:49:13	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x75a7e9…
09-03 12:45:52	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x134c56…
09-03 12:42:39	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x956715…
09-03 12:39:45	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfb7941…
09-03 12:37:06	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0c2b63…
08-28 18:35:37	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x52193d…
08-28 17:39:46	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x823472…
08-28 08:16:03	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xcd617a…
08-28 07:24:15	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x33a04e…
08-28 06:30:36	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc293e8…
08-27 23:35:48	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb4bab2…
08-27 23:03:42	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x348edb…
08-17 19:56:51	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xc43bf7…
08-17 10:36:33	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xaade31…
08-17 10:35:27	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x38ab16…
08-16 19:29:49	Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x77c984…
08-13 09:53:51	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xaf9a5d…
08-13 03:25:36	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa9db73…
08-12 12:34:48	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xef51f8…
08-12 12:29:42	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x9cdc38…
08-12 12:07:27	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x4679f2…
07-27 17:29:21	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0xad33a8…
07-24 14:21:46	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x9bd022…
07-24 14:18:43	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf8fd5b…
07-24 14:17:24	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x854f5c…
07-24 14:11:07	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x7c2825…
07-24 13:59:51	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfbe24e…
07-24 13:52:39	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5993c3…
07-24 13:49:34	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20b241…
07-24 13:32:10	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x0c165a…
07-24 13:24:27	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x532f2d…
07-24 13:22:34	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa747e6…
07-24 13:17:51	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb5bca5…
07-14 03:11:11	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x49760c…
07-11 06:02:20	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x7fffdc…
07-09 06:08:04	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x1eb463…
07-08 00:19:13	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$50	0xad783e…
07-07 05:48:59	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0x762a43…
07-02 22:21:14	Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x833d21…
07-01 17:59:50	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0xb689e5…
06-29 19:25:52	Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa5d88a…
06-29 19:23:01	Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xcc7a16…
06-29 19:20:10	Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x8d92db…
06-20 01:14:34	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x954bf5…
06-19 08:01:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xac9083…
06-17 02:47:09	Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x5997ea…
06-16 20:14:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6d8196…
06-11 10:49:01	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xb36f85…
06-10 16:42:03	Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xc03d25…
06-09 10:04:58	Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56fc1c…
06-09 02:01:06	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf866ad…
06-08 17:57:54	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x033139…
06-08 17:51:24	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ea938…
06-08 17:43:36	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x295c2e…
06-08 17:03:03	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1fa413…
06-08 15:42:01	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0655fe…
06-08 11:58:03	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4349a…
06-07 15:51:54	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6d1f97…
06-07 12:13:12	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x764c3f…
06-07 04:14:31	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x01ab1e…
05-29 11:19:20	Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x547e0f…
05-29 06:39:41	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x7cc155…
05-28 15:24:12	Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd8c90d…
05-28 14:50:42	Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$49	0x8e1061…
05-28 03:01:58	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x813270…
05-26 04:13:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xb36748…
05-23 12:08:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xb83f2b…
05-23 11:31:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x351c54…
05-23 10:56:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x84c05c…
05-23 10:18:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf606bd…
05-23 10:17:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xd97978…
05-20 20:19:57	Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8158a8…
05-20 20:08:00	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x82360f…
05-20 20:07:53	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc1fb1…
05-20 20:07:44	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d8e29…
05-20 20:07:39	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6db0f3…
05-20 20:07:35	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa50443…
05-20 20:07:28	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x737bd6…
05-20 20:07:23	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x888deb…
05-20 20:07:20	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd7d4ad…
05-20 20:07:14	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6fd8d…
05-20 20:07:09	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x14d104…
05-20 20:07:06	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ce91e…
05-18 16:25:39	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xaff8bb…