(anonymous) 0x5a0d0c…8dfa97
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.94K
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved
494
Trades
4,870
lifetime
Volume
$394.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$38.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 10-27 06:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
56% 53% +$8,421
Politics
32% 62% +$6,194
Tech
7% 54% -$955
Sports
3% 37% -$1,474
Crypto
2% 70% +$659
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -10,000 -$5,862 88¢ $-8850 -$2,988 08-27 00:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,814 $5,000 92¢ $5.4K +$378 09-10 13:46
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +187,872 $3,080 2¢ $4.4K +$1,335 10-15 10:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,860 $2,650 72¢ $2.8K +$109 09-29 20:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,500 $285 88¢ $2.2K +$1,908 10-20 07:50
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $780 72¢ $1.1K +$292 10-15 05:25
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +1,076 $744 94¢ $1.0K +$263 10-13 16:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,613 $1,000 62¢ $992 -$8 10-20 22:33
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +1,037 $900 92¢ $949 +$49 09-05 14:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +940 $679 84¢ $790 +$110 10-20 14:30
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +750 $501 96¢ $716 +$216 08-28 03:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +700 $197 98¢ $683 +$485 10-15 14:03
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $622 66¢ $665 +$43 10-19 21:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,859 $699 36¢ $660 -$39 10-01 19:44
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,467 $716 39¢ $572 -$144 10-19 05:26
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +877 $500 64¢ $566 +$66 10-16 22:01
US recession by end of 2026? No +602 $500 92¢ $557 +$57 09-16 01:18
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100,000 $400 1¢ $550 +$150 10-01 06:16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +806 $500 66¢ $536 +$36 10-09 21:34
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +862 $500 60¢ $522 +$22 10-26 21:23
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +513 $300 98¢ $504 +$205 08-26 13:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +1,042 $500 45¢ $469 -$31 08-31 17:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +536 $424 86¢ $460 +$36 08-09 12:47
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,348 $400 32¢ $431 +$31 10-20 21:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +639 $396 66¢ $425 +$29 10-09 20:11
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +625 $400 64¢ $403 +$3 10-20 00:20
No one announced as next James Bond? No +482 $398 75¢ $361 -$37 09-08 23:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,328 $300 14¢ $314 +$14 09-26 00:37
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +336 $246 90¢ $303 +$56 08-20 05:41
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +300 $11 100¢ $300 +$289 10-21 19:52