Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5d7…7be344
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$16.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$238
Hit rate
9.7%
Resolved
8,200
Trades
51,299
lifetime
Volume
$579.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$6.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 11-01 01:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
64% 8% -$11,238
Politics
21% 6% -$2,348
Tech
5% 8% -$595
Sports
5% 6% -$1,142
Crypto
4% 77% -$372
Pop-Culture
1% 7% -$262
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +700 $628 94¢ $654 +$26 10-31 21:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +500 $456 97¢ $486 +$30 10-30 09:31
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +456 $405 96¢ $439 +$34 10-29 20:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +450 $398 78¢ $351 -$48 10-28 16:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +350 $326 99¢ $347 +$21 10-29 20:33
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +360 $331 96¢ $347 +$16 10-26 20:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +300 $265 100¢ $298 +$34 10-29 10:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +350 $317 84¢ $296 -$22 10-29 20:26
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +300 $265 85¢ $255 -$10 10-31 23:32
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +263 $238 92¢ $243 +$5 10-31 09:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +250 $228 94¢ $234 +$6 10-31 22:50
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +250 $226 92¢ $230 +$4 10-31 18:45
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $175 99¢ $198 +$23 10-28 19:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +200 $183 98¢ $196 +$13 10-30 11:13
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +200 $181 93¢ $185 +$5 11-01 00:27
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +200 $187 89¢ $179 -$8 10-29 08:55
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $136 99¢ $149 +$13 10-15 10:28
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +150 $137 94¢ $141 +$4 10-30 20:12
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +141 $130 100¢ $141 +$10 10-19 14:50
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +150 $130 88¢ $133 +$3 10-30 16:19
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +150 $132 86¢ $128 -$3 10-27 11:53
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +150 $55 85¢ $128 +$73 10-30 14:46
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $132 80¢ $120 -$12 10-28 16:41
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $131 80¢ $120 -$11 10-30 10:39
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +143 $131 83¢ $119 -$12 10-31 15:37
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +100 $90 100¢ $100 +$10 10-19 13:51
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? No +100 $96 100¢ $100 +$4 10-29 21:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 10-30 10:55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 99¢ $99 +$11 10-28 15:23
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $89 99¢ $99 +$10 10-25 21:05