Realized P&L
+$195
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
588
Trades
1,136
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 09-20 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
64% 81% +$127
Politics
18% 85% +$55
Sports
16% 88% +$11
Tech
1% 83% +$0
Crypto
1% 100% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 67% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +126 $126 100¢ $126 $0 09-04 14:20
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +125 $125 100¢ $125 $0 09-06 18:25
Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +118 $117 100¢ $117 +$0 09-09 23:14
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 $0 09-04 10:12
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +125 $100 77¢ $96 -$4 09-13 19:43
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +83 $83 97¢ $81 -$2 09-11 13:01
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +81 $77 100¢ $81 +$3 09-13 17:36
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +80 $79 99¢ $79 -$1 09-09 23:15
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +66 $66 99¢ $66 $0 09-13 21:15
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +64 $64 100¢ $64 +$0 09-13 17:36
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $60 96¢ $60 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $59 96¢ $60 +$1 09-18 01:02
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 +$0 09-08 12:32
Will Schalke 04 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 +$0 09-09 22:59
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $46 100¢ $48 +$2 09-13 17:35
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 99¢ $48 $0 09-14 02:57
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +47 $47 100¢ $47 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $47 95¢ $46 $0 09-13 17:34
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +47 $45 97¢ $46 +$1 09-14 03:23
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-13 21:14
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 +$0 09-08 12:48
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $38 95¢ $38 +$1 09-13 17:35
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $39 94¢ $38 -$2 09-07 23:11
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 99¢ $31 +$0 09-13 21:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +31 $31 97¢ $30 -$1 09-01 18:03
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +30 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 09-14 02:57
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +29 $28 94¢ $27 -$1 09-09 13:11
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 $0 09-13 00:56
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 +$0 09-09 13:11