Realized P&L
-$3.73K
Unrealized P&L
-$174
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
1,753
Trades
11,073
lifetime
Volume
$255.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$5.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Politics
53% 43% +$2,082
Other
40% 32% -$4,344
Sports
7% 24% -$1,723
Crypto
0% 60% +$143
Tech
0% 56% +$116
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +702 $666 97¢ $681 +$14 09-22 18:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -600 -$421 92¢ $-549 -$128 08-12 01:15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +700 $448 66¢ $466 +$18 10-08 02:11
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +500 $435 86¢ $428 -$8 10-24 20:26
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +354 $290 94¢ $335 +$45 10-24 19:16
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +767 $200 42¢ $318 +$119 05-08 15:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +2,000 $240 12¢ $250 +$10 10-15 02:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +349 $150 66¢ $229 +$79 06-30 17:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +500 $270 43¢ $215 -$55 09-10 22:48
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +300 $210 68¢ $206 -$4 10-20 18:35
Will Alberta join the US? No +200 $196 99¢ $198 +$2 09-17 04:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -200 -$84 96¢ $-192 -$108 04-28 17:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +2,000 $220 8¢ $170 -$50 10-24 20:23
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +400 $124 41¢ $164 +$40 10-20 18:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +167 $153 92¢ $152 -$1 10-24 20:16
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +460 $128 30¢ $140 +$12 10-24 20:28
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -149 -$142 94¢ $-140 +$2 10-22 15:30
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +1,039 $135 12¢ $125 -$10 10-24 20:25
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -140 -$62 86¢ $-120 -$58 04-28 23:40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $111 38¢ $116 +$4 10-20 18:36
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +200 $70 46¢ $92 +$22 10-20 18:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +600 $72 15¢ $90 +$18 05-08 19:57
Maduro guilty of all counts? No +100 $67 67¢ $67 +$0 06-20 02:25
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +182 $141 36¢ $66 -$76 04-28 22:55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +600 $96 11¢ $63 -$33 05-08 10:59
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $49 62¢ $62 +$14 06-27 19:41
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +50 $32 95¢ $48 +$16 06-16 23:30
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +40 $19 98¢ $39 +$21 08-26 19:54
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +100 $77 36¢ $36 -$40 04-28 22:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +4,000 $68 1¢ $30 -$38 07-29 17:14