Realized P&L (7d)
+$2.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.56K
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved (7d)
32
Trades (7d)
435
5,070 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$57.6K
$428.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$40.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 10-28 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
52% 53% +$7,830
Politics
37% 62% +$6,483
Tech
7% 54% -$955
Sports
3% 37% -$1,474
Crypto
1% 70% +$659
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -10,000 -$5,862 90¢ $-8950 -$3,088 08-27 00:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,814 $5,000 94¢ $5.4K +$436 09-10 13:46
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +187,872 $3,080 2¢ $4.7K +$1,617 10-15 10:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,500 $285 97¢ $2.4K +$2,140 10-20 07:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,860 $2,855 56¢ $2.1K -$713 10-28 00:00
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $780 80¢ $1.2K +$412 10-15 05:25
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +1,076 $744 96¢ $1.0K +$289 10-13 16:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,613 $1,000 64¢ $1.0K +$24 10-20 22:33
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +1,037 $900 94¢ $970 +$70 09-05 14:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,859 $699 50¢ $920 +$221 10-01 19:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,042 $678 84¢ $875 +$197 10-27 20:36
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +940 $679 89¢ $837 +$157 10-20 14:30
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +750 $501 97¢ $728 +$227 08-28 03:03
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,467 $716 49¢ $717 +$2 10-19 05:26
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +696 $598 99¢ $690 +$92 10-27 23:17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +700 $197 98¢ $687 +$490 10-15 14:03
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,348 $400 44¢ $586 +$186 10-20 21:43
US recession by end of 2026? No +602 $500 94¢ $563 +$63 09-16 01:18
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +877 $500 64¢ $557 +$57 10-16 22:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +806 $500 68¢ $552 +$52 10-09 21:34
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100,000 $400 1¢ $550 +$150 10-01 06:16
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +862 $500 64¢ $547 +$47 10-26 21:23
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +513 $300 100¢ $512 +$212 08-26 13:33
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +833 $500 60¢ $496 -$4 10-27 22:14
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +471 $319 98¢ $464 +$145 10-28 00:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +536 $424 86¢ $461 +$37 08-09 12:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +639 $396 68¢ $438 +$42 10-09 20:11
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +625 $400 66¢ $415 +$15 10-20 00:20
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +653 $400 62¢ $405 +$5 10-29 02:37
No one announced as next James Bond? No +482 $398 78¢ $375 -$23 09-08 23:56