Realized P&L
-$4.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.65K
Hit rate
38.5%
Resolved
1,085
Trades
11,333
lifetime
Volume
$447.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$41.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-26
last 11-02 16:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
61% 22% -$1,011
Other
35% 12% -$3,252
Tech
3% 12% -$218
Sports
0% 20% -$46
Crypto
0% 50% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,281 $3,232 70¢ $4.4K +$1,134 10-29 23:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,671 $2,961 99¢ $3.6K +$675 10-31 09:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,152 $2,939 57¢ $2.9K -$7 11-02 15:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,002 $2,215 43¢ $2.2K -$59 11-02 08:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +3,770 $2,337 55¢ $2.1K -$263 11-02 13:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,050 $1,971 97¢ $2.0K +$16 11-02 07:26
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +2,209 $1,974 89¢ $2.0K -$10 11-02 10:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,131 $3,042 30¢ $1.9K -$1,172 11-01 15:51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,941 $1,837 96¢ $1.9K +$28 11-01 07:13
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +1,414 $1,179 96¢ $1.4K +$185 11-02 00:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,002 $1,175 45¢ $1.4K +$176 11-02 13:38
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +1,244 $1,161 97¢ $1.2K +$49 10-24 13:30
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +1,198 $1,186 99¢ $1.2K +$0 11-01 04:12
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +1,158 $1,011 94¢ $1.1K +$72 10-31 06:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,110 $984 90¢ $1.0K +$20 10-29 17:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,010 $976 98¢ $990 +$14 10-28 16:38
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +987 $937 99¢ $981 +$45 10-24 01:48
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +1,422 $1,080 68¢ $974 -$107 11-01 00:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,094 $778 88¢ $968 +$190 10-23 14:03
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +927 $921 99¢ $922 +$1 11-02 17:26
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,069 $908 86¢ $917 +$9 10-29 23:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +896 $866 98¢ $879 +$13 10-31 22:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +798 $408 99¢ $788 +$380 10-25 10:26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +864 $705 82¢ $705 +$0 11-01 04:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,174 $476 56¢ $657 +$181 11-02 00:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +749 $606 80¢ $595 -$11 11-01 19:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +871 $520 68¢ $588 +$69 11-02 10:08
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +585 $548 100¢ $584 +$36 10-21 13:58
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +834 $567 66¢ $550 -$16 11-02 17:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +632 $544 86¢ $540 -$3 11-02 17:54