Realized P&L (30d)
-$509
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved (30d)
435
Trades (30d)
6,066
11,062 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$65.1K
$116.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$114
13 positions
First seen
2026-07-31
last 11-01 05:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
66% 24% -$788
Politics
20% 27% -$185
Sports
10% 24% -$38
Tech
3% 22% -$133
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$5
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 509 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +30 $4 84¢ $25 +$21 08-07 17:35
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +35 $11 62¢ $21 +$10 08-30 21:29
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +21 $9 80¢ $17 +$8 09-03 23:34
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $29 38¢ $13 -$15 09-25 23:37
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +49 $12 24¢ $12 $0 11-01 03:18
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +95 $36 8¢ $8 -$28 10-05 18:22
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 89¢ $7 +$0 09-16 07:12
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $25 16¢ $5 -$20 08-08 14:11
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +21 $8 20¢ $4 -$3 09-03 23:30
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +8 $0 11¢ $1 +$1 09-16 00:01
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +40 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-11 07:47
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $1 25¢ $0 -$1 09-23 23:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +0 $4 86¢ $0 -$3 10-01 03:39