Realized P&L
+$72.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.08K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
539
Trades
28,612
lifetime
Volume
$2.95M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$32.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 03:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Politics
70%
48%
+$56,269
Other
22%
42%
+$10,087
Sports
8%
46%
+$6,677
Crypto
0%
54%
-$591
Tech
0%
0%
-$184
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 186 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 1,286 | $338.3K | 315,161 | 314,132 | +1,029 | Yes | +$9,916 | 04-06 17:17 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 1,249 | $254.3K | 437,334 | 435,334 | +2,000 | open | — | 10-31 18:25 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 1,084 | $106.8K | 280,837 | 240,331 | +40,505 | No | +$3,453 | 04-01 15:13 |
| will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245 | 510 | $96.7K | 75,757 | 75,503 | +254 | No | +$5,737 | 01-21 19:54 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 304 | $73.9K | 80,523 | 80,563 | -40 | Yes | +$1,588 | 02-27 11:48 |
| israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | 487 | $73.3K | 77,264 | 69,744 | +7,520 | Yes | +$13,123 | 02-28 07:50 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 340 | $66.3K | 71,582 | 63,258 | +8,325 | open | — | 11-05 22:52 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 288 | $65.3K | 148,561 | 143,053 | +5,508 | No | +$6,463 | 02-01 01:42 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 563 | $53.7K | 44,173 | 76,552 | -32,379 | Yes | -$18,704 | 09-26 05:44 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 56 | $48.8K | 51,111 | 51,111 | +0 | Yes | +$396 | 04-06 18:37 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 336 | $46.6K | 70,369 | 53,411 | +16,958 | Yes | +$11,752 | 02-26 13:44 |
| will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics | 830 | $46.6K | 77,494 | 65,285 | +12,209 | Yes | +$8,824 | 02-20 06:38 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 298 | $45.8K | 45,110 | 42,991 | +2,119 | No | +$986 | 04-18 19:34 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 279 | $45.6K | 54,429 | 55,708 | -1,280 | No | +$733 | 04-22 17:10 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 97 | $41.4K | 43,416 | 48,681 | -5,265 | Yes | -$1,551 | 03-01 16:52 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 286 | $40.3K | 94,519 | 66,777 | +27,742 | No | +$2,081 | 02-01 03:05 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | 607 | $36.2K | 43,771 | 45,070 | -1,300 | open | — | 10-28 16:09 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 617 | $35.9K | 94,534 | 88,077 | +6,457 | open | — | 11-05 22:32 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | 640 | $34.7K | 95,850 | 102,737 | -6,887 | open | — | 09-26 14:26 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 54 | $32.6K | 34,194 | 31,284 | +2,910 | No | +$174 | 02-28 04:28 |
| us strikes iraq by march 7 | 211 | $30.8K | 37,896 | 20,042 | +17,853 | Yes | +$3,475 | 03-08 06:52 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 157 | $29.6K | 58,363 | 49,944 | +8,419 | No | -$391 | 04-21 17:42 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | 242 | $29.3K | 35,334 | 35,334 | +0 | No | -$1,077 | 05-19 16:55 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 79 | $29.0K | 33,027 | 34,215 | -1,187 | Yes | +$571 | 02-28 06:58 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 131 | $28.4K | 39,115 | 37,787 | +1,328 | Yes | +$3,164 | 02-28 23:39 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | 414 | $27.6K | 72,370 | 70,370 | +2,000 | open | — | 11-04 03:10 |
| israel strikes iran by february 28 2026 | 547 | $27.5K | 79,012 | 69,609 | +9,403 | Yes | +$6,943 | 02-28 06:24 |
| trump announces hormuz deadline extension today | 46 | $21.7K | 13,213 | 10,213 | +3,000 | Yes | +$1,104 | 04-08 00:37 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 109 | $21.0K | 27,777 | 25,838 | +1,939 | No | +$2,553 | 03-25 00:00 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 274 | $19.8K | 133,744 | 127,164 | +6,581 | No | -$771 | 03-14 22:56 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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