Realized P&L
-$3.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$607
Hit rate
8.7%
Resolved
3,025
Trades
69,262
lifetime
Volume
$566.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$4.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-28 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
46% 12% -$2,240
Politics
45% 11% -$819
Sports
6% 15% -$98
Tech
1% 11% -$82
Crypto
1% 4% -$35
Pop-Culture
0% 7% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 2062 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +424 $237 84¢ $358 +$122 10-07 01:23
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +305 $88 86¢ $263 +$175 10-12 08:22
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +302 $267 86¢ $261 -$6 10-27 21:03
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +258 $223 88¢ $226 +$3 09-26 07:18
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +210 $186 98¢ $207 +$21 09-22 09:46
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +260 $198 76¢ $199 +$1 10-20 21:43
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +197 $159 96¢ $188 +$30 10-06 11:15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +247 $178 74¢ $183 +$4 10-28 07:52
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +179 $156 93¢ $166 +$11 09-17 12:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +206 $150 78¢ $159 +$9 10-20 23:34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $109 88¢ $156 +$47 10-16 21:20
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +183 $137 82¢ $151 +$15 10-07 00:29
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +200 $168 75¢ $150 -$18 10-21 15:17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +170 $144 88¢ $149 +$6 10-04 11:17
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +196 $161 75¢ $146 -$15 10-17 09:21
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +224 $118 64¢ $145 +$27 10-20 22:47
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +190 $146 75¢ $143 -$3 10-18 02:26
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +210 $167 68¢ $142 -$26 10-05 12:15
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +234 $120 60¢ $139 +$19 10-20 00:58
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +170 $135 82¢ $139 +$3 10-19 09:22
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $130 90¢ $135 +$5 09-26 14:30
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +151 $103 88¢ $133 +$30 10-12 03:50
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +158 $36 83¢ $131 +$95 10-12 04:03
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +131 $112 99¢ $130 +$18 09-24 10:36
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +137 $108 92¢ $126 +$18 10-26 17:39
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +135 $107 86¢ $117 +$9 10-28 08:34
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +131 $100 88¢ $116 +$16 09-28 21:22
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +200 $128 57¢ $115 -$14 10-22 20:28
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +128 $113 88¢ $114 +$1 10-17 13:10
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +120 $111 94¢ $113 +$2 10-12 20:07