Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
1,615
Trades
2,994
lifetime
Volume
$41.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 09-21 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
69% 76% -$150
Politics
19% 90% +$165
Sports
10% 88% -$7
Tech
1% 88% -$35
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$0
Crypto
0% 82% +$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 278 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +158 $157 99¢ $156 -$2 09-18 01:03
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 $0 09-04 10:12
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +104 $101 98¢ $102 +$1 09-14 01:10
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +89 $87 96¢ $85 -$2 09-13 21:14
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +83 $83 100¢ $83 $0 09-11 13:01
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +81 $77 100¢ $80 +$3 09-14 01:10
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +79 $78 100¢ $79 +$1 09-13 21:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +435 $89 18¢ $78 -$11 09-19 21:42
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +73 $62 94¢ $68 +$6 09-14 03:23
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +68 $68 100¢ $68 +$0 09-17 19:04
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +66 $63 98¢ $65 +$2 09-13 17:36
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 $0 09-08 12:32
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $53 98¢ $55 +$2 09-13 17:36
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +55 $54 99¢ $54 $0 09-09 13:16
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $54 96¢ $54 +$1 09-13 17:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +62 $21 80¢ $50 +$28 08-20 23:35
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $46 100¢ $48 +$2 09-07 23:27
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-14 02:57
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $47 94¢ $45 -$1 09-13 17:34
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +47 $44 90¢ $42 -$2 09-14 01:10
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +50 $37 84¢ $42 +$4 09-13 13:26
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-14 21:13
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 99¢ $40 $0 09-13 00:54
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $39 94¢ $38 -$1 09-14 02:57
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $37 92¢ $37 $0 09-13 21:14
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +36 $36 100¢ $36 +$0 09-18 07:33
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +36 $36 100¢ $36 $0 09-02 15:16
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +51 $43 68¢ $35 -$8 07-01 15:48
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 +$0 08-30 20:16