Realized P&L
+$13.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.37K
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
15
Trades
16,095
lifetime
Volume
$2.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$9.97K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 15:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$14,503
Other
22%
Sports
6% 33% $-638
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +9,096 $3,298 34¢ $3.1K $-160 07-01 08:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -6,078 $-2,494 42¢ $-2523 $-28 06-19 03:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +12,410 $910 14¢ $1.7K +$765 07-01 06:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +6,307 $209 16¢ $1.0K +$832 07-01 19:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +917 $742 86¢ $793 +$51 06-12 20:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -18,904 $-1,068 $-699 +$369 06-08 18:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +1,317 $79 $49 $-30 06-11 03:52
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes +100 $34 35¢ $35 +$1 06-12 18:27
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -22 $-20 42¢ $-9 +$11 06-16 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -6 $-565 100¢ $-6 +$559 06-10 17:52
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 23¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 01:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-15 21:00