Realized P&L
+$14.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.6K
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
65
Trades
2,278
lifetime
Volume
$824.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$362
Open exposure
$53.5K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 23:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
74% 76% +$10,153
Politics
25% 58% +$4,775
Sports
1% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +27,026 $11,379 42¢ $11.5K +$107 10-28 06:25
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +65,108 $10,290 15¢ $9.4K -$849 10-25 11:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +13,948 -$5,491 59¢ $8.2K +$13,678 10-24 18:53
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +5,671 $1,920 88¢ $5.0K +$3,042 10-11 15:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,000 $3,922 83¢ $4.2K +$230 08-11 06:46
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +3,535 $1,976 98¢ $3.5K +$1,495 10-10 23:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -30,000 -$2,920 9¢ $-2790 +$130 08-28 22:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +2,500 -$2,229 98¢ $2.5K +$4,679 09-22 14:41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,500 $2,165 91¢ $2.3K +$115 08-14 00:48
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? No +1,537 $1,439 97¢ $1.5K +$48 09-13 10:01
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +1,271 $253 43¢ $546 +$294 09-24 01:38
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +1,185 $228 42¢ $504 +$276 09-24 01:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +5,418 $86 6¢ $325 +$239 10-29 05:52
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -25,000 -$300 1¢ $-312 -$12 08-05 02:24
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? No +7,500 $300 4¢ $262 -$37 10-17 01:13
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +314 $276 74¢ $231 -$45 08-18 18:59
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +292 $257 74¢ $214 -$43 08-19 20:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +9,597 $2,400 2¢ $192 -$2,208 10-11 13:57
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +1,250 $203 14¢ $174 -$29 10-16 22:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +500 $76 14¢ $68 -$8 07-29 05:49
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +754 $422 2¢ $12 -$410 07-24 20:31
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,298 $249 0¢ $2 -$247 07-29 02:35
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-13 07:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +0 -$200 74¢ $0 +$200 09-08 12:19