Realized P&L
-$1.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
33.9%
Resolved
574
Trades
10,272
lifetime
Volume
$107.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$167
17 positions
First seen
2026-07-31
last 10-28 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
66% 23% -$724
Politics
21% 27% -$183
Sports
9% 24% -$38
Tech
3% 20% -$95
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$5
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 509 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +30 $21 96¢ $29 +$8 09-04 12:58
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +30 $4 86¢ $26 +$21 08-07 17:35
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $29 57¢ $20 -$9 09-25 23:37
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +21 $9 84¢ $17 +$8 09-03 23:34
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +95 $36 17¢ $16 -$20 10-05 18:22
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +100 $14 15¢ $15 +$1 10-27 04:29
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +35 $11 42¢ $15 +$3 08-30 21:29
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +11 $6 98¢ $11 +$5 09-04 00:25
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$1 09-16 07:12
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $25 14¢ $4 -$21 08-08 14:11
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +21 $8 16¢ $3 -$4 09-03 23:30
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +30 $18 4¢ $1 -$17 09-02 05:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +8 $0 8¢ $1 +$0 09-16 00:01
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +40 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 10-11 07:47
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $1 25¢ $0 -$1 09-23 23:46
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +11 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 08-28 10:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +0 $4 84¢ $0 -$3 10-01 03:39