Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$443

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.2%

Resolved

338

Trades

1,395

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-28 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

57% 11% -$269

Politics

31% 8% -$85

Tech

7% 0% -$54

Crypto

4% 0% -$6

Sports

2% 7% -$29

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	44	$627	549	549	+0	open	—	08-12 20:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$584	400	400	+0	No	-$4	03-01 07:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$504	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	03-08 01:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$428	215	215	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:33
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	14	$225	167	167	+0	Yes	-$2	08-12 01:02
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	12	$175	250	100	+150	Down	-$18	03-19 09:59
will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	14	$162	180	180	+0	No	-$2	08-11 19:40
gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	9	$150	120	120	+0	No	-$1	08-10 05:14
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	9	$149	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	08-08 14:24
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	6	$144	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 18:50
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	20	$123	233	233	+0	No	-$7	08-10 10:24
chatgpt full outage by march 31	11	$114	140	100	+40	No	-$3	03-18 07:40
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	11	$111	147	147	+0	No	-$2	07-02 07:51
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	5	$106	60	60	+0	No	$0	08-09 08:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	19	$104	252	252	+0	Yes	-$7	06-30 06:14
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$92	400	400	+0	No	-$12	03-01 07:36
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	10	$79	103	103	+0	open	—	06-28 23:14
Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	6	$78	80	80	+0	Yes	-$2	08-10 04:20
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	6	$77	64	64	+0	No	+$0	08-12 17:59
chatgpt outage by march 31	9	$77	120	32	+88	Yes	-$22	03-17 14:11
Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	5	$76	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	08-11 03:17
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	5	$75	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	08-09 21:44
Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?	3	$75	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-09 17:20
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	3	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	08-12 13:37
will kai or speed die to a slime 20260808122810984	3	$74	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-09 17:01
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	3	$74	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-11 07:06
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?	3	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	08-11 01:55
will syracuse have more than 2pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194039980	3	$74	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 19:21
will jeremy strong be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	3	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	08-08 17:38
ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	5	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	08-12 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 07:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xa8920c…
08-28 07:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x3bd4e0…
08-28 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x802c2b…
08-28 07:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9eabe7…
08-28 07:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x065109…
08-28 07:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x88c7b6…
08-28 07:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb91aaf…
08-28 07:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x80727d…
08-28 07:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x03a713…
08-28 07:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x248c21…
08-28 07:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x20f065…
08-28 07:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x11ebde…
08-27 20:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3ed1fd…
08-27 20:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x076785…
08-27 20:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x55abf3…
08-27 19:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x80ca52…
08-27 19:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x22ccd4…
08-27 18:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc00f51…
08-27 17:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x269e0d…
08-27 06:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x0e4ca2…
08-27 05:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc1b3a4…
08-27 04:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0a14bb…
08-26 22:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xcfdbf2…
08-26 22:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xa09ead…
08-26 22:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x226359…
08-26 21:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd368c6…
08-26 21:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x4c73bd…
08-26 16:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf4c38c…
08-25 18:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x638205…
08-25 15:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x6f13a6…
08-25 15:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x1a0abb…
08-25 12:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x2dd5ac…
08-25 08:09:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd58f6c…
08-25 07:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc0a0e6…
08-24 21:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfd1b24…
08-24 20:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x3b8f1f…
08-24 20:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf64dd1…
08-24 19:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xff3626…
08-24 16:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x5d446d…
08-24 16:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc0f33a…
08-24 16:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x941c10…
08-24 16:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x8d6c67…
08-24 04:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8a56fb…
08-24 04:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x48b046…
08-23 22:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc52e0b…
08-23 21:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x487d21…
08-23 21:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe51c25…
08-23 20:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xeb2081…
08-23 18:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x259d2c…
08-23 18:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x27b964…
08-23 18:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8b006f…
08-23 12:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x959146…
08-23 12:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e5fae…
08-23 08:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc8d636…
08-23 08:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x3ff6ec…
08-23 07:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x14be9d…
08-23 07:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8d5fe9…
08-23 06:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xaf7f47…
08-23 06:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb2dd88…
08-22 18:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfa2613…
08-22 18:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x53a50c…
08-22 16:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8aa79f…
08-22 15:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xd5a6d1…
08-22 14:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x79721e…
08-22 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd98676…
08-22 12:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x731815…
08-22 10:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f329a…
08-22 08:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x02f63f…
08-22 05:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa6d2b3…
08-21 19:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x527085…
08-21 17:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc8f30b…
08-21 15:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xea39b2…
08-21 13:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x28caf4…
08-21 10:43:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x72f293…
08-21 06:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xefd358…
08-21 05:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xca9aaf…
08-21 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x871e49…
08-21 04:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x795f8d…
08-21 04:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1eb70c…
08-21 03:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x93267c…
08-20 23:16:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xee5418…
08-20 17:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xb8c361…
08-20 13:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1d88cb…
08-20 13:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3f38e1…
08-20 12:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x10c330…
08-20 12:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x18531e…
08-20 11:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2f9aaa…
08-19 20:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf038bb…
08-19 16:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x458405…
08-19 15:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xedd641…
08-19 13:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe63099…
08-19 13:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x41e8e4…
08-19 12:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x868549…
08-19 07:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0aa300…
08-18 23:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x321532…
08-18 22:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa0e940…
08-18 20:56:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6292e0…
08-18 20:08:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x37debf…
08-18 18:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7970e9…
08-18 18:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x13b347…