Realized P&L
+$72.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.08K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
539
Trades
28,612
lifetime
Volume
$2.95M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$32.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 03:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Politics
70% 48% +$56,269
Other
22% 42% +$10,087
Sports
8% 46% +$6,677
Crypto
0% 54% -$591
Tech
0% 0% -$184
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Montreal Canadiens make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +10,329 $6,419 69¢ $7.1K +$708 11-05 16:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8,325 $2,777 38¢ $3.1K +$349 11-05 22:52
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? No +4,500 $1,843 55¢ $2.5K +$632 11-05 03:58
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -213,057 -$2,866 1¢ $-2344 +$522 10-21 22:36
Will the Boston Bruins make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +3,257 $1,149 68¢ $2.2K +$1,082 11-06 02:35
Will Connor Bedard record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +3,116 $1,219 66¢ $2.1K +$854 11-05 13:42
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -193,989 -$844 1¢ $-1746 -$902 08-07 18:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,457 $2,673 20¢ $1.3K -$1,411 11-05 22:32
Will the San Jose Sharks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +2,989 $1,622 36¢ $1.1K -$561 11-05 01:26
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? No +3,025 $1,476 31¢ $930 -$545 11-06 03:40
Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? No +1,429 $907 64¢ $915 +$7 11-06 03:02
Will the San Jose Sharks record 90+ points? Yes +2,135 $1,347 42¢ $897 -$450 11-05 03:55
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? Yes +3,589 $640 21¢ $754 +$114 11-05 19:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,510 $301 44¢ $657 +$356 11-06 03:03
Will the Dallas Stars record 100+ points? Yes +1,054 $633 60¢ $627 -$6 11-05 20:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,410 $486 24¢ $590 +$105 11-06 01:29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +29,000 $649 2¢ $566 -$83 11-05 04:36
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +41,178 $719 1¢ $515 -$204 11-05 02:59
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100,000 $500 0¢ $450 -$50 11-05 02:54
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +33,060 $147 1¢ $380 +$233 11-05 16:30
Will Wyatt Johnston record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +500 $211 57¢ $285 +$74 11-05 20:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,000 $9 12¢ $250 +$241 10-31 18:25
Will the Seattle Kraken record 90+ points? Yes +573 $225 43¢ $245 +$20 11-05 07:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 -$231 12¢ $243 +$474 11-05 20:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -6,887 -$783 3¢ $-227 +$556 09-26 14:26
Will Nick Suzuki record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +311 $159 66¢ $207 +$48 11-05 16:35
Will the Ottawa Senators record 100+ points? Yes +290 $143 50¢ $145 +$2 11-05 02:07
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,976 $98 2¢ $105 +$7 11-05 13:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$280 3¢ $-103 +$176 06-24 23:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -1,300 -$831 8¢ $-97 +$733 10-28 16:09