Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 3%-6%?
open
Total volume
$3,723
$30 in 24h
Trades
220
Unique wallets
62
Liquidity
$12,186
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-29 19:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.3¢
(top1%: 9% YES on $222
vs crowd: 20% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $92 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $363 | $455 | $92 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $33 | $67 | $34 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 14 | $20 | $202 | $182 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $13 | $74 | $61 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Median | 3 | — | $59 | $59 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $16 | $46 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $58 | $180 | $122 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $296 | $1.3K | $1.0K |
| unranked | 1 | $85 | — | +$85 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +370 | $294 | $294 | 6 | 09-29 18:10 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | +324 | $57 | $282 | 16 | 10-29 19:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +281 | $52 | $52 | 9 | 10-29 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +110 | $21 | $21 | 8 | 10-28 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +110 | $90 | $91 | 7 | 10-28 13:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +80 | $65 | $65 | 4 | 09-25 18:58 |
| Well-Off-Crayon 0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-14 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 09-25 10:06 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 5 | 09-25 10:06 |
| Antique-Calcification 0xc3de…e227 | Yes | +41 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-18 04:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 09-25 07:08 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 09-25 10:06 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +33 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 09-25 07:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-28 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-28 13:27 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +28 | $35 | $1,172 | 15 | 09-29 18:10 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +28 | $4 | $6 | 5 | 09-07 12:37 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-24 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-28 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-28 13:27 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +22 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 09-18 04:47 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 09-18 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 09-26 01:17 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-23 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-23 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-25 18:58 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-05 20:43 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-25 10:06 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-23 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-23 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-28 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-28 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-25 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7821…9855 | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-27 00:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfbd…99fc | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 09-05 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x248c…a56b | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 09-05 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-05 04:21 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-05 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-05 20:43 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-28 13:27 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-28 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-25 04:12 |
| Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-05 20:43 |
| Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-25 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc46…3220 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-05 17:26 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-05 20:43 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-25 07:09 |
| Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $38 | 2 | 09-25 10:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 19:32:28 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xf399e9… |
| 10-29 19:32:28 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xf399e9… |
| 10-29 19:22:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xca959f… |
| 10-29 19:22:25 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xca959f… |
| 10-29 01:53:11 | (anonymous) 0xe075…24f9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x42248d… |
| 10-29 01:53:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x42248d… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0xe075…24f9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x4336ef… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb1440b… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x3eff3f… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x4336ef… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0xb1440b… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbd6809… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x76f877… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x76f877… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xbd6809… |
| 10-28 13:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x3eff3f… |
| 10-28 13:27:58 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xdb65cb… |
| 10-28 13:27:58 | (anonymous) 0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xf5ebcc… |
| 10-28 13:27:58 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf5ebcc… |
| 10-28 13:27:58 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xf5ebcc… |
| 10-28 13:27:58 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xdb65cb… |
| 10-26 01:03:02 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 55 | 80¢ | $44 | 0x2a7116… |
| 10-26 01:03:02 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 20¢ | $11 | 0x2a7116… |
| 10-22 12:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x7ae0a8… |
| 10-22 12:25:27 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x7ae0a8… |
| 10-22 12:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xbc34da… |
| 10-22 12:25:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xbc34da… |
| 10-04 18:21:11 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 157 | 20¢ | $31 | 0xfdeac6… |
| 10-04 18:21:11 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xfdeac6… |
| 10-04 18:21:11 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x4d95f5… |
| 10-04 18:21:11 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x4d95f5… |
| 10-04 18:21:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 137 | 20¢ | $27 | 0xfdeac6… |
| 10-04 12:24:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xb60319… |
| 10-04 12:24:52 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 21¢ | $9 | 0xffc233… |
| 10-04 12:24:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xffc233… |
| 10-04 12:24:52 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xb60319… |
| 10-04 12:24:52 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 18 | 79¢ | $14 | 0xffc233… |
| 10-04 12:24:52 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xffc233… |
| 09-29 18:10:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 102 | 79¢ | $81 | 0x017e8f… |
| 09-29 18:10:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 102 | 79¢ | $81 | 0x017e8f… |
| 09-29 17:45:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 95 | 79¢ | $75 | 0x2e3e64… |
| 09-29 17:45:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 95 | 79¢ | $75 | 0x2e3e64… |
| 09-27 14:42:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 35 | 79¢ | $28 | 0xb6e60d… |
| 09-27 14:42:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 35 | 79¢ | $28 | 0xb6e60d… |
| 09-26 14:29:14 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 160 | 21¢ | $34 | 0x06e191… |
| 09-26 14:29:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x06e191… |
| 09-26 14:29:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 180 | 79¢ | $142 | 0x06e191… |
| 09-26 01:17:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xc6016d… |
| 09-26 01:17:57 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xc6016d… |
| 09-25 19:51:15 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x4c8e1f… |
| 09-25 19:51:15 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x4c8e1f… |
| 09-25 19:30:59 | (anonymous) 0xf9ae…aaa3 | No | SELL | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x36a3ee… |
| 09-25 19:30:59 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x36a3ee… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 98 | 80¢ | $78 | 0x4533ca… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 188 | 80¢ | $150 | 0x4533ca… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x4533ca… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x4533ca… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x87f0ac… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x4533ca… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x87f0ac… |
| 09-25 18:58:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x4533ca… |
| 09-25 10:06:15 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x742653… |
| 09-25 10:06:15 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x742653… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x1aab42… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x1aab42… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x1aab42… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xc3bdf2… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xc3bdf2… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0x524b44… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xf6027e… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xf6027e… |
| 09-25 10:06:14 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0x524b44… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 14 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xf9ae…aaa3 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 83 | 81¢ | $67 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 812 | 19¢ | $158 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 18¢ | $19 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 10:03:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 551 | 80¢ | $441 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 09-25 07:09:11 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x178e44… |
| 09-25 07:09:11 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x178e44… |
| 09-25 07:08:59 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 13 | 84¢ | $11 | 0x8b3733… |
| 09-25 07:08:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x8b3733… |
| 09-25 07:08:59 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8b3733… |
| 09-25 07:08:57 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x5eb328… |
| 09-25 07:08:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x5eb328… |
| 09-25 07:08:57 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 33 | 84¢ | $28 | 0x5eb328… |
| 09-25 04:12:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xea9303… |
| 09-25 04:12:17 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xea9303… |
| 09-25 04:12:17 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 16 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x6e2e12… |
| 09-25 04:12:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x6e2e12… |
| 09-24 23:06:20 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x1e4c14… |
| 09-24 23:06:20 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x1e4c14… |
| 09-24 23:06:20 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x1e4c14… |
| 09-24 07:11:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x201404… |
| 09-24 07:11:05 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x201404… |
| 09-23 13:53:56 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | SELL | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x4fb458… |
| 09-23 13:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x4fb458… |
| 09-23 13:53:56 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 48 | 19¢ | $9 | 0x4fb458… |