Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5d7…7be344
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$490
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
56.0%
Resolved (7d)
329
Trades (7d)
3,784
50,205 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$42.9K
$566.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-29 20:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Other
64% 7% -$11,008
Politics
21% 6% -$2,342
Tech
5% 7% -$547
Sports
5% 6% -$1,142
Crypto
4% 77% -$372
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$261
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +456 $405 97¢ $444 +$39 10-29 20:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +450 $398 80¢ $362 -$36 10-28 16:40
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +360 $331 96¢ $346 +$16 10-26 20:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +300 $265 95¢ $285 +$20 10-29 10:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +300 $275 70¢ $212 -$64 10-28 19:35
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +200 $177 96¢ $191 +$14 10-28 20:50
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +213 $193 90¢ $191 -$3 10-29 19:09
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $175 95¢ $189 +$14 10-28 19:36
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $180 90¢ $181 +$0 10-27 00:49
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $135 99¢ $149 +$14 10-29 06:40
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $136 98¢ $147 +$11 10-15 10:28
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +150 $131 98¢ $147 +$16 10-29 07:47
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +141 $130 99¢ $139 +$9 10-19 14:50
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +150 $135 88¢ $132 -$4 10-26 20:56
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +150 $132 84¢ $127 -$5 10-27 11:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $132 84¢ $127 -$5 10-28 16:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +150 $138 72¢ $108 -$30 10-21 14:17
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +100 $90 99¢ $99 +$10 10-19 13:51
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$6 10-28 13:01
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $89 98¢ $98 +$9 10-25 21:05
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$7 10-26 00:29
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 10-21 21:03
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 10-27 12:57
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 10-21 19:36
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 10-22 11:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 10-22 11:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 95¢ $95 +$6 10-28 15:23
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +100 $90 92¢ $92 +$2 10-26 23:21
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$3 10-26 18:54
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +100 $86 89¢ $89 +$2 10-26 20:48