Realized P&L
+$13.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.18K
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
15
Trades
17,174
lifetime
Volume
$2.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$18.0K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 17:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$14,503
Other
22%
Sports
6% 33% $-638
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8,133 $6,529 72¢ $5.8K $-714 07-22 10:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10,662 $467 29¢ $3.0K +$2,571 07-21 06:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +7,015 $2,568 34¢ $2.3K $-218 07-22 02:22
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5,643 $2,431 38¢ $2.2K $-258 07-22 19:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -5,628 $-2,491 32¢ $-1829 +$662 07-17 17:52
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,500 $914 64¢ $952 +$39 07-21 04:49
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -18,904 $-1,068 $-690 +$378 06-08 18:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,505 $578 36¢ $534 $-44 07-19 22:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,043 $-113 12¢ $505 +$618 07-22 16:30
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +110 $-178 36¢ $40 +$218 07-15 15:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +1,317 $79 $39 $-40 06-11 03:52
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes +100 $34 36¢ $36 +$2 06-12 18:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $45 $5 $-40 07-10 22:25
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 22¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 01:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-15 21:00