Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$557

Unrealized P&L

+$193

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

8,364

lifetime

Volume

$205.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$754

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

53% 42% $-363

Other

39% 52% $-300

Sports

8% 100% +$57

Crypto

0% 50% +$50

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	+876	$91	28¢	$241	+$150	06-30 21:15
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	+200	$176	96¢	$193	+$17	06-04 00:41
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?	No	+200	$154	93¢	$186	+$32	07-10 06:06
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	+100	$67	78¢	$78	+$11	06-20 02:25
Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	+50	$32	90¢	$45	+$14	06-16 23:30
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+80	$6	8¢	$7	+$0	07-10 17:05
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	+200	$36	2¢	$5	$-31	06-12 04:18
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+9	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	07-09 19:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	62	$3.4K	12,397	12,006	+392	open	—	02-14 22:58
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	31	$3.2K	2,687	2,687	+0	open	—	02-18 23:25
bitboy convicted	34	$2.7K	2,858	2,528	+330	open	—	03-31 05:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	22	$2.2K	2,268	2,617	-350	open	—	03-08 21:14
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	25	$2.2K	1,720	1,620	+100	open	—	03-11 21:29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	24	$2.0K	2,847	2,347	+500	open	—	03-11 01:44
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	27	$1.8K	2,270	219	+2,052	open	—	03-08 04:09
will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	25	$1.7K	2,565	926	+1,639	open	—	02-15 20:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$1.7K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	01-19 04:05
will bill clinton say daughter during his epstein testimony	17	$1.7K	1,693	421	+1,272	open	—	03-05 07:06
dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	33	$1.7K	4,010	1,799	+2,210	open	—	03-08 18:27
will uk strike iran by march 31	27	$1.5K	1,296	1,227	+69	open	—	03-09 20:31
will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	49	$1.5K	3,097	2,071	+1,026	open	—	04-14 03:28
will qatar strike iran by march 31	18	$1.4K	1,001	720	+281	open	—	03-29 02:52
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	19	$1.4K	1,529	1,429	+100	open	—	03-19 01:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$1.3K	17,021	17,121	-100	open	—	04-01 15:37
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	25	$1.3K	1,165	837	+328	open	—	03-14 04:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-29 21:27
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$1.2K	503	1,203	-700	open	—	02-10 19:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	14	$1.2K	706	706	+0	open	—	03-26 18:40
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	36	$1.2K	2,709	1,876	+833	open	—	04-14 03:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	8	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-19 17:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$1.1K	620	620	+0	open	—	03-01 20:09
will uae strike iran by march 31	10	$1.1K	866	666	+200	open	—	03-14 19:50
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	3	$1.1K	588	588	+0	open	—	01-26 16:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$993	517	517	+0	open	—	04-01 18:27
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	12	$963	1,982	1,982	+0	open	—	03-16 22:34
will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	17	$955	563	563	+0	open	—	02-12 23:33
will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 5 and 10pt00	8	$949	971	0	+971	open	—	03-15 03:11
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	13	$947	546	546	+0	open	—	03-19 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 17:05:53	Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x1af3cc…
07-10 06:06:41	2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x0fbd01…
07-09 19:56:14	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x414cf6…
07-08 18:18:08	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x93b47a…
07-08 15:41:35	Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x03fd11…
06-30 21:15:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xca6f18…
06-30 17:32:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	300	11¢	$33	0x767e13…
06-30 17:32:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0x325e55…
06-20 02:25:08	Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x745869…
06-16 23:30:16	Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xd2721a…
06-12 04:18:18	Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x1c2931…
06-06 08:05:52	Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x70456d…
06-05 23:45:52	Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x398887…
06-04 03:10:58	Will Lyndon Cervantes advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5bc870…
06-04 03:07:43	Will Lyndon Cervantes advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb14716…
06-04 03:07:43	Will Lyndon Cervantes advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x40446d…
06-04 03:07:43	Will Lyndon Cervantes advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2ee232…
06-04 03:07:43	Will Lyndon Cervantes advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1d7624…
06-04 00:41:22	Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x766c7e…
06-03 17:13:03	Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x3fb9d6…
06-03 15:50:48	Will Lyndon Cervantes advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb0e0d9…
06-03 10:12:50	Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x726855…
06-03 04:24:33	Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x45138b…
06-03 03:55:23	Will Joe Kerr advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9b2eec…
06-03 03:47:41	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x59bb9d…
06-03 03:33:24	Will Robert Morin advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x48f11e…
06-03 03:25:09	Will Daniel Garibay Rodriguez advance from the CA-13 primary election?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xaafddb…
06-03 03:20:20	Will Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election?	No	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x657b2c…
06-03 01:59:34	Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0xb9a76a…
06-03 00:52:06	Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	65	19¢	$12	0xb92037…
06-02 21:42:17	Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xc11388…
06-02 19:59:37	Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf55893…
06-02 19:59:27	Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x60702b…
06-02 19:59:27	Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	71	36¢	$26	0x35bfc0…
06-02 09:06:03	Will Lyndon Cervantes advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x472fd5…
06-02 02:43:16	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	164	57¢	$93	0xa93741…
06-02 02:36:06	Will Heidi Hall advance from the CA-03 primary election?	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0xa933e2…
06-01 22:56:41	Will Claude Keissieh advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xdf99b8…
06-01 22:43:14	Will Joe Kerr advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc4605…
06-01 21:01:32	Will Tyler Vandenberg advance from the CA-06 primary election?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0xd49d64…
06-01 20:37:07	Will Enayat Nazhat advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3ad6c0…
06-01 20:36:39	Will Tyler Vandenberg advance from the CA-06 primary election?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc9d27c…
06-01 19:13:21	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x830d73…
06-01 19:11:38	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x035266…
06-01 19:10:05	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x17c581…
06-01 19:08:16	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xd77fbc…
06-01 19:06:16	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x99315c…
06-01 19:04:17	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x943e10…
06-01 19:02:16	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf3ffbd…
06-01 19:00:45	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x34b91b…
06-01 18:56:50	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xdc98bc…
06-01 18:50:57	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1b5699…
06-01 18:49:15	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xe2685e…
06-01 15:37:24	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x633a57…
06-01 14:11:00	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xeecf1f…
06-01 14:08:53	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa83b42…
06-01 14:08:47	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x808aa6…
06-01 14:08:07	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb85d40…
06-01 14:08:02	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x083d52…
06-01 14:07:53	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf6f765…
06-01 14:07:43	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd75679…
06-01 14:07:36	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x60de99…
06-01 14:07:18	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x60c56d…
06-01 14:06:47	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1a628c…
06-01 14:06:08	Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x54c3fd…
06-01 10:28:26	Will Hector De La Torre advance from the CA-41 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x405edc…
06-01 10:27:41	Will Tyler Vandenberg advance from the CA-06 primary election?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xd66eba…
06-01 10:15:54	Will Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdbfe42…
06-01 09:09:39	Will Hector De La Torre advance from the CA-41 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbf9f55…
06-01 08:25:19	Will Hector De La Torre advance from the CA-41 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe12ef2…
06-01 06:58:56	Will Enayat Nazhat advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x7b4bfd…
05-31 23:09:37	Will Joe Kerr advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xddb685…
05-31 22:25:24	Will Joe Kerr advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xebe1f3…
05-31 13:28:59	Will Tyler Vandenberg advance from the CA-06 primary election?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x025f15…
05-16 22:51:49	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xc3bd15…
05-16 20:39:14	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x6d1117…
05-16 20:39:03	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xe8b278…
05-16 20:25:57	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0x4e241a…
05-16 20:25:50	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x80edc9…
05-16 20:17:11	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0xf63daa…
05-16 20:08:01	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	21¢	$41	0x81aa15…
05-14 16:56:20	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x63d5ce…
05-14 12:00:33	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x42d4bc…
05-14 10:17:29	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xffda9c…
05-14 10:16:13	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xdd4163…
05-14 09:09:15	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xfc2683…
05-14 09:08:21	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x28da0e…
05-14 09:04:35	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1eb0f7…
05-14 08:34:50	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x968b4f…
05-14 06:49:03	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xeef45a…
05-14 05:47:45	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x258746…
05-11 21:42:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x23ec70…
05-11 21:16:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	357	28¢	$100	0x5175af…
05-11 21:12:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x1e809e…
05-11 21:10:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xf54769…
05-11 21:10:46	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xd1bfca…
05-11 21:09:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	357	28¢	$100	0x8adeb4…
05-11 21:06:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xce57f6…
05-11 20:49:00	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	53	28¢	$15	0x425ee6…
05-10 04:37:55	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	33	80¢	$26	0x814029…