Realized P&L
+$72.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
541
Trades
28,769
lifetime
Volume
$2.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$34.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Politics
70% 48% +$56,356
Other
22% 42% +$10,087
Sports
8% 46% +$6,672
Crypto
0% 54% -$591
Tech
0% 0% -$184
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Montreal Canadiens make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +10,329 $6,419 69¢ $7.1K +$708 11-05 16:33
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -213,057 -$2,866 1¢ $-2876 -$10 10-21 22:36
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? No +4,720 $1,968 55¢ $2.6K +$652 11-07 10:33
Will the Boston Bruins make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +3,277 $1,162 68¢ $2.2K +$1,082 11-06 21:56
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -193,989 -$844 1¢ $-2037 -$1,193 08-07 18:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,632 $1,318 37¢ $1.7K +$375 11-06 10:07
Will Connor Bedard record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +3,116 $1,219 52¢ $1.6K +$402 11-05 13:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,581 $2,891 19¢ $1.4K -$1,455 11-06 05:49
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +3,767 $1,778 37¢ $1.4K -$384 11-07 01:06
Will the San Jose Sharks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +3,041 $1,637 36¢ $1.1K -$557 11-06 21:59
Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? No +1,450 $920 62¢ $892 -$28 11-07 10:52
Will the New York Rangers record 100+ points? No +1,046 $757 82¢ $863 +$106 10-31 20:14
Will the San Jose Sharks record 90+ points? Yes +2,135 $1,347 40¢ $854 -$493 11-05 03:55
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? No +3,025 $1,476 26¢ $800 -$676 11-06 03:40
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? Yes +3,609 $643 18¢ $668 +$24 11-06 06:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,000 $476 32¢ $650 +$174 11-07 05:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,491 $493 24¢ $598 +$105 11-07 15:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +29,000 $649 2¢ $566 -$83 11-05 04:36
Will the Dallas Stars record 100+ points? Yes +934 $560 60¢ $560 +$1 11-06 21:27
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +37,295 $203 1¢ $541 +$338 11-07 05:21
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100,000 $500 0¢ $450 -$50 11-05 02:54
Will the Seattle Kraken record 90+ points? Yes +1,093 $438 41¢ $445 +$7 11-06 21:43
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +41,178 $719 1¢ $432 -$286 11-05 02:59
Will the New York Islanders make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +1,041 $310 26¢ $276 -$34 11-07 01:47
Will Wyatt Johnston record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +500 $211 48¢ $243 +$32 11-05 20:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 -$231 12¢ $241 +$472 11-05 20:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -6,887 -$783 3¢ $-227 +$556 09-26 14:26
Will Nick Suzuki record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +281 $138 76¢ $213 +$75 11-06 16:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,000 $9 11¢ $210 +$201 10-31 18:25
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +553 $254 34¢ $185 -$69 11-06 15:34