Realized P&L
-$4.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.50K
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
1,077
Trades
11,257
lifetime
Volume
$438.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$40.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-26
last 11-02 04:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Politics
61% 21% -$887
Other
35% 12% -$3,237
Tech
3% 12% -$218
Sports
0% 20% -$46
Crypto
0% 50% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,281 $3,232 66¢ $4.1K +$882 10-29 23:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,671 $2,961 99¢ $3.6K +$674 10-31 09:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,152 $2,926 56¢ $2.9K -$33 11-02 01:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,002 $2,175 44¢ $2.2K +$19 11-02 01:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,131 $3,042 34¢ $2.1K -$927 11-01 15:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +3,472 $2,169 60¢ $2.1K -$103 11-02 03:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,050 $1,971 97¢ $2.0K +$10 10-30 11:05
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,941 $1,837 96¢ $1.9K +$27 11-01 07:13
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +1,660 $1,475 91¢ $1.5K +$42 11-02 03:37
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +1,414 $1,179 94¢ $1.3K +$157 11-02 00:26
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +1,244 $1,161 97¢ $1.2K +$46 10-24 13:30
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +1,198 $1,186 99¢ $1.2K +$0 11-01 04:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,914 $1,138 40¢ $1.2K +$42 11-02 03:40
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +1,158 $1,011 92¢ $1.1K +$60 10-31 06:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,110 $984 90¢ $999 +$15 10-29 17:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,010 $976 98¢ $990 +$14 10-28 16:38
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +987 $937 99¢ $981 +$45 10-24 01:48
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +1,422 $1,080 68¢ $974 -$107 11-01 00:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,094 $778 88¢ $957 +$179 10-23 14:03
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,069 $908 86¢ $920 +$11 10-29 23:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +896 $866 98¢ $881 +$15 10-31 22:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +798 $408 99¢ $787 +$379 10-25 10:26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +864 $705 82¢ $705 +$0 11-01 04:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +1,174 $711 60¢ $698 -$13 11-02 00:27
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +585 $548 100¢ $583 +$35 10-21 13:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +749 $606 72¢ $543 -$63 11-01 19:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +633 $545 86¢ $541 -$4 11-02 03:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +724 $500 72¢ $518 +$18 11-02 04:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,174 $476 40¢ $475 -$1 11-02 00:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +470 $381 97¢ $455 +$74 10-11 11:02