Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

+$143

Hit rate

3.2%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$2.75K

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-30 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 50% -$1,327

Other

22% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+2,054	$1,725	89¢	$1.8K	+$103	10-28 09:56
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+1,076	$635	60¢	$651	+$16	10-25 12:11
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	+273	$161	67¢	$183	+$22	10-25 10:02
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+85	$49	62¢	$52	+$3	10-25 12:11
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	+34	$20	57¢	$20	$0	10-28 13:36
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	+25	$18	68¢	$17	$0	10-27 02:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+10	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	10-25 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$1.7K	2,054	0	+2,054	open	—	10-28 09:56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	17	$1.6K	3,866	304	+3,562	No	-$1,290	10-25 20:00
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	1	$635	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	10-25 12:11
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	1	$161	273	0	+273	open	—	10-25 10:02
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition	1	$111	150	0	+150	open	—	10-30 01:24
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?	1	$66	120	0	+120	open	—	10-26 23:54
California Clinic Funding Proposition	5	$52	68	5	+63	open	—	10-27 16:30
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	1	$49	85	0	+85	open	—	10-25 12:11
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	1	$48	67	0	+67	open	—	10-29 13:35
Will Florida (Special) be the closest Senate race in 2026?	6	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	10-25 12:12
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	6	$43	54	54	+0	open	—	10-26 22:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	1	$41	630	0	+630	No	-$41	10-23 17:27
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	2	$35	40	0	+40	open	—	10-29 08:36
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	9	$33	65	11	+54	open	—	10-28 08:50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	1	$33	38	0	+38	open	—	10-29 01:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	10-29 09:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 25%-30%?	1	$27	31	0	+31	open	—	10-29 02:14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	1	$26	47	0	+47	open	—	10-29 19:11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 15%-18%?	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	10-30 02:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	10-29 17:37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 20%-25%?	1	$23	33	0	+33	open	—	10-28 21:57
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$21	178	0	+178	open	—	10-27 18:13
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?	1	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	10-30 02:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election?	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	10-28 17:20
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	4	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	10-28 13:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	4	$18	28	28	+0	No	+$2	10-25 02:42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 40%-45%?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 19:10
Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	10-30 00:33
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	1	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	10-27 02:06
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 12%-15%?	1	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	10-29 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:31:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcdbcf9…
10-30 05:17:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x61fc15…
10-30 04:55:10	Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xeacc44…
10-30 04:44:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x290b17…
10-30 04:44:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xdd0be5…
10-30 04:37:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc84ee8…
10-30 02:44:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x38addc…
10-30 02:30:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xae8f18…
10-30 01:24:58	California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition	No	BUY	150	74¢	$111	0xc0ffe9…
10-30 00:36:28	Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x458133…
10-30 00:33:40	Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6aa192…
10-29 21:47:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0xe65e71…
10-29 21:32:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x10a51f…
10-29 21:27:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe7c57b…
10-29 21:18:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x930064…
10-29 21:17:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xa0d210…
10-29 21:13:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8ff55a…
10-29 21:08:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xc2c531…
10-29 21:08:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9fca87…
10-29 21:06:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf23667…
10-29 21:06:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x27bb3f…
10-29 21:00:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 6% or more?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x48c076…
10-29 20:59:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 60%-65%?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x10e84e…
10-29 20:52:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 3% or more?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb1c318…
10-29 20:41:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xef27ad…
10-29 20:41:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x82a7a5…
10-29 20:40:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x620f38…
10-29 20:19:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb8f7b0…
10-29 20:11:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x303490…
10-29 19:11:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	47	54¢	$26	0x3ff199…
10-29 19:00:52	Will the Republicans win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x3ce7ab…
10-29 17:43:07	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xf85102…
10-29 17:37:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xfdb402…
10-29 17:24:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x379e80…
10-29 16:10:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd181d6…
10-29 15:42:13	Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2f0a24…
10-29 15:40:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x63fba6…
10-29 13:35:31	Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	67	72¢	$48	0xb4c0f0…
10-29 12:51:22	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x6632fe…
10-29 12:31:31	Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x3019b7…
10-29 12:17:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x62ce43…
10-29 09:11:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x044d75…
10-29 08:36:08	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x511443…
10-29 08:36:05	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x045c3b…
10-29 07:53:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x53088f…
10-29 07:08:50	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x854193…
10-29 05:45:37	Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x2d4423…
10-29 05:36:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xdd4171…
10-29 04:40:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf1b169…
10-29 02:19:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd441ac…
10-29 02:14:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x1c7365…
10-29 02:14:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x55fa47…
10-29 02:01:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xe3f9b2…
10-29 01:54:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4ced14…
10-29 01:45:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x822704…
10-29 01:32:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x9eb4dd…
10-29 00:40:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0xd8233d…
10-29 00:07:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd928f7…
10-29 00:01:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x47464c…
10-28 22:01:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe5dfa9…
10-28 21:57:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xce417c…
10-28 20:54:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xdfedb6…
10-28 20:40:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x2020b0…
10-28 20:08:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x328b85…
10-28 19:59:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe67306…
10-28 19:54:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x15bf07…
10-28 19:53:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xe7285d…
10-28 19:53:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xf809cb…
10-28 19:48:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x1d7acb…
10-28 19:21:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x940df1…
10-28 19:16:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x2c1ef6…
10-28 19:10:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe2a5ba…
10-28 19:07:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdd0161…
10-28 19:00:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x17a94b…
10-28 18:38:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcf7c86…
10-28 18:36:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3285bf…
10-28 18:32:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x77d97f…
10-28 18:06:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x2a2392…
10-28 17:52:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x976a97…
10-28 17:20:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x8be325…
10-28 17:15:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x77f0bd…
10-28 17:13:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xce2057…
10-28 17:12:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0cc9a5…
10-28 17:07:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x479f09…
10-28 17:07:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x65f115…
10-28 17:03:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc90b7d…
10-28 17:02:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xa26f89…
10-28 17:01:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x11ff72…
10-28 16:59:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xdf36c3…
10-28 16:59:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd3e0f3…
10-28 16:53:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x456b92…
10-28 16:48:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5dbc5e…
10-28 16:48:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xaac828…
10-28 14:24:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7f21c3…
10-28 13:49:35	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x5468bb…
10-28 13:36:52	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xda4fa9…
10-28 13:36:50	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd29969…
10-28 13:36:41	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xbf7e47…
10-28 13:36:31	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xdb92db…
10-28 12:00:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	No	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x6907dc…